Summer Starts Next week

JanuarySnowstor

After 2 months of what can only be described as pure misery on the weather front changes are afoot.
As early as Monday things should be noticeably warmer and by the middle of next week we could be nudging heatwave territory with temps over 20C quite widely.
Yes indeed folks, let's forget about Spring this year and straight to Summer

darkman2

Yes big changes evolving on the models with a large area of high pressure developing to the Northeast and gentle East or Southeast winds becoming established. And because the flow is more of the continental type clear skies would be likely too. It's still evolving so a couple of days yet before anything to be really upbeat about. However low pressure might never be too far from the southwest Kerry and Cork regions. A rebel low!:D

compsys

When even darkman is commenting on upcoming warm weather then you know things are really set to improve

irishdub14

Absolutely brilliant news! Just in time for the Leaving Cert.

tweenie

Other years I would have felt sorry for LC and JC students if the weather was good. This year I JUST WANT WARM SUNNY WEATHER. I told my dh that I reckoned it would cheer them up to see the sun even if they are doing exams

pauldry

looks warm alright for a few days as long as you dont live in Kerry Cork Clare Galway Mayo and maybe Sligo and Donegal. The rest of ye get out yer sunglasses as 20c will feel very pleasant after this muck.

JanuarySnowstor

Should come as quite a shock to the system this change in airmass.
Afterall it's been jackets weather all month, and now within a few days t-shirt weather and beach temps look the norm.
With the Euro's on the way good grief we can almost think positive
Next thing we'll know Greece will have won the lotto!

Gonzo

excellent, it really is going to feel warmer especially here in the East where we have had daytime temperatures in the 6-12C range for past 6 weeks.

cherryghost

I called this a few weeks ago fyi. Patterns were emerging long ago :pac:

Harps

ECMWF has a lot of cloud about for most of next week, as always the west coast getting most of it. Starts to clear towards the end of the week but never too far away so its far from a done deal that we'll see some good sunny weather. Temps should be around 20C though so a big improvement either way

John mac

as long as Dublinia gets good weather thats all that matters.. (for the headlines in the papers anyway)

I dont mind as long a the temps rise a little and its mostly dry over here in the west.

Birdnuts

Its lookin good allright - nice to be able to shed some of the rain-gear, woolies etc. which have been getting too much of a run out in recent summers!!

Rikand

cherryghost wrote: »

I called this a few weeks ago fyi. Patterns were emerging long ago :pac:

just amazing you are! 8)

Lucreto

Boo

So I better enjoy the weather we have now while it lasts.

Now 3 months of hell with the occasional BBQ

cherryghost

Tuesday-Saturday looks awesome. Low to Mid twenties for much of the midlands area, high teens and possibly low twenties for coastal regions. In terms of cloud cover it looks minimal through midweek. However from the weekend onwards there MIGHT be a breakdown. Current charts show the high being stubborn and leaving a low system hanging to our west, which will bring in showers and mid-high teens for at least the next 3-4 days. After that we might see a return to brighter weather.

Charts will evolve over the next 7 days, will be vital to see how it progesses as it will have a direct impact on the June bank holiday

pauldry

warm yes .

mid twenties certainly not

20 or 21 at best

cherryghost

pauldry wrote: »

warm yes .

mid twenties certainly not

20 or 21 at best

I'll owe you a drink if it doesn't hit at least 24 over the coming week

Duiske

cherryghost wrote: »

I'll owe you a drink if it doesn't hit at least 24 over the coming week

I would be surprised if 24c is not reached later next week, particularly on Thursday. Yourself and Pauldry are well placed because it looks like the midlands and west will see the highest temps.

Su Campu

Does look nice, but people beware.....we're now in prime sea fog / anticyclonic gloom territory, so don't be surprised if you see persistent low cloud along eastern and southern areas.

Redsunset

I'm with pauldry on this one. 22 being my max to be expected. I suppose its a start, much better than the crap we been having, break open the BBQ and Babysham:D

Su Campu

With the setup shown for later in the week - light east-southeasterly winds, slight subsidence inversion, good solar heating in the western half of the country, relatively dry ground, and 850 hPa temperatures around 10-11 °C - I estimate the maximum temperature possible to be around 24 °C - IF everything falls into place and cloud cover is minimal. Central and eastern Connaught would be in with the best chance.

