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Thursday 14th June

  • 14-06-2012 2:15am
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,370 ✭✭✭


    4.10 Nottingham

    Piazza San Pietro 10/1 NAP


    Looks a very big price in my eyes on the back of an absolutely cracking effort LTO off this mark when finishing a 0.62L beaten 3rd on the back of an 8 month break on debut for the Zoe Davison yard. I was actually surprised he ran so well as he has normally needed a reappearance run and to perform was a great performance against horses that were already race fit. He's sure to come on for that effort and looks well able to score off this mark. Jockey George Baker takes over from Ryan Moore in the saddle and again looks a significant booking as he is taken his first ride for the Davison stable. He needs fast ground so the current good going is probably just about ok for him but I'm sure connections will pull him if they feel the ground is unsuitable, a tactic that has been employed by his owner on many occasions. He has an entry in the Wokinham next weekend at Royal Ascot and I think he may need to win this and get a penalty if he is going to get in so this is definitely a significant point in my eyes.If the ground somehow gets the word firm in the description I'll be reinvesting but for now a small/medium bet is enough for me.

    5.55 Leopardstown

    One Spirt 4/1 NB

    Bit surprised 4s is available about Ger Lyons 4 year old as he finished in front of the favourite two starts back on what was his first run for 7 months, especially as he proved that was no fluke by landing a competitive Listed contest subsequently. LTO he beat the rapidly improving Gordon Lord Byron and I think that is very strong form, especially as I think he'll improve again for todays slightly better surface with Lyons saying “She won in spite of the ground.". The drop back to todays trip of 7f looked as if it suited when winning earlier this month and that is another advantage in my eyes given he finished in front of Alanza over a mile and I think that would have suited that rival more. He's a horse I followed with Frank Dunne last year who I always thought had a fair bit of potential about him and he seems to be progressive in his two starts for Ger Lyons. I'm confident of a big showing and I think he could be very difficult to pass from the front.

    6.25 Leopardstown

    Lightening Pearl 4/1


    Got to agree with Toppy about this one and I'm pretty astonished 4s is available about last years Cheveley Park winning filly. You've got to excuse her run in the Guineas with Ger Lyons even stating on his Facebook 3 days before the race "Not looking like our time folks :( " in relation to the rain and ground in the build up. This represents a much easier assignment as she is dropped back into a group 3 and crucially she gets better ground today which is a massive bonus. The drop to 6f looks sure to suit and although regular pilot Johnny Murtagh more than likely has commitments to the Aga Khan and Oxx table Kevin Manning is more than able deputy. This 3 year old filly should take all the beating up against her own sex.


    7.50 Haydock

    Amadeus Wolfe Tone 7/1


    I followed him last year and I was rather impressed with his reappearance run as I thought he would need it a lot but he still managed to finish a 6.25L beaten 4th. He certainly shaped that he still needed the run but I was highly encouraged by that reappearance. Although he's 7lb higher than his last winning mark, he is certainly unexposed with only 6 starts to date and I certainly think he has a lot of progression left. Moreover, the 2nd from his win 3 starts back won on his next start so it certainly looks a fair rise. Graham Lee is a strong jockey booking as he teams up with in form trainer Jamie Osborne for the first time. Ground shouldn't be any issue although I wouldn't mind it drying out a small bit as I think he's most effective on good ground but its not a grave concern either way. He has two entries for Saturday so he may look to complete a quick double and I'm confident of a big showing from this 3 year old, although its a competitive head and not a race for a significant investment.


Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 16,096 ✭✭✭✭the groutch


    I like the look of Echoes Of History (16/1) in the 7:25 Leopardstown.

    Looked to be better than today's mark of 81 when winning by a comfortable 7L on his last start as a 2yo. Completely missed last season, but ran a very solid race after a long layoff lto. He did finish last of 5, but was less than 5L off the winner, and should come on nicely for the run.
    The better ground today should also be in his favour.


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