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Fursttimer's Sports Betting Log

  • 24-04-2011 6:45pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭


    Setting this log up to help me track my bets. Hopefully select some winning picks along the way :D

    Bet 1

    Sevilla v Villarreal (Sevilla to score 2 or more goals) 4/5 (sbet) 3pt win

    Sevilla have won 10 of their last 11 home games v Villarreal scoring 2 or more goals on 8 occasions :)


Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Bet 2 (baseball)

    2pt double @ 2.27/1

    braves @ giants (giants) 5/7

    sanchez (giants) has a disappointing 1-3 v the braves but with the mediocre brandon beachy on the mound for the visitors, a home win for the 2010 world series champions looks nailed on

    red sox @ angels (run total over 9) 10/11

    winds are blowing out to left field at 15-20 mph which makes this match a hitters haven. two average pitchers on the mound should result in plenty of runs


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Fursttimer wrote: »
    Setting this log up to help me track my bets. Hopefully select some winning picks along the way :D

    Bet 1

    Sevilla v Villarreal (Sevilla to score 2 or more goals) 4/5 (sbet) 3pt win

    Sevilla have won 10 of their last 11 home games v Villarreal scoring 2 or more goals on 8 occasions :)

    Good start. 2-0 after 15 minutes :)

    Hopefully a sign of things to come ;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,979 ✭✭✭Vurnon San Benito


    Best of luck sir :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Fursttimer wrote: »
    Bet 1

    Sevilla v Villarreal (Sevilla to score 2 or more goals) 4/5 (sbet) 3pt win

    Sevilla have won 10 of their last 11 home games v Villarreal scoring 2 or more goals on 8 occasions :)

    Bet 1 = WIN (+2.4pts)
    Fursttimer wrote: »
    Bet 2 (baseball)

    2pt double @ 2.27/1

    braves @ giants (giants) 5/7

    sanchez (giants) has a disappointing 1-3 v the braves but with the mediocre brandon beachy on the mound for the visitors, a home win for the 2010 world series champions looks nailed on

    red sox @ angels (run total over 9) 10/11

    winds are blowing out to left field at 15-20 mph which makes this match a hitters haven. two average pitchers on the mound should result in plenty of runs

    Bet 2 = LOSS (-2pts)

    Overall profit: +0.4pts :D more bets to follow..


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Bet 3 (football)

    1pt accum @ 10.5/1 :)

    Crystal Place v Leeds (Leeds to score over 1.5 goals) 6/5

    M'boro v Coventry (M'boro to score over 1.5 goals) evens

    Norwich v Derby (Norwich to score over 1.5 goals) 4/9

    QPR v Hull (QPR to score over 1.5 goals) 4/5


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 114 ✭✭quiz


    Whats your record with one team to score 2 or more?

    which bookie is good for this market?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,288 ✭✭✭fkiely


    Good luck with this fella, good to see you get off to a good start.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    quiz wrote: »
    Whats your record with one team to score 2 or more?

    which bookie is good for this market?

    I do okay mate.

    The majority of my bets on this market are doubles and trebles. Doubles or trebles can consist of two teams to score 2 or more and/or mixed with teams to score 3 or more.

    Paddy P offer this market on a wide range of leagues (european included), while B'sports would only tend to offer it on Prem League and Championship and Champions League. B'sports odds are usually far better than PP.

    Bet 365, Skybet and VCbet are generally well priced also. B365 would offer the best odds all round. Betfair also have select leagues that offer the bet too.

    I prefer to place a bet on a team to score 2 or more goals rather than fixed match odds. Usually you would get a better price on 2 or more goals and the majority of the time the team you bet on would need to score that many to win. Betting 2 or more goals takes away the actual result so I feel I have an edge especially with plenty of firms pricing the market up nowadays. I do get carried away and place 4 and 5 team accums quite regular. It's quite fustrating because you will find 1 goal letting you down time and time again but when they cop the returns are good.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Fursttimer wrote: »
    Bet 3 (football)

    1pt accum @ 10.5/1 :)

    Crystal Place v Leeds (Leeds to score over 1.5 goals) 6/5

    M'boro v Coventry (M'boro to score over 1.5 goals) evens

    Norwich v Derby (Norwich to score over 1.5 goals) 4/9

    QPR v Hull (QPR to score over 1.5 goals) 4/5

    Bet 3 = LOSS

    Overall profit/loss: -0.4pts


  • Moderators Posts: 8,754 ✭✭✭x PyRo


    Best of luck with the thread Sir. Hope all goes to plan. :)


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Bet 4 (football)

    Real Zaragoza
    v Almeria (Real Zaragoza to score over 2.5 goals) 10/3 (sjames) 1pt win

    Zaragoza had one of the worst home records in la liga but 3 straight wins (scored 2 or more goals v Getafe and Bilbao and 4 v Valencia) has propelled them up the table and they now look for 3pts that would take them within touching distance of safety. Almeria are nestled at the foot of la liga, 6 points behind Hercules and it's no wonder considering they are leaking goals left right and centre. If Zaragoza open the scoring, I can see Almeria throwing in the towel and conceding that their season is all but over.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,762 ✭✭✭jive


    Good luck dude I'll be keeping an eye on your golfing bets if you make any in here!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Fursttimer wrote: »
    Bet 4 (football)

    Real Zaragoza
    v Almeria (Real Zaragoza to score over 2.5 goals) 10/3 (sjames) 1pt win

    Zaragoza had one of the worst home records in la liga but 3 straight wins (scored 2 or more goals v Getafe and Bilbao and 4 v Valencia) has propelled them up the table and they now look for 3pts that would take them within touching distance of safety. Almeria are nestled at the foot of la liga, 6 points behind Hercules and it's no wonder considering they are leaking goals left right and centre. If Zaragoza open the scoring, I can see Almeria throwing in the towel and conceding that their season is all but over.

