Wednesday 12th Decemeber

rossom

3.30 Lingfield

Captain Kendall 8/1

If fully wound up on the back of a 220 day break and taking to the AW, I think David Evans 3 year old will go very close to landing this hands and heels apprentice handicap on his handicap debut off a mark of 62 as he has been absolutely crying out for a step up in trip. Captain Kendall made his racecourse debut in July 2011 as a 2 year old when running a race full of promise over 6f at Windsor. Settled in midfield of the 16 runner field, Captain Kendall was a bit green in the early stages and was outpaced when the race starting to get serious at around the 3f pole. Under an educational ride, Cathy Gannon took care of him under hands and heels riding where he made some lovely progress in the final couple of furlong as he ran on strongly to finish a highly respectable 7.75L beaten 5th. It was a pleasing effort and the form of that race looks strong. The four horses who finished in front of him that day (3 had the benefit of a run) are now rated 85, 91, 58 (but finished 2nd off 81 soon after this race) and 74 whilst the 6th and 8th are now rated 82 and 87 respectively. In retrospect that Maiden was definitely above average and on debut over what was clearly a trip too short it was a run full of promise. For one reason or another that was his only start as a 2 year old and it was nearly 11 months until he was next seen on the track for what was his debut as a 3 year old in April of this year. Kept at 6f at Bath, Captain Kendall was set a near impossible task against the at the time 105 rated Lethal Force who had finished a close up 4th in a couple of Grade 2s previously (has won one since) but he still ran a race full of promise. Help up off the speed, once again Captain Kendall was outpaced with about 3f to go but he was subjected to tender handling (whip never raised) by Padraig Beggy as he stayed on very nicely to take 2nd on the line to finish 9L behind the easy winner. Excluding Legal Force, the form of that race doesn't look great although the 3rd Chicarito had gotten beaten 0.75L off a mark of 58 on his previous start whilst the last home has come out and finished 2nd off a mark of 70 in the interim period and it certainly appeared in my eyes that he was comfortably the best of the rest that day.

Captain Kendall has had one more start which came a little over two weeks later over 6f at Salisbury when again facing a very stiff task against a 106 rated horse in the shape of Fort Bastion who had finished 2nd in a Group 3 and was beaten less than 4L in a Group 1 in his two previous starts and it is of no surprise that Captain Kendall was outclassed by this rival. For the 3rd race in his career, the familiar trend of being outpaced at about the 3f pole was once again evident as he,unsurprisingly, picked up nicely in the final 2f to finish a never threatening 13L beaten 3rd (1.5L behind 2nd). The form of that race doesn't look too bad with the front running 2nd Zhiggy's Stardust (was his debut) running a fine race behind a couple of horses rated in the 80s on his only subsequent start whilst the 6th Choice Words placed off a mark of 67 a month later (regressed since) but in truth its pretty hard to assess bar the visual impression Captain Kendall left. Over a trip that was clearly inadequate, Captain Kendall has achieved an opening mark of 62 from the handicapper and I think it definitely looks exploitable on what he has achieved so far. Whether it was by design or not, I think the fact Captain Kendall faced two impossible tasks against Group class horses on his last 2 starts really played to his advantage from a handicapping perspective and I think it certainly could have helped him get a lenient mark (although I could be wrong).

This 3 year old gelding finally gets stepped up in trip to 1m on what is his handicap and AW debut and I really think he has the potential to make a real impact off this mark. Another huge bonus I see for Captain Kendall is that he has only been hit with the whip once in his short career but has picked up under urgings on all 3 starts which is definitely an advantage in this hands and heels handicap tomorrow. Young apprentice Eoin Walsh takes the ride and a handy 5lb off and I've been pretty impressed with him since he has come over to David Evans from Dermot Weld for the winter months and he has already made quite an impact in his short time scoring 3 times in 14 starts for the Welsh based trainer. I have no qualms about his ability and see his booking as a positive. Although Captain Kendall has a 220 day absence to overcome, he ran all the way to the line on debut and on his 2nd start on the back of a long break so I think he has no real issue running fresh and he has a nice draw in stall 5. With Dave Evans having his string in really good order at present, I'm hopeful of a very big display from this handicap debutant and if the step up in trip works the oracle then I am confident Captain Kendall will go close to landing this 0-65 Apprentice handicap.

