Fairyhouse/Easter Weekend Racing

Johner

Annie Power should get a Grade 1 under her belt in the mares race. Main dangers look to be from the same stable in Glens Melody and Zuzka.

I really fancy Some Tikket to run a big race in the Grade 2 novice hurdle on Sunday. The way he has travelled in all 3 of his runs so far has been very eye catching and I think he could be a bit special. Barry Geraghty is booked for this one and I'm hoping for a nice enough price as it's a good contest with the likes of Bright New Dawn and Defy Logic lining up.

SRFC

Annie Power is forcast 10/11,will be best price about 4/11 I'd say,


I'd fancy welds or defy logic in the novice will wait to see what way they price it up.

handsfree

I'd be a little worried about the trip for Annie Power. Obviously the best horse in the race but now 4/7 so she has to be opposed.

Glen's Melody at 7/1 is the value

Johner

Trip wouldn't worry me one bit regarding Annie Power, I reckon she will improve with the step up to 2 and a half.

SRFC

Will be leaving the Mares race along let her win at 4/7 very dangerous game backing them ladies,If she bolts up it will enhance the chance of Nolans horse Defy Logic and might well shorten him


Some Tikket is too big at 8/1 imo.

Johner

I've taken the 8/1 about Some Tikket. Thought with the jockey booking of Barry Geragthy it would be shorter, obviously has to improve but he could be anything.

rossom

3.25 Fairyhouse

Pencilhimin 16/1

This one falls into the 'could be anything' category and invariably comes with a lot of risks given he's thrown into a competitive 21 runner handicap on just his 2nd start but if Gavin Cromwell's charge is anywhere near as good as his breeding suggests he could easily make both the bookmakers and handicapper look foolish by 3.30 tomorrow. A horse who has clearly had an awful lot of issues given that he only made his debut 15 days ago at the age of 8, Pencilhimin is a full brother to the wonderful Gold Cup winning War Of Attrition and he certainly showed that connections perseverance was justified when winning very easily at Limerick over 2m5f earlier this month. Jumping well for the most part, Robbie Power didn't have to get Pencilhimin out of 2nd gear as he went on to score by an easy 4.5L and it was a very pleasing effort on racecourse debut. Granted, that race was absolutely terrible but he couldn't have won much easier and he'll surely come on a lot both in terms of fitness and experience for that run. The handicapper could have made a massive, massive error in judgement by giving him an opening handicap mark of 106 and I think its quite telling that connections, have obviously had a torrid time getting him to the track, pitch him into a very competitive looking 21 runner handicap on just his 2nd start and I'm guessing they feel he has a massive chance in landing this. Davy Condon takes over from Robbie Power who can't make the weight and Gavin Cromwell's charge should definitely appreciate the step up to 3m. Despite making his debut at a very late stage and being so inexperienced, if Pencilhimin possesses half the talented of his excellent brother then he has the potential to blow this field away off a mark of 106.

handsfree

Defy Logic is the stand out horse in the novice hurdle.

For me Mala Beach (9/1) is the value. He's getting 6lbs off BND and only needs to find 3 lengths to reverse the form.

For the gold cup I think Oscar Wells form is the strongest. His defeat of Baily Green and 2nd to Beneficent looks decent now.

rossom

Didn't see the point of starting a new thread for this

3.50 Musselburgh

Moidore 13/2

Going to keep this short but I can't see John Quinn's 4 year old out of the first 3 and firmly believe he is the one they all have to beat. Formerly pretty progressive for Roger Charlton, this 4 year old joined John Quinn last August and after a solid effort on stable debut he stepped up to score impressively on his last start on the flat last September off a mark of 80 at Hamilton over 1m5f by 1.5L. Under tomorrow's pilot Michael O'Connell, Moidore sat in behind the pace before coming with a long persistent challenge before getting on top in the final furlong to score in dogged fashion. The form of that race looks strong with the runner up winning impressively on his next start off the same mark and it certainly looked as if there was more to come from this son of Galileo. Since then, Moidore has had 3 runs over hurdles where he was probably disappointing on his final start but I heard there was a possibility he was to have a breathing operation (I've no clue if they went through with it) and it can only be seen as a positive if he has. Even if he hasn't, the 5lb rise to a mark of 85 looks more than reasonable based on his latest flat success and I think he'll relish being stepped up an extra furlong. Seemingly versatile in relation to ground, Moidore is entitled to have grown quite a lot between the age of 3 and 4 and he certainly didn't come across as a horse who was exposed. Coming from the John Quinn yard which is clearly in sparkling form as they landed the Lincoln yesterday, I think Moidore has a fantastic chance of winning this and I'll be rather surprised if he doesn't at least fill the places.

Hulk Hands

It looks impossible to oppose Annie Power, 4/7 looks a bit of a gift to be honest. I think 5/2 about Defy Logic is more than fair. Oscar Wells then at 4's in the Powers Gold Cup.

