Friday 28th December

rossom

2.30 Lingfield

Kakatosi 10/1

I think Mike Murphy's new recruit has a fantastic chance on his stable debut dropped back to 6f for only the 2nd time in his career (well beaten other time) and I expect this extremely well handicapped 5 year old to run a very big race. Formerly with Andrew Balding, Kakatosi was a very decent 3 year old who won 4 races on the spin including in a handicap off a mark of 94 and at his best he was a 104 rated animal. However, he's been largely out of sorts in the past year which has seen him fall from a mark of 95 at the start of the year to a career low mark of 80 which I think Murphy will definitely be able to exploit. He has shown the odd glimpse that his ability remains intact as shown when only beaten a length at Brighton off a mark of 83 at the end of September and I am hoping that the change of scenery will work wonders and Kakatosi looks exactly the sort that Mike Murphy will excel with. I find it very interesting that he is dropped back to 6f on his stable debut and I think its definitely a trip that is worth exploring and I think the race looks like it could pan out very nicely for him. Looking through the opposition, there certainly doesn't look like there will be much pace and although he doesn't always lead I really hope Eddie Ahern makes full use of his draw in stall 1 to make all. I feel there is a strong chance he'll get an uncontested lead and hope he'll be able to kick off the front and utilise his stamina which should hopefully make him very hard to catch. He's got a good record at the track with a win in a maiden and a narrowly beaten 5th in his 2 course starts and its clear its a venue he likes. At 5 years of age, he certainly isn't over the hill and I'd be very surprised if he can't be competitive off his current mark. Mike Murphy has his horses in very good form at the moment and this represents his only runner of the day at a track where he has an excellent 3-12 record. Clearly a well handicapped horse, if a change of scenery has worked the oracle then I think Kakatosi will run a very big race and hopefully land a confident bet at a nice price.

rossom

3.20 Catterick

Carmela Maria 11/4

Clearly was never going to be as nice a price that was available about her the last day but I'm very confident that Carmela Maria can defy a 7lb penalty for her win over today's C+D 10 days ago and land this race for the 2nd successive year. Mike Sowesby's 7 year old is a completely different horse at Catterick with her form in handicaps at the track 1-1-3-1 and I think she'll take an awful lot of beating as she attempts to repeat her 2011 exploits by winning the same two races at Catterick in successive seasons. Prior to winning LTO, Carmela Maria's form this year had been pretty poor but it was very clear to me that she was being aimed at the Catterick contest for quite a while and she had fallen in the handicap to a mark that was just 1lb above her 2011 success of 85. Under today's pilot Ed Linehan, Carmela Maria ran in snatches throughout the race but was given a lovely ride by her young pilot as she made up an awful lot of ground in the long run in between the final 2 flights but after jumping the last level she pulled clear up the run in to score by a going away 5L. She was definitely helped by long time leader Our Jim, who reopposes tomorrow on 7lb better terms, hitting the hurdle hard but there is no doubt in my mind Carmela Maria would have won regardless. The penalty for that victory brings her mark up to 92 which is 2lb above the mark she scored off last year and I'm confident she'll have no issue with the higher mark. Moreover, she is 10lb below the mark she was only beaten 1L off over today's C+D in February this year. With conditions absolutely fine, I'm very confident that Carmela Maria will run her usual great race at Catterick and I'll be a little surprised if she doesn't land this race for the 2nd year running.

Colonel Sanders

All the money for Sir Des. 5/2 from 10/3 last night. 7/4 Flemenstar

Big Daddy Cool

I'm on Doc Hollywood, Monksland, Supreme Carolina, and Sir Des Champs today.

2 out of 4 and a nice little profit on top of Cause of causes last saturday

UrbanSea

Have backed two so far. I can Run Can You at Leicester at 10/1, badly out of form but dropping markedly in the weights.

Anoosu in the second at Leop 16/1, form of his second two runs back is quite strong. Been in good form generally this year and should go well at a price

ste2010

Jacked solitaire for me in the 2.20 in catterick
Also think el fontan is overpriced in the novice chase in leopardstoen

prettyboy81

Good start for the bookies, Ruby Walsh on his arse in the 1st race.

Morgans

Think Our Vinnie will beat Pride of the Parish in the 1.35 at Limerick.

Forecast is over 5/2. (3.59). That will do me.

RichieLawlor

Some ride from Carberry, absolute magic

greenman09

Everytime I back a Ruby Walsh ridden horse it never wins.monksland did well.

Morgans

Morgans wrote: »

Think Our Vinnie will beat Pride of the Parish in the 1.35 at Limerick.

Forecast is over 5/2. (3.59). That will do me.

Well done Our Vinnie. Would have been an unlucky loser.

UrbanSea

Not sure how such a discrepancy in price occured there Morgans. I thought it'd be nearer 11/10 the pair, 8/15 a crazy price

Morgans

Yeah. Note the horses that Byrnes punts. When the money is on, whether they win or lose, they are good animals. Form at Cork was very good as well.

Forecast paid 3.86.

RichieLawlor

Morgans wrote: »

Think Our Vinnie will beat Pride of the Parish in the 1.35 at Limerick.

Forecast is over 5/2. (3.59). That will do me.

