Monday 25th June

rossom

6.10 Windsor

Livias Dream 10/1 NAP

Rather like the look of Ed Walker's 3 year old handicap debutant who I think has a very good chance to break her maiden at the 4th attempt. This filly steps up to 10f for the first time and although she has a 9 month break to overcome I think Ed Walker should have her absolutely spot on for this. Her two year old debut came over 7f at Doncaster last July when she put in an eye catching 2L beaten 3rd. After breaking tardily, she looked outpaced for a lot of the journey before the penny dropped late on as she finished to very good effect and it was a very promising debut. The form of that race looks very strong with the winner Dance The Rain subsequently finishing a head beaten 2nd off a mark of 81 whilst the 2nd Ghost Protocol is now an 88 rated animal. Her 2nd start came one month later at Folkestone again over 7f as she finished a not knocked about 6L beaten 5th. Once again she seemed outpaced as she had to be pushed along from about half way before making some decent enough headway under largely hands and heels riding. That race significantly suited those who raced on the pace with the first 4 home occupying those positions for the entire race. I really don't think the track suited her at all and I think she did very well to finish as close as she did. The form of that race isn't up to much but considering she wasn't hardly knocked about over a trip that is clearly on the sharp side it was still an encouraging effort. Her final start came when upped to 1m at Nottingham but Ed Walker has stated on his site that she picked up an injury so I am going to ignore that effort.

I think after analysing her first two starts, and in particular her first, that her handicap mark of 68 looks rather manageable given she is unexposed and should definitely improve upped in trip. Although she has a 9 month gap to overcome, her best race to date came on debut so I have no qualms about her ability to go well fresh. Moreover, he trainer Ed Walker seems particularly adept at readying his horses after a break and I am convinced she will be race fit for tomorrows race. This race Class 5 handicap is a moderate enough place for her to start her handicapping career and it looks a very winnable contest, especially the step up in trip nearly guaranteed to suit. Trainer Ed Walker couldn't be in better form at present, with 5 winners from his last 11 runners and that is a huge positive. William Buick, who couldn't be riding any better right now, takes the ride and he is an extremely encouraging booking. To date, Buick has had 4 rides for Walker and he has won three so it certainly seems that connections feel she is going to run a huge race tomorrow. The combination are 2-2 this year and I feel they have an extremely good chance of keeping that record going tomorrow. With the draw in stall 7 decent enough, I think Livias Dream will run a very big race tomorrow and I think she has an excellent chance of starting off her 3 year old career with a bang.

rossom

The 5.00 Chepstow looks a very competitive race and I think that the first two home in this race last year Gracies Games 10/1 & Bermondsey Bob 7/1 may fill those two places again. Both have good records at the track and will love the conditions and are in good order at present. Slight preference is for the latter with Willie Twiston Davies looking a very eye catching booking and his 7lb claim may win this for him. Moreover, it looks as if he may get his own way out in front and he may be extremely difficult to peg back. Main bet is on the reverse forecast with small singles on both.

smemon

rossom wrote: »

The 5.00 Chepstow looks a very competitive race and I think that the first two home in this race last year Gracies Games 10/1 & Bermondsey Bob 7/1 may fill those two places again. Both have good records at the track and will love the conditions and are in good order at present. Slight preference is for the latter with Willie Twiston Davies looking a very eye catching booking and his 7lb claim may win this for him. Moreover, it looks as if he may get his own way out in front and he may be extremely difficult to peg back. Main bet is on the reverse forecast with small singles on both.

2nd (by a neck) and 3rd respectively... *not bad obama face*

MoscowFlyer

Boom!

Livias Dream gets it!

Cheers rossom

Got on at 11s on Betfair earlier and backed it in running!

andyman

rossom wrote: »

