Friday August 17th

rossom

Will try get write ups done for as many of these as possible tomorrow

2.40 Nottingham Yurituni 9/1
3.25 Newbury Kangaroo Court 25/1 (small e/w)
4.00 Newbury Sound of Guns 8/1 (as posted on yesterday's thread)
4.30 Newbury Trumpet Voluntary 16/1
5.55 Newmarket R Woody 25/1
7.35 Newmarket Monzino 25/1 NAP (have put on half my stake now as am hoping for a bigger price tomorrow and no Hugh Taylor!)

dave3004

With you on R Woody

newuser89

I'm all over sounds of guns as well

newuser89

The more I look at sound of guns the more I like it
Stepping back a furlong should help as she pulled very hard in her last race which she won with a impressive looking turn of foot
The trainer said he think she improved a lot since that race

DyldeBrill

R woody has now gone to a non runner..pity

rossom

3.25 Newbury

Kangaroo Court 33/1

Although he's underperformed on his last two starts I think the return to a galloping track, ease in grade and the drop back in distance should definitely be in his favour and being only 3lb higher than his impressive win 3 starts ago I think he is definitely still capable off his mark of 79. A very talented chaser on his day reaching a peak rating of 142, Emma Lavelle's 8 year old gelding has only recently begun his flat career and has started rather promisingly landing 2 of his first 4 starts in this sphere. He made his debut on the AW at Lingfield in January over 12f and he won very impressively under a fine hold up ride from Micky Fenton to assert strongly at the finish to win going away. That race isn't really up to much but the authority which he surged to the front close home off a fast pace was very taking and it certainly looked as if he had a promising staying flat career ahead of him. A couple of moderate efforts in a bumper and over hurdles followed this victory before he made his handicap debut over 13f at Lingfield.

Kangaroo Court was rather disappointing on his handicap debut off a mark of 76 back in May but when analysing this race I definitely think the race wasn't run to suit and you can readily pass over it. They went slowly from the outset and it turned into a bit of a sprint towards the finish which didn't suit Kangaroo Court who was held up in last place as his stamina wasn't able to come into effect and it is definitely a race I'm completely ignoring. 8 days after this race he made his turf debut on the flat off the same mark at firm ground at Salisbury where a change of tactics proved ideal as he returned to the winners enclosure. Again under Fenton, that day Kangaroo Court made all over the 14f trip to land the Class 4 handicap in impressive style by 2.75L as he never once looked like getting caught. The form of that race looks good with the 3rd Monterey scoring off the same mark on his next start (Monterey would have finished closer to Kangaroo Court if he hadn't hung violently to the left) and it was a very good effort.

Kangaroo Court's 2nd last start came in the Queen Alexandra Stakes at Royal Ascot in June and although well beaten there are plenty of elements that lead me to overlook this race as well. Firstly, he may not have stayed the mammoth 2m6f trip on the flat. Secondly, he had to race just in behind the pace as Overturn made all and that probably wouldn't have suited and finally it was a Conditions race whereby he had to race against predominantly much higher rated horses off level weights. Moreover, I don't think the good to soft ground was ideal as his best efforts have come on a sounder surface. All four reasons I think are more than valid and I really don't think you could have expected him to play a role at the weights so I'm again ignoring that effort.

His last start came off a mark of 80 at Ascot on firm ground in a 2 mile Class 2 event at the end of July. That day William Buick was booked to ride and he adopted front running tactics again. Turning into the home straight, he appeared to be going great guns but once the very impressive winning Montaser loomed up along side and took over Buick seemed to ease him and allow him to come home in his own time, perhaps to save him for another day. It is also possible that he picked up a knock or didn't feel right but I think the former is the more likely scenario. He's been dropped back to a mark of 79 for that effort and given he won impressively at Salisbury off just a 3lb lower mark I still think he has a fair bit of wiggle room. Although eased in grade today, the top of the market is full of unexposed improving types so he may not find it any easier today. The step back to 1m6f should be in his favour as well as the return to a galloping track which he seemed to relish when scoring on his last start. Micky Fenton is back in the saddle today and he clearly gets on extremely well with this 8 year old with the pair unbeaten in 2 starts. Its going to be interesting to see if Kangaroo Court will be allowed to have his own way up front but his draw in stall 4 should allow him to adopt these tactics if desired. Although Emma Lavelle has been a bit quiet of late, she hasn't had too many runners so I am not massively concerned. He's definitely got a few questions to answer from his last start but if putting his best foot forward I definitely think he can be competitive in a race of this nature and I've had a small e/w at 33s as he is much too big a price in my eyes.

rossom

Kangaroo Court stopped like a sack of spuds!

