Oscar Nominee

Morgans

Martin Pipe Conditional Race 4.40

This is one that Ive been waiting for. Wasnt sure it was going to run here - thought he might have been kept for a more valuable novice later in the season. I was really impressed with the way that he stayed on after jumping sloppily at Haydock behind Cinders and Ashes. Looked out of it but finished very eyecatchingly especially after making a balls of the last. Screamed Neptune to me at the time, but Henderson had other plans with Simonsig.

http://horses.sportinglife.com/Video/Racing/0,27770,480036,00.html

He jumped much better on the better ground at Doncaster where confidently ridden but again found lots for pressure to win going away over a distance again too short.

As I said I think he is a graded horse and even though he is a little green for such a competitive handicap. I think that he will end up in far better races than handicaps and I think 12/1 is a very fair price. Ultimately I see him in 3m races, but like Sir Des Champs last year, I think he is a class above handicapper.

Hulk Hands

Anthony Bromley seemed to indicate in a preview that Henderson's other horse, Molotof, had a very good chance and would have been in the Neptune had they not thought so much of Simonsig. I suppose if the market indicates that Oscar Nominee is their preferred runner then he probably has a great chance.

Do you still fancy Salisify at his current price btw?

Morgans

And Henderson was very quick to talk up Open Hearted as well in his stable preview on RUK. Another of the subliminal reasons why I didnt think he would run here I suppose.

Salsify still looks the right type for me. I don't think Chapoturgeon or Barbers Shop will get home. Roulez Cool is the one that I think is the danger. Salsify still a clear selection for me, but the value that was in the price a couple of weeks ago isnt quite as obvious.

Hulk Hands

Although Smad Place gave the form of Bourne a massive boost today. His price could look quite silly after the race tomorrow. It's a tricky little race.

I have Chapoturgen backed at 8's to win on the basis that if he stays he'll win but whether he will is a big doubt. I'll probably place lay him aswell. I might go with Salisify each way, not many others appeal to me. A few bookies paying 4 places

Nulty

I am struggling to find a bet tomorrow and with the Martin Pipe I worked my way down through the prices until I saw this one. He looks like he could be value at his current price. The step up in trip and getting out of that heavy ground could be a significant angle. His last run was a definite indicator of his trip requirements. went from 4l off the pace under pressure to 4l clear on the line. However weak the race, the second that day beat a field 7l next time out. But the real form is obviously behind Cinders and Ashes even though CaA beat him fairly easily.

It's the only reasonable angle I can find before the race starts tomorrow. Don't think an outsider will win this.

Slattsy

Didn't realise there was a thread for this horse.
I fancy this one myself, crying out for the trip. Big bet on

kennyb3

People getting carried away with the smad place form with bourne. Bourne was off a fetherweight and was getting 29lbs. No doubt smad has improved since and bourne is taking on other well hanicapped horses now. Would rather back something at a bigger price myself. Another oscar nominee backer here

UrbanSea

Not to mention Smad Place's run was over 3 miles

JP Liz V1

10 to 1 with pp worth a e/w bet

kennyb3

Some ride that never went a yard and still placed, david bass just went up massively in my estimations

Morgans

Always a stayer. Thought we would have won, but missed the gap coming down to the last. RSA next year not out of the question.

Slattsy

I thought he was poor on him. If he followed the winner up the inside he'd have won yet he pulled him across to the outside.
I know he was never travelling but to switch a horse that was staying and closing like that was silly. Raging.

Morgans

Horse wasnt quick enough to get the gap - had he got the gap inside the winner, he may have won but would be smack bang in the middle of the interference after the last. Shame. Jockey didnt make a difference, should be commended for keeping the mount going.