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Thursday 12th September

  • 11-09-2013 4:49pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,370 ✭✭✭


    4.25 Doncaster

    Thunderball 16/1


    Scott Dixon's old boy Thunderball hasn't been in the best of form of late but I am sure this Doncaster Racing Club owned 7 year old has been targeted at this race for some time and he looks handicapped to strike given he is 3lb below the mark he was successful off over this C+D back in March in a stronger race. A tremendous servant throughout the years, Thunderball has racked up a fantastic 10 wins and 15 places from his 81 starts and I'm sure the shrewd Scott Dixon will have him spot on for this. Back in March, Thunderball ran home a determined 1L winner of a 0-100 handicap off a mark of 91 over this C+D in a race that has worked out really well on his last encounter on soft ground. The runner up Spinatrix has won twice since in really competitive handicaps including off a 3lb higher mark and now rated 105 he is 13lb higher than his defeat that day whilst the 4th home Shropshire was an excellent 2nd off the same mark at Doncaster on his next start in a rattling competitive handicap and was 2nd behind the excellent York Glory in the Wokingham Stakes at Royal Ascot off a 3lb higher mark to give the race a really strong look to it. For that victory he was raised to 5lb to a mark of 96 and in his 6 starts since then he has largely struggled but he ran a blinder in the Great St. Wilfid 2 starts back when doing best of those drawn on the wrong side off a mark of 91 and his latest poor performance at Chester can be forgiven. For those 6 runs, he has fallen 8lb to a mark of 88 and judged on his victory here back in March he definitely looks on the sort of mark he can have a massive say on. In addition to looking on a very winnable mark and returning to Doncaster, I think he'll really appreciate the cut in the ground and he has won the last twice when encountering soft (both over this C+D). Barring the few unexposed runners in the race, the majority of the field are seasoned handicappers that hold no secrets like Thunderball but this 7 year old looks to have ideal conditions at a venue he thrives at. Drawn in stall 16, I think he couldn't be any better positioned given that there looks a bias towards the near side rail and there seems to be most of the pace this side of the draw which should allow Thunderball to sit comfortably at the leaders quarters which he enjoys to do. Tom Queally, who has been absent for the last 5 starts, regains the reins having been on board for his Doncaster victory in March and the Scott Dixon yard are in good form at the moment. Having gotten himself well handicapped, Thunderball returns to the scene of his last 2 victories with conditions to suit and I am very sure that this Doncaster Racing Club owned 7 year old has been 100% aimed at this contest and I am very sweet on his chances in this big field handicap that he relishes.


Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,625 ✭✭✭✭Johner


    The Lark is as low as 11/8 favourite in a Group 2 race. That has to be the worst Group 2 I've ever seen.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,625 ✭✭✭✭Johner


    Like the look of Aqlaam Vision in the first at Doncaster at around 11/1.

    Ran really well in maidens over 5 and 6 furlongs, beaten just a head on good to soft ground at Lingfield ,the maiden at Goodwood were she finished 7th beaten just over 5 lengths looks a strong contest with the 3rd, 4th, 5th, 6th and 10th all winning after and couple of them look decent sorts. She was stepped up to a mile for her nursery debut and was just beaten by a Godolphin horse Anglophile. I don't think the step back in trip will be a problem and the ground won't be a problem either, Buick up aswell and I think this one will go well.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,625 ✭✭✭✭Johner


    GET IN THERE MY SON! :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,370 ✭✭✭rossom


    Well in Johner


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,370 ✭✭✭rossom


    2.50 Epsom Presidente 7/1 is described by Ed Walker as one for next year but he feels he can win his Maiden this year and I think he can today. The first foal of a 10f winning mare, Presidente was given a nice introduction over 6f at Windsor and I definitely feel he'll come on an awful lot for the run which the trainer's juveniles tend to do. The step up 7f should definitely suit and and I definitely see him running a big race in what is a winnable maiden.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,702 ✭✭✭tryfix


    Going to give Jathabah a go in the Park Hill, not too impressed with The Lark or the 2nd favourite either.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,370 ✭✭✭rossom


    Presidente looked distinctly one paced. Disappointing performance.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,564 ✭✭✭kiers47


    Seal of approval only bet today. Hasn't stopped improving and is still fairly unexposed compared to most of these...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,775 ✭✭✭✭Slattsy


    Completely bottled going balls deep on The Lark there - the Spencer factor puts me off any horse he's on.
    On another day, with another jock that was a lump job. Hopefully people braver than me cleaned up at 2/1 was too big against tree's :(


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,144 ✭✭✭BQQ


    Zain spirit is too big in the next at Epsom.

    20/1 when one he finished in front of lto is 5/1.
    James Doyle booked too, so no messing around.
    Worth a small each way.


    Both nowhere :(


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,144 ✭✭✭BQQ


    Elizabeth coffee used to be a useful sort round Dundalk.

    Double figure price in a weak affair at Wolverhampton (17:30) this evening.
    Placed in 2 of its last 3 runs. Tongue-tie added today might make the difference.
    Good each way chance anyway.



    [placed again s.p. 12s]


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,370 ✭✭✭rossom


    Can't fault Thunderball or Queally. Just only good enough for 3rd on the day.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,961 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    good picking rossom and so close

    your write up convinced me to go ew (14s) so
    happy out


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,666 ✭✭✭Howjoe1


    rossom wrote: »
    Can't fault Thunderball or Queally. Just only good enough for 3rd on the day.

    still a good shout Rossom. I was listening to the radio commentary and it sounded like he was ready to pounce up until last 1/2F.. sounded like the top weight saw it out well in the end.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,224 ✭✭✭jimjamcos


    BQQ wrote: »
    Elizabeth coffee used to be a useful sort round Dundalk.

    Double figure price in a weak affair at Wolverhampton (17:30) this evening.
    Placed in 2 of its last 3 runs. Tongue-tie added today might make the difference.
    Good each way chance anyway.



    [placed again s.p. 12s]


    Good shout and nice drift! ;) Slightly unlucky too!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,666 ✭✭✭Howjoe1


    Time to Begin 8.00 Wolverhampton. about 14/1, ew recommended.


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