4.00 Newbury

Sound of Guns 8/1

I said before her last race that I thought she could prove to be a very decent prospect and my opinion of her was only enhanced when winning on her 2nd start. I really think this filly could be top, top drawer. Ed Walker's 2 year old made her debut back in June when a rather well backed debutant as she finished a 5.25L beaten 6th last at Goodwood over 6f. From a wide draw, she shaped very well for a long way and showed good cruising speed to get up close to the pace after being settled in the rear before looking as if she got tired late on and she was given an easy enough time by Martin Lane. That Class 4 Maiden looks an extremely hot race. The winner Momalorka ran a fantastic 3rd in the Weatherbys Super Spring going down by a neck. The 2nd Miss You Too won impressively by 4L on her only subsequent start. The 5th also won impressively on her only subsequent start whilst the 7th was only beaten by 0.5L on her only subsequent start. Given the form of this race, its clear it was an extremely promising debut effort for Sound of Guns and she improved for the experience when I thought she ran out an extremely promising winner on her only subsequent start at Yarmouth.

Her win was very, very impressive as she had to overcome a lot of adversity but she scored in the style of a classy yet inexperienced horse. At Yarmouth over 6f last month, she broke slowly and ran a bit green at the tail of the field. After this, she pulled the arms of William Buick for quite a while before having to be switched as she came with what looked an effortless challenge. When asked to quicken under hands and heels, she drew alongside the leader Vestibule and once Buick gave her a smack of the whip she pulled about half a length clear as the jockey reverted back to hands and heels riding as she drew away by 1.25L, with the front 2 drawing 6L clear of the remainder. It was clear as day that this filly had a lot left in the tank and I think Ed Walker could potentially have a top, top filly on his hands. Although the 2nd Vestibule has disappointed since, two other horses have won since from in behind so it doesn't look the worst of races. However, it was the visual nature of her performance that really took my eye that day.

She has been given what I think looks a ridiculously lenient opening handicap mark of 82 but I don't see it as a surprise at all that Walker steps her up into Listed Class today as I definitely think she's up to at least this level. I also think that Ed Walker is a shrewd enough trainer who wouldn't be wasting such an inviting looking mark unless he fancied a big run today. She's dropped back to the minimum trip which I think will suit as the pace should be a little quicker which should help with her pulling issues whilst her cruising speed demonstrates she shouldn't have a problem over 5f either. Luke Morris is an eye catching booking given he was successful on his only ride for the stable thus far. Ed Walker couldn't be in better form right now with 4 winners and a 2nd from his last 7 runners and I expect Sound of Guns to go very close. I'm slightly wary about the current favourite Rusdhu Queen who was a very impressive debutant winner in a race that looks to have been a very hot maiden. I cannot see Sound of Guns out of the top 3 and I have had a large e/w bet at 8/1. I think its going to take a very good horse to beat Sound of Guns today and I hope Rusdhu Queen isn't just that.

rossom

rossom wrote: »

Kangaroo Court stopped like a sack of spuds!

4.00 Newbury

Sound of Guns 8/1

I said before her last race that I thought she could prove to be a very decent prospect and my opinion of her was only enhanced when winning on her 2nd start. I really think this filly could be top, top drawer. Ed Walker's 2 year old made her debut back in June when a rather well backed debutant as she finished a 5.25L beaten 6th last at Goodwood over 6f. From a wide draw, she shaped very well for a long way and showed good cruising speed to get up close to the pace after being settled in the rear before looking as if she got tired late on and she was given an easy enough time by Martin Lane. That Class 4 Maiden looks an extremely hot race. The winner Momalorka ran a fantastic 3rd in the Weatherbys Super Spring going down by a neck. The 2nd Miss You Too won impressively by 4L on her only subsequent start. The 5th also won impressively on her only subsequent start whilst the 7th was only beaten by 0.5L on her only subsequent start. Given the form of this race, its clear it was an extremely promising debut effort for Sound of Guns and she improved for the experience when I thought she ran out an extremely promising winner on her only subsequent start at Yarmouth.