Colonel Sanders

I'm hoping Annie Power wins as it'll make my 3/1 Defy Logic look bigger again

Probably should have doubled the 2 of them

Johner

Lads I already told you who will win that race. Some Tikket. Delighted with 8/1 last night.

ft9

Defy Logic and Oscars Well double paying just about 14/1 for me.

Shane732

Anyone see Benemeade being beaten?

Colonel Sanders

Decent punt on Defy Logic

Not much 2/1 left & he's shorter on the machine. Sportinglife forecast was 11/4 which I didn't think we'd see so it would have been rude not to take the 3/1

Hopefully Annie Power makes the form look very solid in the race before

Johner

Shane732 wrote: »

Anyone see Benemeade being beaten?

He's far too short. I think he will win but no value.

Shane732

Johner wrote: »

He's far too short. I think he will win but no value.

I agree he's very short but as part of a bigger bet...

Hulk Hands

Colonel Sanders wrote: »

Decent punt on Defy Logic

Not much 2/1 left & he's shorter on the machine. Sportinglife forecast was 11/4 which I didn't think we'd see so it would have been rude not to take the 3/1

Hopefully Annie Power makes the form look very solid in the race before

Did a small double earlier (4/7,5/2) also along with singles on both. One of the rare times it actually makes sense to do a double.

There's no point in backing Defy Logic now at the price, people might as well wait to see if the form is franked. He's been backed this morning on the expectation that Annie Power will hose up. He will either stay 7/4 or so, or drift wildly if she loses

UrbanSea

Think it's tough enough racing, going to take a chance on Marie De Ja La in the last at Plumpton. She seems ungenuine and moody but is undeniably well handicapped at a pound below her last win mark, and was then second over this course and distance off a stone higher. Hasn't put her best foot forward for the majority of the year but there was some hope at Fontwell on Stephen's Day. Not one to get overly involved with financially but at 20/1 she seems too big in a weak race.

Shane732

Shane732 wrote: »

I agree he's very short but as part of a bigger bet...

Well there's my treble gone at the first hurdle!!!

Johner

The new Quevega.

sonnky

Easy for Annie Power there. Glens Melody ran well in second!

SRFC

Nice 1-2 for the champion trainer :cool:


She is another freak between herself and upsie they have the mares hurdle wrapped up for the next few seasons.

SRFC

Defy Logic smashed up into 13/8 after the mare bolting up.

STB

rossom wrote: »

3.25 Fairyhouse

Pencilhimin 16/1

This one falls into the 'could be anything' category and invariably comes with a lot of risks given he's thrown into a competitive 21 runner handicap on just his 2nd start but if Gavin Cromwell's charge is anywhere near as good as his breeding suggests he could easily make both the bookmakers and handicapper look foolish by 3.30 tomorrow. A horse who has clearly had an awful lot of issues given that he only made his debut 15 days ago at the age of 8, Pencilhimin is a full brother to the wonderful Gold Cup winning War Of Attrition and he certainly showed that connections perseverance was justified when winning very easily at Limerick over 2m5f earlier this month. Jumping well for the most part, Robbie Power didn't have to get Pencilhimin out of 2nd gear as he went on to score by an easy 4.5L and it was a very pleasing effort on racecourse debut. Granted, that race was absolutely terrible but he couldn't have won much easier and he'll surely come on a lot both in terms of fitness and experience for that run. The handicapper could have made a massive, massive error in judgement by giving him an opening handicap mark of 106 and I think its quite telling that connections, have obviously had a torrid time getting him to the track, pitch him into a very competitive looking 21 runner handicap on just his 2nd start and I'm guessing they feel he has a massive chance in landing this. Davy Condon takes over from Robbie Power who can't make the weight and Gavin Cromwell's charge should definitely appreciate the step up to 3m. Despite making his debut at a very late stage and being so inexperienced, if Pencilhimin possesses half the talented of his excellent brother then he has the potential to blow this field away off a mark of 106.

Are you single handly betting in this market ?

20s to 10s.

UrbanSea

Pencilhimin was the one that caught my eye, mark of 106 after a maiden win first time out that was no fluke looked surprisingly jealous, but a horse having his second start in this kind of race is tricky


If I went for any in the race it'd be an overpriced Ancient Days each way at 25s having finally gotten his head in front

SRFC

He's a full brother to War of Attrition isnt he,they didnt keep him in training as an 8 yr old if he was no good I personally think he's thrown in off that mark.

Colonel Sanders

During the week I was trying to get matched for a champion hurdle price on Annie Power on Betfair to no avail

Looking at that she may well step up in trip. Quevega isn't getting any younger but if she stays sound could connections resist trying to go back for a 6th go at the mares race

Hulk Hands

Why on earth was an already keen horse running in headgear?

TheMilkyPirate

Jesus that hurt

Shane732

Fu*k sake!! Can't believe that.

Shane732

Hulk Hands wrote: »

Why on earth was an already keen horse running in headgear?

God only knows.