Well done

3ndahalfof6

1 DOWN 1 to go Rossom nice picking.

rossom

rossom wrote: »

2.30 Lingfield

Kakatosi 10/1

I think Mike Murphy's new recruit has a fantastic chance on his stable debut dropped back to 6f for only the 2nd time in his career (well beaten other time) and I expect this extremely well handicapped 5 year old to run a very big race. Formerly with Andrew Balding, Kakatosi was a very decent 3 year old who won 4 races on the spin including in a handicap off a mark of 94 and at his best he was a 104 rated animal. However, he's been largely out of sorts in the past year which has seen him fall from a mark of 95 at the start of the year to a career low mark of 80 which I think Murphy will definitely be able to exploit. He has shown the odd glimpse that his ability remains intact as shown when only beaten a length at Brighton off a mark of 83 at the end of September and I am hoping that the change of scenery will work wonders and Kakatosi looks exactly the sort that Mike Murphy will excel with. I find it very interesting that he is dropped back to 6f on his stable debut and I think its definitely a trip that is worth exploring and I think the race looks like it could pan out very nicely for him. Looking through the opposition, there certainly doesn't look like there will be much pace and although he doesn't always lead I really hope Eddie Ahern makes full use of his draw in stall 1 to make all. I feel there is a strong chance he'll get an uncontested lead and hope he'll be able to kick off the front and utilise his stamina which should hopefully make him very hard to catch. He's got a good record at the track with a win in a maiden and a narrowly beaten 5th in his 2 course starts and its clear its a venue he likes. At 5 years of age, he certainly isn't over the hill and I'd be very surprised if he can't be competitive off his current mark. Mike Murphy has his horses in very good form at the moment and this represents his only runner of the day at a track where he has an excellent 3-12 record. Clearly a well handicapped horse, if a change of scenery has worked the oracle then I think Kakatosi will run a very big race and hopefully land a confident bet at a nice price.

Cheers 3andahalf. Been a while since I've backed a Mike Murphy horse but he rarely lets me down.

UrbanSea

Well done Rossom. I put Kakatosi up last month but no joy. Thought he was going in soon but thought one more run. That's racing

Edit: Have had a small win on Buxton in the next at Lingfield. Ran a cracker off a pound higher two runs back after a long time off. Not so good next two runs, was ok, but could go in soon at around this mark


Edit: Drift said it all. Out to 40/1 on bf

dahat

Cheers rossom,good call....

rossom

Cheers lads

Shame with Carmela Maria as I think she would have won the race well. Considering she was cruising around today compared with running in snatches the last day I think she would have taken a hell of a lot of beating. Wasn't to be however but she owes me nothing from the last day. a

mountai

Morgans wrote: »

Yeah. Note the horses that Byrnes punts. When the money is on, whether they win or lose, they are good animals. Form at Cork was very good as well.

Forecast paid 3.86.

I"ve been singing this horses praise since he was beaten in Cheltenham. Funny thing is --- he will be HUGELY better on deacent ground. His last two races have been run in less than favourable conditions, he has had to make the pace,has been headed after the last but has gotton up on the line to win. Byrnes has stated that the Albert Bartlett is his target. Have bet him @20s and had another cut at him at 14s today.

BTW How did a Byrnes horse win at 20/1 today???

Luap

Unlucky with Carmela, didn't jump we'll at all. But still think he would of won f he didn't fall.

Drummerboy2

Thanks Rossom for your valued insight.

0ph0rce0

rossom wrote: »

2.30 Lingfield

Kakatosi 10/1

I think Mike Murphy's new recruit has a fantastic chance on his stable debut dropped back to 6f for only the 2nd time in his career (well beaten other time) and I expect this extremely well handicapped 5 year old to run a very big race. Formerly with Andrew Balding, Kakatosi was a very decent 3 year old who won 4 races on the spin including in a handicap off a mark of 94 and at his best he was a 104 rated animal. However, he's been largely out of sorts in the past year which has seen him fall from a mark of 95 at the start of the year to a career low mark of 80 which I think Murphy will definitely be able to exploit. He has shown the odd glimpse that his ability remains intact as shown when only beaten a length at Brighton off a mark of 83 at the end of September and I am hoping that the change of scenery will work wonders and Kakatosi looks exactly the sort that Mike Murphy will excel with. I find it very interesting that he is dropped back to 6f on his stable debut and I think its definitely a trip that is worth exploring and I think the race looks like it could pan out very nicely for him. Looking through the opposition, there certainly doesn't look like there will be much pace and although he doesn't always lead I really hope Eddie Ahern makes full use of his draw in stall 1 to make all. I feel there is a strong chance he'll get an uncontested lead and hope he'll be able to kick off the front and utilise his stamina which should hopefully make him very hard to catch. He's got a good record at the track with a win in a maiden and a narrowly beaten 5th in his 2 course starts and its clear its a venue he likes. At 5 years of age, he certainly isn't over the hill and I'd be very surprised if he can't be competitive off his current mark. Mike Murphy has his horses in very good form at the moment and this represents his only runner of the day at a track where he has an excellent 3-12 record. Clearly a well handicapped horse, if a change of scenery has worked the oracle then I think Kakatosi will run a very big race and hopefully land a confident bet at a nice price.

Jesus rossom, its because of yu and this stupid tip that I won loads of cash and am now hungover to ****

THANK YOU X X X