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Heat wave for June/July - my arse!
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11-06-2011 8:41am#1
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I listened to media reports about 3 or 4 weeks ago about a heatwave in June and July, with temps topping all records.
Its nearing the middle of June and still no sign.
Where the hell is it?
Does this just go to prove that the weather 'experts' really haven't got that much of a clue?
You believe tabloid journalists???????
ah now
But Irish weather is notoriously to predict accurately (you should have learnt this in 3rd year geography!!)
Yesterday is a prime example for leinster (I needed good weather for an event so was watching very carefully.)
2 weeks ago, forecast was to be settled spell, warm, dry, light winds.
Last Monday, weekend changeable, showers saturday, warming sunday and mainly dry.
Wednesday, possibility of some showers late Sunday, but bright spells
Friday - torrential rain from about noon sunday, possible flooding
Saturday 9pm - Rain coming from south, heavy all day a clearance late evening & overnight.
Actual result. Light Rain from 8am, a little heavier about 11am to 12 noon, turned lighter, stopped at about 1.30, sun appeared about 2.30 and it warned up to about 17 degrees.
But that's the Irish weather for you.0 -
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I have a long range weather website myself and must say that this year is a big surprise for me. I expected much warmer weather for June and July and though at the moment July does look slightly better than June (not hard) in a week it may have gale force winds and rain predicted and then in a week after that mixed weather .
So in Summery(excuse the pun) the charts are constantly changing and long range forecasts can only be taken so seriously but what you can say a lot of the time is that the Irish Summer will be moderate, changeable and wet from time to time. In the Northwest we get on average 4 to 5 wet days every week in Summer. A wet day is a day with 1.0mm or more of rainfall.
Sometimes Ireland gets an exceptional year like 1976, 1995 and we get much more sunshine countrywide. Now for a long time Ive been studying the weather charts and other sites and media and models tides and sea ice and they all pointed to a hot Summer but a few lows from the West and Northwest threw themselves unexpectantly into the mix and have ruined the start of Summer.
Lets hope the High to the South gets its act together. It looks like a few warm days from 23rd to 25th June are possible and tomorrw too will be nice
After that July could be warmer but there is nothing out of the ordinary if it is 15c cloudy and rainy a lot of the time. We live at the mercy of the North Atlantic.
And the Atlantic has gathered much more energy in the Summer months so far than I had anticipated.0 -
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Fact is, the first half of June is only "summer" to the climate and weather statistics folk, I think our ancestors had it right when they started summer with the solstice and let it run into September.
Now there's no doubt the last week has been about as cold as this time of year can get, but I would say, wait and see how the actual summer part of summer turns out. There are faint signs of improvement longer term now. However, I don't like having all these volcanoes going off. But that's more of a signal for autumn and winter perhaps.
For the key months of July and August, I think the "over/under" is slightly above normal for temperature, possibly only a fraction, but rainfall may fall back again, after two months that helped to reverse drought in some parts of the west and north.
Anyway, these forecasts happen for two reasons, some people make them, and other people ask about them. Until that stops, I guess we'll be stuck either making them or hearing them. Or both. 0 -
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