I'm going to sit in a dark room for a while.

SRFC

Beaten at 1.01 inrunning take it nobody traded out.

Mr. Manager

Well that sucked..

Hulk Hands

SRFC wrote: »

Beaten at 1.01 inrunning take it nobody traded out.

1.3 was the smallest I seen. Got a small bit out at 1.4

sonnky

Prideoftheparish and Anonis unfortunately had to be put down after falling in the Novices Hurdle.

SRFC

Hulk Hands wrote: »

1.3 was the smallest I seen. Got a small bit out at 1.4

Yeah just read there on bf tom lee was obviously watching the place market,Nice trading op on that horse anyways didnt have a bet.

naughto

have pensilhim done in this one

that went well anyway

Johner

Brave win for Byerley Babe at Cork there. Love a horse that sticks his neck out like that.

Oscars Well looks tempting at 5.0 on Betfair for this, won't be having a bet though :pac: I reckon this trip and the ground will suit, cream doesn't always rise to the top in racing though.

I reckon Mount B' has a lot to prove and the odds on both Dedigout and Mikael D' look really skimpy.

Fingers crossed it's a decent race and they all get back safe and sound.

rossom

Pencilhimin was very odd. Lost track of him and saw he was tailed off out the back. Will have to watch it back to see what happened as I never saw Condon get after him at any stage.

Moidore done in a head bobber wasn't friendly!

mr.jingle

Some day for Gordon Elliott! Was willing Mikael D'haguenet all the way up the straight, at least he stayed up!

rossom

Couple more small bets for me

5.25 Musselburgh Headstight 9/1
5.35 Plumpton Meridiem 16/1

handsfree

handsfree wrote: »

Defy Logic is the stand out horse in the novice hurdle.

For me Mala Beach (9/1) is the value. He's getting 6lbs off BND and only needs to find 3 lengths to reverse the form.

For the gold cup I think Oscar Wells form is the strongest. His defeat of Baily Green and 2nd to Beneficent looks decent now.

Got Mala Beach 16/1 on course. BOOM

He'll be a very decent chaser next year

djone349

rossom wrote: »

Couple more small bets for me

5.25 Musselburgh Headstight 9/1
5.35 Plumpton Meridiem 16/1

had meridiem 16 e/w nice little profit cheers rossom. great picks all weekend!

Colonel Sanders

Hulk Hands wrote: »

1.3 was the smallest I seen. Got a small bit out at 1.4

1.21 was the in play low according to the results section on Timeform

sonnky wrote: »

Prideoftheparish and Anonis unfortunately had to be put down after falling in the Novices Hurdle.

Puts it all into perspective really, I was going to have a moan about dropping a small few quid until I read this. Awful for connections

ste2010

Fancies for tomorrow
Worth nothing Tim Vaughan is sending the first 2 selections as his only horses approx 300miles to both race courses.

fakenham 3.15 Quadrato 6-1
Newcastle 5.55 Captain moonman ew 14-1
3.35 plumpton teshali ew 14-1
3.35 plumpton minella special 4-1
4.05 plumpton latterly/nonobunga
2.35 plumpton sash of honor Sp

Fairy house
National
marsonnien ew
quietly fancied ew

Piqué sous in the novice hurdle..can't believe he's 6-1...

ste2010

ste2010 wrote: »

Fancies for tomorrow
Worth nothing Tim Vaughan is sending the first 2 selections as his only horses approx 300miles to both race courses.

fakenham 3.15 Quadrato 6-1
Newcastle 5.55 Captain moonman ew 14-1
3.35 plumpton teshali ew 14-1
3.35 plumpton minella special 4-1
4.05 plumpton latterly/nonobunga
2.35 plumpton sash of honor Sp

Fairy house
National
marsonnien ew
quietly fancied ew

Piqué sous in the novice hurdle..can't believe he's 6-1...

Not a bad day at the office
Piqué sous and minella special in the bag.
Nonobunga and quadrato both seconds
Bit of a kitty to throw on grandouet and up and go this week

3ndahalfof6

ste2010 wrote: »

Not a bad day at the office
Piqué sous and minella special in the bag.
Nonobunga and quadrato both seconds
Bit of a kitty to throw on grandouet and up and go this week

You did well sir you did well, now is that spare room ready for me yet.

paddymayoman

ste2010 wrote: »

Fancies for tomorrow
Worth nothing Tim Vaughan is sending the first 2 selections as his only horses approx 300miles to both race courses.

fakenham 3.15 Quadrato 6-1
Newcastle 5.55 Captain moonman ew 14-1
3.35 plumpton teshali ew 14-1
3.35 plumpton minella special 4-1
4.05 plumpton latterly/nonobunga
2.35 plumpton sash of honor Sp

Fairy house
National
marsonnien ew
quietly fancied ew

Piqué sous in the novice hurdle..can't believe he's 6-1...

Got on Pique Sous myself when I read this got hi at 4/1 today, cheers for the heads up!