Elsewhere, 18-20 °C, but 13-15 °C along windward coastal areas.

MiNdGaM3

Su Campu wrote: »

Does look nice, but people beware.....we're now in prime sea fog / anticyclonic gloom territory, so don't be surprised if you see persistent low cloud along eastern and southern areas.

Cork is likely to maintain it's lead in missing out on interesting/good weather this year so!

JanuarySnowstor

Su Campu wrote: »

With the setup shown for later in the week - light east-southeasterly winds, slight subsidence inversion, good solar heating in the western half of the country, relatively dry ground, and 850 hPa temperatures around 10-11 °C - I estimate the maximum temperature possible to be around 24 °C - IF everything falls into place and cloud cover is minimal. Central and eastern Connaught would be in with the best chance.

Elsewhere, 18-20 °C, but 13-15 °C along windward coastal areas.

Worth bearing in mind that we haven't seen temps above 14C in about 7 weeks so 24C will feel oven-like!
Galway / Mayo looks best placed to me, salthill beach could be quite a nice place to be on Wed / Thurs.
Thundery breakdown next wkd looks even money.

Anyway whatever happens it sure beats this wkd, another whopping 10C here all day, in the mist lol

Trotter

I'll go crazy if it's a foggy cloudy humid mess in Waterford. We seem to have an awful lot of sea fog conditions near the coast here in the last year. When it's been crystal clear in other parts of the east coast, we've had low foggy cloud.

redsteveireland

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

Worth bearing in mind that we haven't seen temps above 14C in about 7 weeks so 24C will feel oven-like!
Galway / Mayo looks best placed to me, salthill beach could be quite a nice place to be on Wed / Thurs.
Thundery breakdown next wkd looks even money.

Anyway whatever happens it sure beats this wkd, another whopping 10C here all day, in the mist lol

That sounds perfect i'm off thursday and friday,see you all in Salthill then!:cool::cool::cool:

mike65

Trotter wrote: »

I'll go crazy if it's a foggy cloudy humid mess in Waterford. We seem to have an awful lot of sea fog conditions near the coast here in the last year. When it's been crystal clear in other parts of the east coast, we've had low foggy cloud.

I bet we lag behind the rest for a day or two. :mad:

darkman2

I would caution posters and lurkers against thinking Summer's coming and it's great from now on. On the contrary high pressure is likely to retrogress into the Atlantic and anchor with Greenland. This suggests a much cooler period in the medium term with winds mainly north or northeasterly after a thundery breakdown of any warmth next weekend.

In lay mans terms warm weather won't last beyond a few days.

Nabber

A few days warmth will be a welcome break. My.only negative would be that its most likely going to be over working days.

blast06

'Sunny south east' .... my arse !

nilhg

darkman2 wrote: »

I would caution posters and lurkers against thinking Summer's coming and it's great from now on. On the contrary high pressure is likely to retrogress into the Atlantic and anchor with Greenland. This suggests a much cooler period in the medium term with winds mainly north or northeasterly after a thundery breakdown of any warmth next weekend.

In lay mans terms warm weather won't last beyond a few days.

There's not a huge amount of evidence for that in this mornings charts, the ECMWF ensemblemittle for +240 hrs currently looks like this which would do me

MiNdGaM3

Warming up nicely in Cork, now 14.8C. Not a whole lot of sunshine though, just the odd break in the cloud. An improving picture from today onward hopefully!

compsys

The good weather forecast for this week seems to have been downgraded a fair bit by ME this morning with a huge amount more cloudy around for the upcoming week.

The BBC forecast it yesterday (I always find their short-range forecasts excellent for things like this) and many people alluded to it on here as well so I guess it was expected. It's so frustrating though. What do we need for a bit of warmth and sun, eh!?

On that note, could anyone explain to me why there'll be so much cloud around this week? I thought the winds were coming in from the continent so they'd be drier and warmer and therefore there'd be fairly sunny skies?

mike65

compsys wrote: »

On that note, could anyone explain to me why there'll be so much cloud around this week? I thought the winds were coming in from the continent so they'd be drier and warmer and therefore there'd be fairly sunny skies?

