Irish National - Fairyhouse April 9th 2012

Nulty

Groody Hill 10/1 fav

Just looking at the names and prices two I will look closely at are

Western Charmer and Arabella Boy.

Ground will be key but looks set fair for a warm build up based on recent weather.

maalummoja

Cross Appeal E/W

Nulty

I might be barking up the wrong tree and it looks like he has a lot on his plate but Osana would be intriguing if taking his chance. Will he stay? He has enough weight but at the right price I'd take a stab at him

Rhinestone Cowboy

When are the decs out for this ? Cross Appeal and Four Commanders are the two I have been looking at. Be interesting to see which of JPs 7 or 8 or whatever he has in it AP picks.

finbarrk

Declarations on Saturday I would think.

UrbanSea

Final decs would be at twelve o'clock the day before wouldn't they but 2 day declarations would be Saturday

finbarrk

Here they are. Max field of 30 declared.

http://www.irishracing.com/cards/v5card088201204091650.htm

Stewie Griffin

Jayzus, that is a trappy field. You could make a case for about ten horses.

hucklebuck

How is Roy Du Mee carrying only 11-7?

Four Commanders should win handy enough if Cheltenham has not taken too much of a toll on him.

Morgans

One horse is outstanding value. While he might not win lion na bearnai is complete the wrong price. Glam gerry was given a ride at Cheltenham that suggests that that there was a bigger fish to fry later this season. He will do for me.

Slattsy

Glam Gerry for me too.

Who's shagging him?

ft9

Slattsy wrote: »

Glam Gerry for me too.

Who's shagging him?

B Hayes, claiming 7.

marozz

I'm gonna stick with Four Commanders but as was already mentioned, it's a trappy contest and there are probably 10 horses in with a shout - I'll also stick a few bob on Prince Erik at 28/1 - e/w

Rhinestone Cowboy

hucklebuck wrote: »

How is Roy Du Mee carrying only 11-7?

Four Commanders should win handy enough if Cheltenham has not taken too much of a toll on him.

Weights only go up if bottom weight out of handicap.

bamboozle

anyone have any tips for the other races in fairy house tomorrow?

UrbanSea

bamboozle wrote: »

anyone have any tips for the other races in fairy house tomorrow?

Sword of Honour in the bumper.


I think Some Target should run well tomorrow

Oscars Well.

UrbanSea wrote: »

Sword of Honour in the bumper.

Heard that aswell. He's meant to be a machine

ForeverYoung90

Glam Gerry @12s e/w

Prince Erik @40s e/w

$$$Moneeeeeey$$$

realdanbreen

Out now & last derby are very good prices today in my opinion.

longshotvalue

As suggested earlier http://longshotvalue.com/2012/04/07/irish-grand-national-5/ I think Shakervilz represents very decent EW value tomorrow. Im going to add another 1 pt EW at 50/1 with Boyles Paying 5 places. He was 7th last year running on well, has 3lbs lower tomorrow and a 7lbs claimer witha very good record on.
1pt EW Boyles 50/1 12345


Deal Done has the look of the type of horse I like in this race. He ran well last year of 1lbs higher having lead to 2 out but got tired in the finish, possibly having had a hard enough race at Cheltenham as well, when he finished a very good 3rd to Junior. He has had an eye opening preparation for this race in that he has had only 1 run in a hurdle and hopefully that is to keep his good mark for a big performance. 33/1 with 5 places with PP looks to big and well worth a bet.
1pt EW 33/1 PP 12345

Fair 3:10 Bat Masterson has been running consistently well this year, and has plenty of experience for a 4yo. He ran on eye-catchingly in the Fred Winter at Cheltenham and looks to be helped by the step up in trip here. He has the benefit of a not inconsiderable 4yo allowance here, and given his experience he should be able to take advantage of it here. The 14/1 available in a few places looks to be about 3 points too big and well worth a bet.