6.10 Windsor

Livias Dream 10/1 NAP

Rather like the look of Ed Walker's 3 year old handicap debutant who I think has a very good chance to break her maiden at the 4th attempt. This filly steps up to 10f for the first time and although she has a 9 month break to overcome I think Ed Walker should have her absolutely spot on for this. Her two year old debut came over 7f at Doncaster last July when she put in an eye catching 2L beaten 3rd. After breaking tardily, she looked outpaced for a lot of the journey before the penny dropped late on as she finished to very good effect and it was a very promising debut. The form of that race looks very strong with the winner Dance The Rain subsequently finishing a head beaten 2nd off a mark of 81 whilst the 2nd Ghost Protocol is now an 88 rated animal. Her 2nd start came one month later at Folkestone again over 7f as she finished a not knocked about 6L beaten 5th. Once again she seemed outpaced as she had to be pushed along from about half way before making some decent enough headway under largely hands and heels riding. That race significantly suited those who raced on the pace with the first 4 home occupying those positions for the entire race. I really don't think the track suited her at all and I think she did very well to finish as close as she did. The form of that race isn't up to much but considering she wasn't hardly knocked about over a trip that is clearly on the sharp side it was still an encouraging effort. Her final start came when upped to 1m at Nottingham but Ed Walker has stated on his site that she picked up an injury so I am going to ignore that effort.

I think after analysing her first two starts, and in particular her first, that her handicap mark of 68 looks rather manageable given she is unexposed and should definitely improve upped in trip. Although she has a 9 month gap to overcome, her best race to date came on debut so I have no qualms about her ability to go well fresh. Moreover, he trainer Ed Walker seems particularly adept at readying his horses after a break and I am convinced she will be race fit for tomorrows race. This race Class 5 handicap is a moderate enough place for her to start her handicapping career and it looks a very winnable contest, especially the step up in trip nearly guaranteed to suit. Trainer Ed Walker couldn't be in better form at present, with 5 winners from his last 11 runners and that is a huge positive. William Buick, who couldn't be riding any better right now, takes the ride and he is an extremely encouraging booking. To date, Buick has had 4 rides for Walker and he has won three so it certainly seems that connections feel she is going to run a huge race tomorrow. The combination are 2-2 this year and I feel they have an extremely good chance of keeping that record going tomorrow. With the draw in stall 7 decent enough, I think Livias Dream will run a very big race tomorrow and I think she has an excellent chance of starting off her 3 year old career with a bang.

You legend!

Buick is in the form of his life atm.

roykeegan

oh yes!

Slattsy

Unbelievable Jeff ! I mean Rossom.
Great gamble, great picking, great work.

BlueBaron

Fair Play Rossom, only just seen your post but luckily had him backed...William Buick is the best there is at the moment!

Sliderman

rossom wrote: »

6.10 Windsor

Livias Dream 10/1 NAP

Rather like the look of Ed Walker's 3 year old handicap debutant who I think has a very good chance to break her maiden at the 4th attempt. This filly steps up to 10f for the first time and although she has a 9 month break to overcome I think Ed Walker should have her absolutely spot on for this. Her two year old debut came over 7f at Doncaster last July when she put in an eye catching 2L beaten 3rd. After breaking tardily, she looked outpaced for a lot of the journey before the penny dropped late on as she finished to very good effect and it was a very promising debut. The form of that race looks very strong with the winner Dance The Rain subsequently finishing a head beaten 2nd off a mark of 81 whilst the 2nd Ghost Protocol is now an 88 rated animal. Her 2nd start came one month later at Folkestone again over 7f as she finished a not knocked about 6L beaten 5th. Once again she seemed outpaced as she had to be pushed along from about half way before making some decent enough headway under largely hands and heels riding. That race significantly suited those who raced on the pace with the first 4 home occupying those positions for the entire race. I really don't think the track suited her at all and I think she did very well to finish as close as she did. The form of that race isn't up to much but considering she wasn't hardly knocked about over a trip that is clearly on the sharp side it was still an encouraging effort. Her final start came when upped to 1m at Nottingham but Ed Walker has stated on his site that she picked up an injury so I am going to ignore that effort.

I think after analysing her first two starts, and in particular her first, that her handicap mark of 68 looks rather manageable given she is unexposed and should definitely improve upped in trip. Although she has a 9 month gap to overcome, her best race to date came on debut so I have no qualms about her ability to go well fresh. Moreover, he trainer Ed Walker seems particularly adept at readying his horses after a break and I am convinced she will be race fit for tomorrows race. This race Class 5 handicap is a moderate enough place for her to start her handicapping career and it looks a very winnable contest, especially the step up in trip nearly guaranteed to suit. Trainer Ed Walker couldn't be in better form at present, with 5 winners from his last 11 runners and that is a huge positive. William Buick, who couldn't be riding any better right now, takes the ride and he is an extremely encouraging booking. To date, Buick has had 4 rides for Walker and he has won three so it certainly seems that connections feel she is going to run a huge race tomorrow. The combination are 2-2 this year and I feel they have an extremely good chance of keeping that record going tomorrow. With the draw in stall 7 decent enough, I think Livias Dream will run a very big race tomorrow and I think she has an excellent chance of starting off her 3 year old career with a bang.

