MILK PRICE CYCLE

keep going

are we in the five year cycle that the americans always talk about.2006 -milkprice starts to rise.2007-good milk prices costs stay lowish.2008 milk price ok but inputs sky rocket.2009 milk price crash inputs stay up.2010 -milk price starts to rise.2011good milk price costs stay lowish.2012milk prices ok prices look like hiking up.would look to me like 2013 could be the dissator year .fair enough not a 5 year thing but there could be a pattern

Timmaay

keep going wrote: »

are we in the five year cycle that the americans always talk about.2006 -milkprice starts to rise.2007-good milk prices costs stay lowish.2008 milk price ok but inputs sky rocket.2009 milk price crash inputs stay up.2010 -milk price starts to rise.2011good milk price costs stay lowish.2012milk prices ok prices look like hiking up.would look to me like 2013 could be the dissator year .fair enough not a 5 year thing but there could be a pattern

5 year or 3 year? http://www.hoards.com/11oct10-milk-price-cycle . If only it was that easy to predict, we just don't know! I personally don't think we will have any such crash again soon (within a few years), but you simply never know when the likes of the Chinese milk protein scare will happen again!

keep going

looks like tis on the way down, time to batten down the hatches and burn the checkbook

keep going

what drops are happening out there as butter has crashed to almost 2/3 of the price last year and even though cheese has not fallen the west cork coops are looking at 3 cent drop in may and 2 cent in june:eek::eek:

kevthegaff

once there is no superlevy this year again i dont mind once it stays over 25c/litre. Arrabawn cut 3c last month, prob another 2c this month. Know tomorrow:mad:

Tipp Man

As long as the price drops don't go too far I think most will be ok

Although anybody with a serious milk levy taken from their May and June milk cheques could have cash flow problems with these steep cuts

When you think back a few year 1p a gallon was the usual milk price cut - now these cuts are anything from 10-20 cent a gallon - crazy swings compared to the not too distant past

raindodger

very hard to run a business with these swings how can you budget for it.Lots of money spent on parlours are these lads going to be in trouble if price goes south and will they drive price down further with increased supply just to justify them

whelan1

wonder where all the guys are now that where posing here about gettig in to dairying?

reilig

whelan1 wrote: »

wonder where all the guys are now that where posing here about gettig in to dairying?

What's the story folks?

I see on today's paper that most of the co-ops are cutting prices.

Anyone got a figure of what break even point is per litre?

Tipp Man

reilig wrote: »

What's the story folks?

I see on today's paper that most of the co-ops are cutting prices.

Anyone got a figure of what break even point is per litre?

That's like asking is sucklers profitable;)

Your typical low cost dairy enterprise would have costs around 15-16 cent. Hitting 20 cent and your talking high costs

KCTK

whelan1 wrote: »

wonder where all the guys are now that where posing here about gettig in to dairying?

Still here, gota be ready for the rough with the smooth, although I don't think the real rough has been hit yet!!!!