BlueBaron

rossom wrote: »

3.30 Lingfield

Captain Kendall 8/1

If fully wound up on the back of a 220 day break and taking to the AW, I think David Evans 3 year old will go very close to landing this hands and heels apprentice handicap on his handicap debut off a mark of 62 as he has been absolutely crying out for a step up in trip. Captain Kendall made his racecourse debut in July 2011 as a 2 year old when running a race full of promise over 6f at Windsor. Settled in midfield of the 16 runner field, Captain Kendall was a bit green in the early stages and was outpaced when the race starting to get serious at around the 3f pole. Under an educational ride, Cathy Gannon took care of him under hands and heels riding where he made some lovely progress in the final couple of furlong as he ran on strongly to finish a highly respectable 7.75L beaten 5th. It was a pleasing effort and the form of that race looks strong. The four horses who finished in front of him that day (3 had the benefit of a run) are now rated 85, 91, 58 (but finished 2nd off 81 soon after this race) and 74 whilst the 6th and 8th are now rated 82 and 87 respectively. In retrospect that Maiden was definitely above average and on debut over what was clearly a trip too short it was a run full of promise. For one reason or another that was his only start as a 2 year old and it was nearly 11 months until he was next seen on the track for what was his debut as a 3 year old in April of this year. Kept at 6f at Bath, Captain Kendall was set a near impossible task against the at the time 105 rated Lethal Force who had finished a close up 4th in a couple of Grade 2s previously (has won one since) but he still ran a race full of promise. Help up off the speed, once again Captain Kendall was outpaced with about 3f to go but he was subjected to tender handling (whip never raised) by Padraig Beggy as he stayed on very nicely to take 2nd on the line to finish 9L behind the easy winner. Excluding Legal Force, the form of that race doesn't look great although the 3rd Chicarito had gotten beaten 0.75L off a mark of 58 on his previous start whilst the last home has come out and finished 2nd off a mark of 70 in the interim period and it certainly appeared in my eyes that he was comfortably the best of the rest that day.

Captain Kendall has had one more start which came a little over two weeks later over 6f at Salisbury when again facing a very stiff task against a 106 rated horse in the shape of Fort Bastion who had finished 2nd in a Group 3 and was beaten less than 4L in a Group 1 in his two previous starts and it is of no surprise that Captain Kendall was outclassed by this rival. For the 3rd race in his career, the familiar trend of being outpaced at about the 3f pole was once again evident as he,unsurprisingly, picked up nicely in the final 2f to finish a never threatening 13L beaten 3rd (1.5L behind 2nd). The form of that race doesn't look too bad with the front running 2nd Zhiggy's Stardust (was his debut) running a fine race behind a couple of horses rated in the 80s on his only subsequent start whilst the 6th Choice Words placed off a mark of 67 a month later (regressed since) but in truth its pretty hard to assess bar the visual impression Captain Kendall left. Over a trip that was clearly inadequate, Captain Kendall has achieved an opening mark of 62 from the handicapper and I think it definitely looks exploitable on what he has achieved so far. Whether it was by design or not, I think the fact Captain Kendall faced two impossible tasks against Group class horses on his last 2 starts really played to his advantage from a handicapping perspective and I think it certainly could have helped him get a lenient mark (although I could be wrong).