Its your location that's the issue I think, east coast much cloudier and wetter than the west in recent weeks with the airflow coming from east/north off the Irish Sea. The sea temps are still near their lowest at this time of year.

The media are total twonks - Newstalk exclaiming heatwave this week! Might as well be called NewsMail

DOCARCH

compsys wrote: »

The good weather forecast for this week seems to have been downgraded a fair bit by ME this morning with a huge amount more cloudy around for the upcoming week.

Heard the ME forecast on radio just before 1pm and sounded like east and north will fair a lot better now that south and west - a lot of cloud and drizzle for the west - sunny and 20c+ for the east with southerly winds.

ZX7R

yea met farming forcast looks very good for the east and north mid to low 20 for mid week onwards

Sponge Bob

Just like to say that the GFS is showing a shapely and classic Azores High out in FI for the bank holdiday weekend. I like looking at shapely ones.

compsys

DOCARCH wrote: »

Heard the ME forecast on radio just before 1pm and sounded like east and north will fair a lot better now that south and west - a lot of cloud and drizzle for the west - sunny and 20c+ for the east with southerly winds.

Mmmh. Let's hope so

This all looks like a repeat of early March though, when we had dull, cloudy weather for what felt like weeks on end despite the fact that 'some sunshine' was forecast each day. Every day turned out really cloudy though, with absolutely no sun, but sunshine always forecast for 'the next day'.

Yesterday ME were forecasting good sunny spells today (the BBC weren't) and look what got today..

BBC still showing a fair amount of cloud for Dublin/Ireland over the next few days. I'm not slagging ME but I think the BBC are that bit better at getting the more specific details right. I won't get out the sun cream just yet...

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2964574

Harps

Wednesday evening through to Friday looks like the best time for more widespread sunshine at the moment, staying mostly cloudy along the coast and in the south west in particular

Temps widely above 20C on Thursday and Friday

Converse86

Break out the BBQ !! And cut the grass quick !!

JanuarySnowstor

It's downgraded a little but not too much.
Even today which is pbly going to be the coldest day of the week it felt quite warm at times.
What will be the most noticeable thing really will be how much warmer it will feel compared to the bitterness of the last few weeks.
Also plenty room for upgrades, it would only need a little nudge to leave us in heatwave territory and all in all very pleasant:)

Nabber

Thursday looking good

pauldry

ME has 24c promised for Donegal on Friday so 23c in Sligo probably. Then High moves North a bit and Low move up from the South with thunder for the following week

Big Daddy Cool

just got home from nerja yesterday and i get a forecast of another week of sun, probably not as much cos i'm sure there'll be cloud at some stage, or as warm as i got last week, but its all good

mike65

According to the weather forecast it supposed to be thick fog down here this morning!

/sun splitting stones....

DOCARCH

mike65 wrote: »

According to the weather forecast it supposed to be thick fog down here this morning!

/sun splitting stones....

Sounds like your disappointed?

mike65

Hardly! I want warm (not hot) sun for the rest of the summer. Just have to laugh at the forecasters. I guess there might have been some mist at 6 am.

MiNdGaM3

Cloudy with spots of drizzle in Cork.... summer has definitely arrived then!

Iancar29

Yup... that is the sun...

Harps

16.7C already here, mostly cloudy but already the warmest day since late March

Not a bad time to have my last ever college exam :cool: Free to enjoy the sunshine for the rest of the week/summer now assuming the likely probability that I won't find a job any time soon!

Deep Easterly

17.0c at Mullingar, Gurteen & Oak Park on the met.ie noon reports. The last time 17.0c was reached at these stations was on the 29th March last!! :eek:

http://www.met.ie/latest/reports.asp

Victor Meldrew

Deep Easterly wrote: »

17.0c at Mullingar, Gurteen & Oak Park on the met.ie noon reports. The last time 17.0c was reached at these stations was on the 29th March last!! :eek:

http://www.met.ie/latest/reports.asp

2011 or 2012...?

so nice to be able to feel warmth...