Saturday

d-gal

3 bets for me in Galway

Supreme Doc 3.10 Galway - 33/1. Loves Galway and came 5th in the plate last year. Had a spin over hurdles a couple weeks back and looks a lenient mark of 123 and also has a five pound claimer on board. Main dangers are Benemeade and Shanpallas (ground may not suit tho)

yulong xiongba 4.20 Galway - 14/1. Handicap debut and bottom of the weights with a 5 pound claim. Murtagh's horses running ok and think will handle the ground better than others and knows his job against initial and intense style

Teach Nua 5.25. Galway - 5/1. Looks like the glue factory race of Galway but reckon this is a Weld horse that has been waiting for this. Very very lenient mark and has experience with this course. Should win

Peintre Celebre

Joe Packet at 9/1 in the last at Newmarket my nap of the week. Down to a good mark and caught the eye last time in a race that has worked out extremely well, second won easily off 2lbs higher, third horse that day won a good Ascot handicap and the fourth won a handicap by 5 lengths since. Hard to win with but he is a course and distance winner and is the type to pop up soon.

Is the Nassau tomorrow the worst gr.1 ran domestically in the last number of years?

Andalucia

assuming that Galway doesn't get hit with the forecast rain that is expected in Leinster, really fancy The Parishioner in the 3.10

carries a postage stamp weight, will love the step up in trip, nicer ground would have been perferable, but think this is complete handicap blot.

stable won this with another handicap blot two years ago in Carlingford Lough

qc3

Saturday Pricewise.

7-1 Muthmir might just be different class

The phone wouldn't stop ringing yesterday with people telling me Intrinsic is a good thing for the 32Red Stewards' Cup (3.50), writes Tom Segal.

Robert Cowell's sprinter may well be around 10lb ahead of the handicapper, but I have a strong feeling Muthmir has at least that up his sleeve and he is surely the one to be on following last week's runaway win at York.

Rarely will you see a big-field handicap done and dusted after two furlongs, but it was evidently clear at that stage Muthmir was going to win and win easily.

The 6lb penalty certainly isn't enough to stop him, and provided there isn't a deluge he is going to be incredibly hard to beat.

Stall two could be an issue, but Inxile won a sprint earlier in the week from one and Take Cover went down the far side when winning the King George yesterday.

They were front-runners and there is the chance Muthmir is badly drawn, but there hasn't been any bias at Goodwood this week and he is the most talented horse in the field.

Having said that, I can't let my old friend Alben Star go unbacked. He ran a blinder in the Wokingham off a similar mark and couldn't have been more unlucky not to win the Scurry at the Curragh last time.
Both those runs have worked out well and there isn't a man with a better record in these big-field sprint handicaps than Richard Fahey.

Discussiontofollow and Intrinsic are improving horses who have to be feared, but there aren't that many others who make too much appeal.
The consolation race (2.05) looks much tougher. Fahey has a strong chance with El Viento and Tatlisu, although the latter would want a lot of the overnight rain.

However, I'm a sucker for a Roger Charlton-trained sprinter and I don't think we have seen the best of his Secondo yet.

If he can reproduce the form of his staying-on second to Lancelot Du Luc at York last season Secondo would have a massive chance, and his trainer earmarked the 32Red Cup as the race for him earlier in the campaign.

He has clearly had issues, but was a shortish price to win one of the best 6f handicaps of the season at Newmarket in May and his latest Doncaster run has surely primed him for today.

If the rain arrives Secondo would struggle, but it would bring Kinglami into it.

Brian Gubby has few horses these days, but he has a fine record at Goodwood and won this race with a similar horse a few years back. Stall two is a concern, but he looks to be running into form and did well in the ladies' race at Ascot last weekend. He has decent form at this track and can outrun his 25-1 price.

The conundrum horse in the Jaguar Stakes (2.40) is Rainbow Rock. He couldn't have done more wrong when second over 1m2f on Thursday, but he made up so much ground that he has to be a
well-handicapped horse.

However, this is a better race and if Rainbow Rock takes time to warm up again he won't have any chance.

Kings Fete was backed for the St Leger in recent days and comes from a stable that always targets this race. He looked good when winning a fair race at York last time despite pulling hard and, if the hood settles him down, he will be hard to beat.

However, Oasis Fantasy is the one to back at 12-1 as he looks to be improving at a rate of knots, as would befit his pedigree. He looked good when storming down the outside to win a decent handicap over course and distance in June.

Today's bets


Secondo
2.05 Goodwood
1pt win at 14-1 generally


Kinglami
2.05 Goodwood
1pt win at 25-1 generally


Oasis Fantasy
2.40 Goodwood
1pt win at 12-1 with
William Hill and Ladbrokes


Muthmir
3.50 Goodwood
1pt win at 7-1 generally


Alben Star
3.50 Goodwood
1pt win at 12-1 with Coral and Ladbrokes

Good Luck All.

Harry Angstrom

Very sub-standard Nassau Stakes, the worst I've seen in a long time. The more I look at it, the more reasons I can find to oppose all of them....

jimjamcos

Harry Angstrom wrote: »

Very sub-standard Nassau Stakes, the worst I've seen in a long time. The more I look at it, the more reasons I can find to oppose all of them....