1 Point win 14/1 Ladbrokes

UrbanSea

I like Bat Masterson too aidan. Backed him at Cheltenham because I had backed him when he won his maiden,this is obviously much easier than Cheltenham

Woddle

Four commanders at 12/1 and Catch me at 25/1 for me

tonic wine

UrbanSea wrote: »

I think Some Target should run well tomorrow

+1. 24's on betfair will do for me e/w

Hulk Hands

Allee garde has some classy form in the book. Him and cross appeal are the two that interest me

longshotvalue

Some Target has been very consistent over the last year or two and did run a very good race in the Grand National Trial at Haydock, travelling well throughout but weakening near the end. I’m sure this would be his target and he is in here of a very workable weight with Paul Townend in the saddle. The rain yesterday and today will only help his chances He is a stayer really and looks to be almost nailed on to place in the first 5. 22/1 with 5 places on Bet365 looks worth taking.

1pt EW 22/1 Bet365 12345


3 selections enough now for luck in running

Huntley

I really think someone has missed a trick here with Start Me Up. Looks fantastically well handicapped.

rossom

I also fancy Shakervilz Aidan and have had a good bet at 66s.

Overthelast

Saddlers storm will get my few schillings today.

UrbanSea

Only one I've backed is Some Target. The rain should help his chances.

Nulty

Impossible race. Almost all of them have a chance.

pudzy

UrbanSea wrote: »

I like Bat Masterson too aidan. Backed him at Cheltenham because I had backed him when he won his maiden,this is obviously much easier than Cheltenham

no good today my friend, davy russel gave digout great ride .

UrbanSea

UrbanSea wrote: »

Only one I've backed is Some Target. The rain should help his chances.

pudzy wrote: »

no good today my friend, davy russel gave digout great ride .

Decided to buy a roll instead of backing Bat too, made the right choice

argosy2006

I like
Lion Na Bearnai ew
Groody Hill to win
Shakervilz EW
Deal Done Ew

UrbanSea

You have to laugh at Tracy Piggott. She told JP Catch Me wasn't running and was wrong.

Mgoraf

I like Allee Garde (12/1) Four Commanders (11/1) and Start Me Up (20/1)

ciaeim

backed four commandments 50 e/w ,,, could do with a touch;)

Morgans

Morgans wrote: »

One horse is outstanding value. While he might not win lion na bearnai is complete the wrong price. Glam gerry was given a ride at Cheltenham that suggests that that there was a bigger fish to fry later this season. He will do for me.

Yeah. That'll do. 50/1.

argosy2006

Morgans wrote: »

Yeah. That'll do. 50/1.

ME TOOO !!!!!!!!!:D

UrbanSea

Did you end up backing him or did you just stick with Glam Gerry

themandan6611

Morgans wrote: »

One horse is outstanding value. While he might not win lion na bearnai is complete the wrong price.

thank you sir, read your post this morning and backed him at 60/1 on betfair €3.20 and 10/1 place €4

argosy2006

UrbanSea wrote: »

Did you end up backing him or did you just stick with Glam Gerry

i BACKED IT, SEEMED AN OBVIOUS WINNER /EW

Morgans

Did both at the time. 50/1 and 18/1 GG. Thankfully. Tempted to go in again when he drifted back out, but it makes up for Rathbawn Prince all those years ago.

Nulty

Well done backers!

argosy2006

Nulty wrote: »

Well done backers!

fIRST THING I BACKED IN AGES,
Had zero in pp account, i never used it, Not because i lost it all lol
But now its 460.00 euro
And they wont see a penny back lol!

lyndonjones

Well Lion Na Bearnai just got me a few quid

Thanks for the tip.


Who finished fifth?

Pj!

lyndonjones wrote: »

Who finished fifth?

Leanne

hucklebuck

Ah balls, did a small amount ew on Lion Na Bearnai which saved my knackers after Four Commanders ran no race.

Even worse I asked the missus if she wanted me to place any bets on it, "yes can you back Lion Na Bearnai and Paddy Pub EW please"

hawaii501

I was also on at 40/1. Missed Lucky William race, typical the one race I don't back him in he goes and wins....

Gal44

any tips for the last two races?

hucklebuck

Anyone like Hold Em Cowboy in the next one?

Stewie Griffin

I too am here to manfully boast of backing the winner in the big one today. Morgans good word got me thinking, so I looked at the form and he was overpriced......quids in.

All hail morgans....mucho gracias, mi amigo.