BlueBaron wrote: »

Fair Play Rossom, only just seen your post but luckily had him backed...William Buick is the best there is at the moment!

you beauty thanks Rossom

HigginsJ

rossom wrote: »

The 5.00 Chepstow looks a very competitive race and I think that the first two home in this race last year Gracies Games 10/1 & Bermondsey Bob 7/1 may fill those two places again. Both have good records at the track and will love the conditions and are in good order at present. Slight preference is for the latter with Willie Twiston Davies looking a very eye catching booking and his 7lb claim may win this for him. Moreover, it looks as if he may get his own way out in front and he may be extremely difficult to peg back. Main bet is on the reverse forecast with small singles on both.

Unlucky with this one. Had both e/w but also did re-forecast

Markgc

Great picking Rossom. Got on at 7s and I'm very happy!
You've come in for some stick at times when selections didn't go in, and these people don't seem to realise you don't have to post your tips and they don't have to back them. But you do and you've helped a lot of people out. For this I salute you!!

I was also wondering if could possibly go through how you select your horses. Do you have certain races you try to concentrate on, or jockeys/stables? And how do you compare form of opposing runners in a race i.e. where do you start and what methods do you use?
Maybe some of us could apply these also and come up with tips half as good as yours.

Good stuff!! Thanks.

dodzy

Markgc wrote: »

Great picking Rossom. Got on at 7s and I'm very happy!
You've come in for some stick at times when selections didn't go in, and these people don't seem to realise you don't have to post your tips and they don't have to back them. But you do and you've helped a lot of people out. For this I salute you!!

I was also wondering if could possibly go through how you select your horses. Do you have certain races you try to concentrate on, or jockeys/stables? And how do you compare form of opposing runners in a race i.e. where do you start and what methods do you use?
Maybe some of us could apply these also and come up with tips half as good as yours.

Good stuff!! Thanks.

He could tell you.....but then he'd have to kill you

Nice work Rossom BTW.

rossom

With the ground drying out all the time, I think 8.30 Kilbeggan Keogh's Bar 25/1 is looking very overpriced. He's had 3 starts at the track, scoring twice over C+D, both in June last year, the last being off a 5lb lower mark by 2.5L. The form of that race is working out well with the 2nd winning on his next start. His recent reappearance run should have definitely blown away the cobwebs and he definitely looks capable of playing a role at the finish at a track where he clearly goes very well.

rossom

Markgc wrote: »

Great picking Rossom. Got on at 7s and I'm very happy!
You've come in for some stick at times when selections didn't go in, and these people don't seem to realise you don't have to post your tips and they don't have to back them. But you do and you've helped a lot of people out. For this I salute you!!

I was also wondering if could possibly go through how you select your horses. Do you have certain races you try to concentrate on, or jockeys/stables? And how do you compare form of opposing runners in a race i.e. where do you start and what methods do you use?
Maybe some of us could apply these also and come up with tips half as good as yours.

Good stuff!! Thanks.

I'll try get something posted later on about how I pick my horses.

MoscowFlyer

Majestic Breeze interests me in the 9.20 @ Thirsk. Step up to 6f should suit and when I see Ellison and McHugh teamed up I become a bit suspicious

andyman

MoscowFlyer wrote: »

Majestic Breeze interests me in the 9.20 @ Thirsk. Step up to 6f should suit and when I see Ellison and McHugh teamed up I become a bit suspicious

On it. I could afford a house if she comes in.

If she doesn't, well, I'd invest in new mirrors for your car if I were you.

smemon

andyman wrote: »

On it. I could afford a house if she comes in.
If she doesn't, well, I'd invest in new mirrors for your car if I were you.

Mirrors it is

MoscowFlyer

Haha, Oh well, still had a profitable day!

andyman

MoscowFlyer wrote: »

Haha, Oh well, still had a profitable day!

Same really. When I've had a good day I get an urge to go again, but tend to avoid majority of races as I'm relatively new to the horse racing game. Hence why I backed your tip :P

dodzy

andyman wrote: »

....but tend to avoid majority of races as I'm relatively new to the horse racing game.

Professional punters do that too. Face it, you're a natural