Anyone good at predicting hurricane/cyclone paths?

Jude13

We have a warning from work that a cyclone may or may not hit us in Muscat. The government weather station just posts pics but no predictions.

Just wondering if any insightful lads/ladies on here knew more than the guy on the street.

I was here the last two cyclones, Gonu which was terrifying and Phet which wasn't so bad.

https://fbcdn-sphotos-g-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-xat1/v/t1.0-9/11393007_453023721541873_3288369309016662071_n.jpg?oh=2af470d4870ecce7122cc4fe4794f784&oe=56350D9C&__gda__=1446317123_e1d0603aae6ffa867490245900f6abcb

B17G

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) tracks cyclones around the world.

http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC/

Current progress of tropical cyclone 01A:

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/io0115.gif

Jude13

Cheers for that and apologies for the stupid question. In relation to the second link does the dotted area show the affected area and does this mean that area will be cyclone strength?

B17G

The shaded area is the area that might be affected allowing for variations in the cyclone's path. The filled in cyclone symbol indicates winds at hurricane strength or above (74+ mph). If it's hollowed out, the wind speeds are predicted to be lower than this threshold.

Jude13

Cheers, I will stock up on water just in case. The main desalination plant here is down due to other reasons, I can only imagine if this hits.

Jude13

Eh, looks like I should batten down the hatches

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/io0115.gif