Woeful race. Back the ambulance!

Dan Chipowski

Nassua does look a horrible Group 1, backing Mango Diva as she's in form and the ground will be ok. Ground will be totally new to the French filly and Venus & Sultanina both look more about staying than speed to me so would fancy Mango Diva to do them for speed.

Looks a hard day otherwise.

fuzzydunlop85

How's the going up in Galway?

Harry Angstrom

fuzzydunlop85 wrote: »

How's the going up in Galway?

Going is tough, I reckon. Most of the punters are broke and badly hungover at this stage

jimjamcos

Harry Angstrom wrote: »

Going is tough, I reckon. Most of the punters are broke and badly hungover at this stage

Officials have applied 4mm of water this morning but report that it may not be enough to remove the sick and drink puddles formed over the last 5 days

ste2010

Beau michael today..money is coming but still he doesn't wear the tongue strap..
Not sure if they forgot it on their travels :-)

ComplyOrDie

ste2010 wrote: »

Beau michael today..money is coming but still he doesn't wear the tongue strap..
Not sure if they forgot it on their travels :-)

I was looking at him myself, but get the impression he hates the track (Flat)
Last 3 galway runs:

12 of 12
17 of 17
13 of 18

Down 11lb but still cany fancy

oPATCHo

7:45 Ham - ECONOMIC CRISIS (14/1)

- Came 4th in this last year
- Rain all day forecasted, the more the better
- Loves this track

Harry Angstrom

If in doubt, back the best jockey. Gone for Ryan Moore rather than Mango Diva in the Nassau today. Fcuking awful race. I can't believe that a valuable Fillies and Mares Group One could descend to this.

Mostly Harmless

Quite sweet on Confessional in the first at Goodwood, is down to a potentially exploitable mark and should be up to going very close if getting the breaks.

longshotvalue

Goodwood 3:50

Very tough race with not a lot standing out for me as great value, but I keep looking at York Glory at 33/1 and in case of regrets I’m going to have a go on him today. He appeared a sprinter going places last year at Ascot and had a few good runs after that but has been poor this year so far. Last time out he was hampered and wasn’t pushed after that but I’m hopeful that this race may have been his plan and if he fulfils the potential he showed last year he could get involved.

I’m also going with min bet on a couple of huge outsiders here in Ballesteros and Zero Money, both are on decent mark and are very inconsistent but on their day could well produce the good here.


1 Point EW 33/1 5 Places York Glory
½ Point EW 100/1 BetVictor 5 Places Ballesteros
½ Point EW 125/1 5 Places Zero Money

jimjamcos

aidankkk wrote: »

Goodwood 3:50

Very tough race with not a lot standing out for me as great value, but I keep looking at York Glory at 33/1 and in case of regrets I’m going to have a go on him today. He appeared a sprinter going places last year at Ascot and had a few good runs after that but has been poor this year so far. Last time out he was hampered and wasn’t pushed after that but I’m hopeful that this race may have been his plan and if he fulfils the potential he showed last year he could get involved.

I’m also going with min bet on a couple of huge outsiders here in Ballesteros and Zero Money, both are on decent mark and are very inconsistent but on their day could well produce the good here.


1 Point EW 33/1 5 Places York Glory
½ Point EW 100/1 BetVictor 5 Places Ballesteros
½ Point EW 125/1 5 Places Zero Money

Ryan said he done his best piece of work yet last Wednesday, when interviewed earlier.

FortuneChip

Siding with Narniyn in the Nassau. A few group wins to her name already.

Muthmir & Discussiontofollow in the Stewards' Cup.

Peintre Celebre

jimjamcos wrote: »

Ryan said he done his best piece of work yet last Wednesday, when interviewed earlier.

I thought he was on about Blaine

sonnky

Small e/w on Celtique Beau in the opener at Galway. Decent efforts last twice only fading late on and although this looks a better race he could get a place for his local trainer.

Harry Angstrom

Doyle did a bit of a Greville Starkey there.

rule supreme

going to take a chance with theatre bird ,would have a small each way chance if recapturing some of her old form .

ComplyOrDie

Great to see Prince rudi win that at 12, but mccarthy deserves a whip ban (11 from back of last)

BorneTobyWilde

Ashpan Sam 33-1 ew 3.50
Ground a concern, but I like it's place chances.Finished a hd behind Intrinsic 3 races back with 9 12lbs. Followed that up with a quick time and win on good ground.

rossom

Really think 3.50 Goodwood Discussiontofollow 12/1 has a fantastic each way chance in the Stewards Cup.

westmidlands

I'm taking Alben Star E/W in the 3.50 at Goodwood, has great potential for a good run there I think.

Harry Angstrom

Muthmir looked like a Group horse in the making at York last week, but 3/1 is a crazy price.

handsfree2

Blain

handsfree2

Blaine ew for me

Harry Angstrom

Jaysus, Shergar Cup next week. The worst Saturday of the year

gillamandango

4.15 Thirsk - Fieldgunner Kirkup might be a shade high in weights, but will love that ground

Soft Falling Rain

De Sousa lost on a 1/3 shot there at Newmarket. Main rivals were pulled out earlier in the day.

