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Can Lance win Kona?
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29-02-2012 9:37pm#1
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To clarify, my original comment was a joke.
at this stage of my aging life im not sensitive.
as for predictions dont know enough about the field to make an informed call.
However if he gets to the start line, he will be ready to compete for a top spot.
can he do it all will be known after IM France,0 -
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I don't get this part of the discussion that's going on, maybe i'm naive. Surely he would be one of the most stupid people around if he was to use peds at this stage in his career - chasing a kona podium. Would it not be like David Beckham being caught using peds in order to help his side win the masters 5 a side competitions you try to avoid on sky sports in a winters evening??!
It was a tounge in cheek comment really. Do I think he currently takes PEDs? No, unless he's used his millions of dollars to develop new ones that can't be detected
Do I personally think he has taken them in the past? My belief, yes ( there are also some questions about the benefits of his cancer treatment). It's a hard sell to try and suggest he was the only clean winner of the tdf in the last 20 years. Passing drug tests does not mean that you don't take PEDS e.g. Millar never failed a drug test. Armstrong spent long enough working with Ferarrai to make him suspect. As was stated in a different thread, you don't loose the benefits of using PEDs when you stop using them.
But back to the OP's question, I think Tunney has it pretty spot on.0 -
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LOL
My prediction is that he will emerge amongst the top 15 in the swim, whereapon Tunney will smash stuff with rage. Then he will move up to top 5 on the bike and Tunney will become violently ill. This will evolve into a spectacular fade on the run and he will be 'chicked' by most of the PRO women's field. Tunney will become increasingly delerious as he counts each age grouper that passes him over the last 10k....
He will jump for joy when it turns out the Lance is beaten by the top Irish AGer.
He will then return to being sick as Lance hogs every interview on every media for a week...0 -
elvis jones wrote: »Would a woman have made that joke, well would she
:mad:
If she did ye would all have to laugh anyways, even if you didn't find it funny.0 -
shotgunmcos wrote: »LOL
My prediction is that he will emerge amongst the top 15 in the swim, whereapon Tunney will smash stuff with rage. Then he will move up to top 5 on the bike and Tunney will become violently ill. This will evolve into a spectacular fade on the run and he will be 'chicked' by most of the PRO women's field. Tunney will become increasingly delerious as he counts each age grouper that passes him over the last 10k....
He will jump for joy when it turns out the Lance is beaten by the top Irish AGer.
He will then return to being sick as Lance hogs every interview on every media for a week...
I would expect him to be leading the bike by 90km. Lieto and himself going for a 1-2 Team Trek bike splits. So we don't disagree.
I also said I expected him to be second back out of the water. Which would be well with the top 15 as you say. So we still haven't disagreed.
Where we disagree is you seem to think he will blow worse than I think he will. I think he will post a top ten finish. 15 minutes or so after the winner but still a top ten. I do not think he will be chicked as I think in Chrissie's absence there will be alot less of PROs being chicked.0 -
I would expect him to be leading the bike by 90km. Lieto and himself going for a 1-2 Team Trek bike splits. So we don't disagree.
I also said I expected him to be second back out of the water. Which would be well with the top 15 as you say. So we still haven't disagreed.
Where we disagree is you seem to think he will blow worse than I think he will. I think he will post a top ten finish. 15 minutes or so after the winner but still a top ten. I do not think he will be chicked as I think in Chrissie's absence there will be alot less of PROs being chicked.
Ah I was poking. Did you not sense the progressing farce of my theory Being passed by an Emerald a clue
I agree himself and Lieto working to put more distance on the rest than Lieto could do alone. Top 10 would be a big ask though. Be interesting to see how he gets on in whatever QF race he does0 -
shotgunmcos wrote: »Ah I was poking. Did you not sense the progressing farce of my theory Being passed by an Emerald a clue
I agree himself and Lieto working to put more distance on the rest than Lieto could do alone. Top 10 would be a big ask though. Be interesting to see how he gets on in whatever QF race he does
Top Irish AGer in Kona will not be an Emerald.0 -
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griffin100 wrote: »I'd say it's probably because he can get up the hills of IM France much quicker than others and this will give him a head start on the run.In fairness to him there I remember reading an interview with him a year or two ago and he did mention Nice would be a likely race if he ever went into Ironman as the difficulty of the bike there would give him an advantage
Thanks. Never thought of it like that, just think the worse of people sometimes
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