Wednesday 19th September

rossom

4.20 Yarmouth

Dannios 7/1 NAP

The legendary Dannios looks an absolutely huge price to win this today and extend his unbeaten record to 6 at the track. He's in belting form this year, winning both starts (at Yarmouth) and he comes here on the back of an impressive victory over 7f when winning rather easily by 2.5L. The form of that race looks good with the 2nd Sunley Pride running an excellent race in a better race LTO. I think the 5lb rise for Dannios is very fair and I don't think he'll find it too hot today now upped to a Class 4. Noel Garbutt takes the ride again and is 2-2 on this 6 year old and again takes a handy 7lb off. In great form at present, I'm having a big bet on Ed Walker's hack as I think he will take an awful lot of beating but I just can't understand how he is such a big price: 5-5 at the track and on a hat trick. Looks a stone wall e/w bet to nothing but I'm very confident I'll be collecting for the win as well.

rossom

5.05 Sandown

Alice's Dancer 16/1 NB

Can't quite understand the price of William Muir's 3 year old and I think this filly will run a very big race if staying the mile which I think she has a very good chance of doing. Her past 5 starts read 12216 with her last race a very decent 3L beaten 6th at Salisbury off this mark earlier this month over 6f. I think she was a bit unlucky that day as she raced far side whilst those who were to the fore at the finish were all racing towards the stand side. Regardless, she was doing all her best work at the end of the very competitive looking Class 2 handicap which looks potentially a very hot race with the 2nd Valencha (only horse in front of Alice's Dancer to come out subsequently) has run an excellent 3rd in a Group. 2 starts back Alice's Dancer won in taking fashion to assert close home to when landing a 7f Class 3 event at Newmarket off a 3lb lower mark in August. In a meddling 5 runner affair, they went pretty slowly early on but picked up the pace with about 5f to go and Alice's Dancer came with an excellent late rattle to win by 3/4 of a length. Today Alice's Dancer drops back to a Class 4 event and given that she won a Class 3 and was competitive in a Class 2 in her previous two efforts I just can't understand why she is 16/1 as this race looks easier than her latest assignments. She has shaped on occasion as she would appreciate the step up to a mile but I am slightly concerned that she may not stay it but thats factored into the price I suppose. Stevie Donohoe takes the ride and has a good record on Alice's Dancer having a win and 2nd in his two starts on her. With a good draw from stall 4, I think Alice's Dancer looks very overpriced and I think she could definitely run a big race.

3ndahalfof6

I am going to have a bit of AL MAHMEYAH, and your pick.