ComplyOrDie

Soft Falling Rain wrote: »

De Sousa lost on a 1/3 shot there at Newmarket. Main rivals were pulled out earlier in the day.

No suprise De sousa was on another loser

Soft Falling Rain

ComplyOrDie wrote: »

No suprise De sousa was on another loser

I've a lot of time for De Sousa tbh, will always give an honest account. But I'm always weary of these races that are already small fields that see one or two key rivals withdrawn.

BorneTobyWilde

Carerra 11-2 5.30
I think it can win this.

abarkie

Any reason to oppose Call Vinnie at Galway 17.55?

ComplyOrDie

abarkie wrote: »

Any reason to oppose Call Vinnie at Galway 17.55?

At his price I will avoid. I'm going for Lucky Pat, Punch bumper winner is quiet decent and although he has a few lenghts to make up with Vinnie I think the rain may be to his advantage

ew at 8/1 is a very good bet

Jerichoholic

ComplyOrDie wrote: »

At his price I will avoid. I'm going for Lucky Pat, Punch bumper winner is quiet decent and although he has a few lenghts to make up with Vinnie I think the rain may be to his advantage

ew at 8/1 is a very good bet

Great call

abarkie

ComplyOrDie wrote: »

At his price I will avoid. I'm going for Lucky Pat, Punch bumper winner is quiet decent and although he has a few lenghts to make up with Vinnie I think the rain may be to his advantage

ew at 8/1 is a very good bet

Covered my stake, so anything else would have been a loser for me

Change i tactics from Monday

Thanks

ComplyOrDie

I'm having some Galway.... 14/1, 12/1, 7/1, 10/1 winners but as they say it's all swings and roundabouts

BorneTobyWilde

Lingfield Lupus 20-1 ew 8.30
On a very low mark , will try to win this off this weight.

ComplyOrDie

Going for Ziggy's Secret 6.30 Lingfield , nice comeback run, improvement likely, very lightly raced (may have had problems) 10/1 (Small ew bet for me)

BumperD

abarkie wrote: »

Change i tactics from Monday

He was left behind at the start on Monday, he took a turn at the back of the field, tapes went up, losing 6 lengths. Lavery put his hands up after the race and took the blame. He sure made up for it today. I only learnt this post race on galway bay fm interview this evening. He's a jockey for the future

ComplyOrDie

BumperD wrote: »

He was left behind at the start on Monday, he took a turn at the back of the field, tapes went up, losing 6 lengths. Lavery put his hands up after the race and took the blame. He sure made up for it today. I only learnt this post race on galway bay fm interview this evening. He's a jockey for the future

I have confidence in him and he's very good value. Pity he wasn't able to make it as a pro, but it just shows how difficult it is when he's back as a Mr

abarkie

BumperD wrote: »

He was left behind at the start on Monday, he took a turn at the back of the field, tapes went up, losing 6 lengths. Lavery put his hands up after the race and took the blame. He sure made up for it today. I only learnt this post race on galway bay fm interview this evening. He's a jockey for the future

It doesnt say anything about it in Racing Post or Irish racing.com - typically!

ComplyOrDie

BumperD wrote: »

He was left behind at the start on Monday, he took a turn at the back of the field, tapes went up, losing 6 lengths. Lavery put his hands up after the race and took the blame. He sure made up for it today. I only learnt this post race on galway bay fm interview this evening. He's a jockey for the future

Did not know this myself, ouch for connections as he was backed from 14s into 7s, at least they got some compensation today.

BumperD

ComplyOrDie wrote: »

I have confidence in him and he's very good value. Pity he wasn't able to make it as a pro, but it just shows how difficult it is when he's back as a Mr

He had a lot of injuries according to the radio. Wonder did that cut his career short?Thought he was younger based on the I view post race? Anyway, seemed like a nice chap. Hope he stays injury free now.

ComplyOrDie

Hazelrigg 7.15 Hamilton - Should handle ground, a little to find with Bunce but good ew if it's the yard thats putting money down. into 7s from 9s

ComplyOrDie

BumperD wrote: »

He had a lot of injuries according to the radio. Wonder did that cut his career short?Thought he was younger based on the I view post race? Anyway, seemed like a nice chap. Hope he stays injury free now.

He was a hot topic a few years back when people wanted him to be replaced by a Pro on Moscow Mannon in Champ Bumper. Fair play to connections they stuck with him and he gave it as good a ride as anyone could have.

BumperD

abarkie wrote: »

It doesnt say anything about it in Racing Post or Irish racing.com - typically!

Racing post generally spot on to be fair. Well the print version anyway. The amount of data they have is incredible. Online version needs a little improvement. First my account details were hacked earlier this yr like a lot here. Now I get an email this week telling to clear out my online wallet that I have with them to buy books otherwise I will lose the money there. Asked me to fill in more forms for them etc etc but I don't trust them with my personal details. They can simply refund me my money otherwise they can seize it without authority, that will be interesting. Their communication dept may need an overhaul or more training as I'm not impressed by that email I got from them/ off topic, sorry, rant over.