This 3 year old gelding finally gets stepped up in trip to 1m on what is his handicap and AW debut and I really think he has the potential to make a real impact off this mark. Another huge bonus I see for Captain Kendall is that he has only been hit with the whip once in his short career but has picked up under urgings on all 3 starts which is definitely an advantage in this hands and heels handicap tomorrow. Young apprentice Eoin Walsh takes the ride and a handy 5lb off and I've been pretty impressed with him since he has come over to David Evans from Dermot Weld for the winter months and he has already made quite an impact in his short time scoring 3 times in 14 starts for the Welsh based trainer. I have no qualms about his ability and see his booking as a positive. Although Captain Kendall has a 220 day absence to overcome, he ran all the way to the line on debut and on his 2nd start on the back of a long break so I think he has no real issue running fresh and he has a nice draw in stall 5. With Dave Evans having his string in really good order at present, I'm hopeful of a very big display from this handicap debutant and if the step up in trip works the oracle then I am confident Captain Kendall will go close to landing this 0-65 Apprentice handicap.

Missed you the last few days Rossom, great write up as usual, has me convinced anyway:P

Good Luck and keep em coming!

UrbanSea

Lumping on Black N Brew each way at 20/1 7.00 Dundalk. Has been running over too far of late and the handicapper has been very generous. Was beaten into second off this course and distance in January off 72. Two length third to Billyford last December looks good given that he's rated 95 now

Slattsy

8.30 Dundalk - Silverlord 12/1 (bet365)

Gonna give this fella a punt this evening.
Gordon Elliott runs two in this race, and as we all know Elliott is a bit of a gangster :pac: and this makes me wonder that he may be running his more fancied runner at the head of the weights simply to give my fancy Silverlord a nice winnable weight.

Silverlord was sent over to Wolverhampton for his last run and went off 5/2 fav, but never really looked comfortable on the surface and finished a well beaten 10th of 12.

Previously he'd beaten the useful Raydari at Dundalk, who was going for a 3 timer, and Raydari subsequently ran a very creditable 2nd beaten only short head to today's favourite - Shake The Bucket.

Silverlord has course winning form here over 1m 2f and has also won over 2 miles in a novice hurdle previously, so todays distance of 1m 4f will be ideal.
If you can forgive Silverlord's last run at Wolverhampton, i think 12/1 is huge.

rossom

Captain Kendall was very well supported into 4/1 but was ridiculously keen and pulled the arms of the jockey and that killed his chance. Clearly was thought to have a very good chance but not one to give up on yet.

Pinesky

Backed into 4/1 blasted off in front trio at too quick a pace . Wide throughout faded 2 out . Obviously still retains ability one for horse tracker

MoscowFlyer

Machete Mark in the 6.30 @ Dundalk.

Pretty unlucky in running on his debut so hopefully things go his way here and can run a big race.

On myself @ 6s but now around 5s

Meh, only 3rd.

---

7pm - Fleeting moment 14/1

Racing off a mark of 54 but with a 3lb claimer and finally an inside draw. E/W possibilities imo

UrbanSea

UrbanSea wrote: »

Lumping on Black N Brew each way at 20/1 7.00 Dundalk. Has been running over too far of late and the handicapper has been very generous. Was beaten into second off this course and distance in January off 72. Two length third to Billyford last December looks good given that he's rated 95 now

Ran a stinker. Needs to show more before I'm on again

Slattsy

Slattsy wrote: »

8.30 Dundalk - Silverlord 12/1 (bet365)

Gonna give this fella a punt this evening.
Gordon Elliott runs two in this race, and as we all know Elliott is a bit of a gangster :pac: and this makes me wonder that he may be running his more fancied runner at the head of the weights simply to give my fancy Silverlord a nice winnable weight.

Silverlord was sent over to Wolverhampton for his last run and went off 5/2 fav, but never really looked comfortable on the surface and finished a well beaten 10th of 12.

Previously he'd beaten the useful Raydari at Dundalk, who was going for a 3 timer, and Raydari subsequently ran a very creditable 2nd beaten only short head to today's favourite - Shake The Bucket.

Silverlord has course winning form here over 1m 2f and has also won over 2 miles in a novice hurdle previously, so todays distance of 1m 4f will be ideal.
If you can forgive Silverlord's last run at Wolverhampton, i think 12/1 is huge.

Thats what i get for being cynical of Elliott - both of them ran stinkers