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What are the odds of having 2 holes in 1 in 12 holes

  • 01-11-2014 10:22pm
    #1
    Luckycharm
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,545 ✭✭✭


    We are back to 12 holes for the Winter, one lad today had 2 holes in one in 12 holes- conditions were tough as well very windy- must be huge odds for that to happen. It must have cost him a fortune- you get half the 2's pot if you get a hole in one he only got €52 :(


Comments

  • #2
    PARlance
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,511 ✭✭✭✭PARlance


    Luckycharm wrote: »
    We are back to 12 holes for the Winter, one lad today had 2 holes in one in 12 holes- conditions were tough as well very windy- must be huge odds for that to happen. It must have cost him a fortune- you get half the 2's pot if you get a hole in one he only got €52 :(

    I think I've heard before than the chances of having 2 in a full round is something like 64 million to 1.


  • #3
    Doyler92
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,664 ✭✭✭Doyler92


    Can someone explain to me how they work out the odds to get a hole in one?


  • #4
    Senna
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,800 ✭✭✭Senna


    Doyler92 wrote: »
    Can someone explain to me how they work out the odds to get a hole in one?

    Some fella is employed to just constantly hit balls, it took him 64 million hits to get 2 holes in one in the same round. So odds are 64000000:1











    :pac:


  • #5
    GreeBo
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,370 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    Luckycharm wrote: »
    We are back to 12 holes for the Winter, one lad today had 2 holes in one in 12 holes- conditions were tough as well very windy- must be huge odds for that to happen. It must have cost him a fortune- you get half the 2's pot if you get a hole in one he only got €52 :(

    I Saw the second one...crazy.

    He should get 2/3rds, each hole in one gets a full share.


  • #6
    FixdePitchmark
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,185 ✭✭✭✭FixdePitchmark


    Doyler92 wrote: »
    Can someone explain to me how they work out the odds to get a hole in one?

    I don't know how they do it.

    But if you have a large sample of rounds - (very large)

    You can have all the scores that were scored - an easy way to do this would be use to use all scores in golf net

    You could also compile statistic from across other golf unions - you end up with the number of times a par 3 was played and then number of times a hole in one was scored.

    I'm guessing it is simply P(hole in one) = ( Number of hole in ones / total number of par 3s played)

    But above is a guess.

    This would actually change for courses - playing ability etc - but the large sample would give the the probability for the full sample.

    You could break it down then if you wanted to - all other categories.

    http://www.golfdigest.com/blogs/the-loop/2013/11/want-to-know-your-odds-for-a-hole-in-one-well-here-they-are.html

    I think it is a rubbish stat anyway - because I play on one course with 3 par 3s and the other one has 6 par 3s. Also one you are hitting 6/5 irons - the other 9 /pw.


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  • #7
    Boskowski
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,361 ✭✭✭Boskowski


    You'd get started with some experience based data. For example howdidido would be able to tell you how many rounds it takes people on average to get a hole in one. After that its just maths.


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