Her win was very, very impressive as she had to overcome a lot of adversity but she scored in the style of a classy yet inexperienced horse. At Yarmouth over 6f last month, she broke slowly and ran a bit green at the tail of the field. After this, she pulled the arms of William Buick for quite a while before having to be switched as she came with what looked an effortless challenge. When asked to quicken under hands and heels, she drew alongside the leader Vestibule and once Buick gave her a smack of the whip she pulled about half a length clear as the jockey reverted back to hands and heels riding as she drew away by 1.25L, with the front 2 drawing 6L clear of the remainder. It was clear as day that this filly had a lot left in the tank and I think Ed Walker could potentially have a top, top filly on his hands. Although the 2nd Vestibule has disappointed since, two other horses have won since from in behind so it doesn't look the worst of races. However, it was the visual nature of her performance that really took my eye that day.

She has been given what I think looks a ridiculously lenient opening handicap mark of 82 but I don't see it as a surprise at all that Walker steps her up into Listed Class today as I definitely think she's up to at least this level. I also think that Ed Walker is a shrewd enough trainer who wouldn't be wasting such an inviting looking mark unless he fancied a big run today. She's dropped back to the minimum trip which I think will suit as the pace should be a little quicker which should help with her pulling issues whilst her cruising speed demonstrates she shouldn't have a problem over 5f either. Luke Morris is an eye catching booking given he was successful on his only ride for the stable thus far. Ed Walker couldn't be in better form right now with 4 winners and a 2nd from his last 7 runners and I expect Sound of Guns to go very close. I'm slightly wary about the current favourite Rusdhu Queen who was a very impressive debutant winner in a race that looks to have been a very hot maiden. I cannot see Sound of Guns out of the top 3 and I have had a large e/w bet at 8/1. I think its going to take a very good horse to beat Sound of Guns today and I hope Rusdhu Queen isn't just that.

Dammit

rossom

7.35 Newmarket

Monzino 33/1 NAP

I notebook Michael Chapman's 4 year old after his flat debut at Wolverhampton over 7f and I have been waiting and waiting for him to be upped in trip which he finally is tonight to 1m2f. In the interim period, I didn't back him on his handicap debut at 33s over 7f at Southwell when winning off a mark of 60 as I thought the trip would be just about on the sharp side and in pretty much every race to date he has been outpaced from a fair bit out before staying on late in the day. To me, he has been absolutely crying out for this test of stamina. After running a couple of good races in his 4 maidens, he's had a pretty good start to his handicap career. After landing the Class 6 event at Southwell, he was upped to a mile at the same venue under a 6lb penalty when running a good 3rd in first time blinkers as he just couldn't concede 17lb to the two horses in front of him. Two starts back at tonight's venue over 7f earlier this month he stayed eye catchingly through beaten horses late on in a race that not many got into it from off the pace and his last start was an excellent fast finishing 1L beaten 4th at Wolverhampton off a mark of 65 where the 3rd has come out and won again since. Although there is a case to be made that he is better on the AW than turf, I don't really buy it for a second and I think he's ran with a lot of credit on both of his turf starts on quick ground. He races here off a mark of 62 which I think is well within his range and he is only 2lb above his sole win on the fibresand 4 starts ago. Blinkers are retained tonight and I think Chris Catlin is an eye catching booking as he is having his first start for the stable since 2010 and only 3rd career start. Michael Chapman's horses are running well at the moment and with a good draw in stall 4 I envisage a big run from this American bred 4 year old. Regardless of what happens tonight, this horse's future lies at a trip like this in my opinion.

rossom

bleugh I am not in great form at present!

Mocha Joe

I'm sure there'll be a big day soon. Hard luck today. Good luck for tomorrow.