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London 2012 Women's triathlon 04/08/2012 9am
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28-05-2012 8:46am#1she has a chance to medal
Lets stay realistic top 8 is realistic
medal about as likely as 4 weeks no rain in Ireland...
Still she is now a true world class athlete which is fantastic.
Yep, top 10 woud be a great result IMO and if she progresses on current form could push a few places better. I thought her sprinting away from BR Diaz was a good scalp. You never know what will happen. Assuming everyone is fit and gets to T2 safely it could be a super tussle between Jenkins, Findlay, Densham, Hewitt and one or both of the other aussies regardless of who they select.
Who else could you see on the podium? A breakaway bike with Norden, Spirig, Bennett, Haug... Is London too flat for a decent breakaway?
for ailleen make the first bike pack I guess she will need the help of miss spirig and miss norden to bring her there on the bike
as I am pretty sure the Us and Uk will drive the pace very hard in the swim
and I think uk s 3rd athlete will be one of the 2 young super swimmer to work as domestique for jenkins , and jenkins and bennett are good friends so they will work hard for bennett this is really her only chance to get a good result to be in a breakaway.
so it will be most likely 2 usa 2 uk moffat etc trying to get away
and spirig and nordan to close the gap on the bike.
a if its a non wetsuit swim the chances are higher that they get away
if its wetsuit swim chances are higher it will be one big pack into t2.
the great thing unlike 4 years ago where only 2 girls could win,2012 you have some 8 girls that have a fair chance with really only jenkins sticking out a bit as she is the most consistent in all 3 and home advantage . and I have no idea where findlay is but for her not having raced for 1 year is not the best thing or maybe it is depnds on her character.
Anyway we have had so many suprises at the olympics .....
The domestique approach is an intersting perspective on these races and really adds an advatage to the 8 countries with 3 athletes. I guess smart federations will strategise around the domistique approach of some nations.
Is Aileen's swim not good enough to make the first bike pack in its own right?
good enough for first pack , yes
but that would be the swim break away of the real top swimmer .
and could be some 6-9 people .peter kern wrote: »and I have no idea where findlay is but for her not having raced for 1 year is not the best thing or maybe it is depnds on her character.
Paula Findlay has a hip injury according to her blog (from April). She'll be touch and go for even making the olympics I'd say.MrCreosote wrote: »Irish Times wrote:her silver medal in the World Series event the best ever performance by an Irish triathlete on the world stage, and better still against many of her chief rivals come August 4th
No Jenkins, Densham, Moffatt, Bennett, Norden... Where would she have finished with all of them in there?
Still, it was a fantastic result for Aileen and she can only beat those who turn up. I hope it shows her that she is capable of podiums and I hope she can repeat that when the field is a little more loaded.0
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I would still be putting my money on Jenkins. She won on the same course last year & I just think the home crowd will give her that bit extra to spur her on to victory. Going to be a fascinating race though, much more open than the mens.
Any one of four could take the gold, Jenkins, Densham, Findlay, Spirig & Hewitt with an outside chance.
Then you have the likes of Gwen Jorgensen who could potentially cause an upset & take a medal. She is one of the fastest runners on the circuit & the bike course is flat which means it will probably all come down to who has the most speed left for the run. Can't wait.
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@Peter here is a link for a betting comparison site for the triathlon finals Time for me to call it, left it as long as I could.
1st: At 6/1 with PP Findlay is my pick too. I would be worried that she will fold under the pressure she puts on herself but I think she'll handle it.
2nd: Spirig
3rd: Jenkins
Very excited now
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