    Bet 4 = LOSS

    Overall profit/loss: -1.4pts

    time to kick this losing streak into touch :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Bet 5 (football)

    Stoke v Wolves (Stoke to score over 1.5 goals) evens 3pt win

    Wolves have conceded 2 or more goals in 11 of their 16 away games in the Premier League this season, it's no wonder they are the worst away team in the league. Stoke are unbeaten in 9 home games, scoring over 1.5 goals in six of them.

    Wolves are without Elokobi, Ebanks-Blake and Doyle. The latter gives Wolves a breather and possession in the opposition half by holding the ball up and bringing play further up the field. With his absence, Wolves will have to defend on the back foot constantly and I'll be hugely surprised if Stoke don't dominate in the oppositions half and score at least twice.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Fursttimer wrote: »
    Bet 5 (football)

    Stoke v Wolves (Stoke to score over 1.5 goals) evens 3pt win

    Wolves have conceded 2 or more goals in 11 of their 16 away games in the Premier League this season, it's no wonder they are the worst away team in the league. Stoke are unbeaten in 9 home games, scoring over 1.5 goals in six of them.

    Wolves are without Elokobi, Ebanks-Blake and Doyle. The latter gives Wolves a breather and possession in the opposition half by holding the ball up and bringing play further up the field. With his absence, Wolves will have to defend on the back foot constantly and I'll be hugely surprised if Stoke don't dominate in the oppositions half and score at least twice.

    Stoke 2-0 up at half-time :D. Finished 3-0. Actually should be 5pt win as I had €50 on it but I'll leave it at 3pts as stated :)

    Bet 5 = WIN

    Overall profit/loss: +1.6pts


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Bet 6 (football)

    Fulham v Bolton (card index over 40pts) 7/5 2pt win

    Ref Anthony Taylor has shown 5 or more yellow cards in 5 of his last 6 matches. He's no stranger to showing red cards either. Odds on offer look great value :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Bet 7 (golf)

    Zurich Classic - Top 20 Finish (D.A. Points) 9/2 1pt win

    Points' game is in great shape this year. He's a bermuda grass specialist and makes lots of birdies

    Bet 8 (golf)

    Zurich Classic - Top 20 Finish (Dean Wilson) 8/1 1pt win

    Wilson has made 25 top-25 finishes on bermuda grass during his PGA Tour career. He hits lots of greens and is a good putter :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Fursttimer wrote: »
    Bet 6 (football)

    Fulham v Bolton (card index over 40pts) 7/5 2pt win

    Ref Anthony Taylor has shown 5 or more yellow cards in 5 of his last 6 matches. He's no stranger to showing red cards either. Odds on offer look great value :)

    Bet 6 = LOSS

    Overall profit/loss: -0.4pts


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 313 ✭✭frat


    Did PaddyPower give you the flick?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Fursttimer wrote: »
    Bet 7 (golf)

    Zurich Classic - Top 20 Finish (D.A. Points) 9/2 1pt win

    Points' game is in great shape this year. He's a bermuda grass specialist and makes lots of birdies

    Bet 8 (golf)

    Zurich Classic - Top 20 Finish (Dean Wilson) 8/1 1pt win

    Wilson has made 25 top-25 finishes on bermuda grass during his PGA Tour career. He hits lots of greens and is a good putter :)

    D.A. Points (-3) tied 27th at the halfway stage while Dean Wilson sits tied 4th on -7 :D


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 313 ✭✭frat


    frat wrote: »
    Did PaddyPower give you the flick?


    Why did you remove your reply?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Bet 9 (football)

    1.5pt accum @ 10/1 :)

    Hull v Crystal Palace (Hull to score over 1.5 goals) 11/10

    Palace have conceded a total of 44 goals on the road and over 1.5 in 13 of their 22 away games. Hull have scored 9 in their last 5 games

    Hannover v Monchengladbach (Hannover to score over 1.5 goals) 4/7

    Hannover have scored over 1.5 goals in 11 of their 15 home games and are up against a side that's conceded over 1.5 goals in 9 of their 15 away games

    FC Koln v Bayer Leverkusen (Bayer Leverkusen to score over 1.5 goals) 4/6

    Koln have conceded 2 or more goals in 18 of their 31 games while Leverkusen have scorerd 2 or more in 21 of their 31 games

    Derby v Bristol City (Derby to score over 1.5 goals)

    Derby have scored over 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 8 Championship games


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Fursttimer wrote: »
    Bet 9 (football)

    1.5pt accum @ 10/1 :)

    Hull v Crystal Palace (Hull to score over 1.5 goals) 11/10

    Palace have conceded a total of 44 goals on the road and over 1.5 in 13 of their 22 away games. Hull have scored 9 in their last 5 games

    Hannover v Monchengladbach (Hannover to score over 1.5 goals) 4/7

    Hannover have scored over 1.5 goals in 11 of their 15 home games and are up against a side that's conceded over 1.5 goals in 9 of their 15 away games

    FC Koln v Bayer Leverkusen (Bayer Leverkusen to score over 1.5 goals) 4/6

    Koln have conceded 2 or more goals in 18 of their 31 games while Leverkusen have scorerd 2 or more in 21 of their 31 games

    Derby v Bristol City (Derby to score over 1.5 goals)

    Derby have scored over 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 8 Championship games

    Bet 9 = LOSS

    Overall profit/loss: -1.9pts


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Bet 10 (football)

    1pt accum @ 10.5/1 :)

    Arsenal v Man Utd (Arsenal to score over 1.5 goals) 6/4

    Malaga v Hercules (Malaga to score over 1.5 goals) 8/11

    Man City v West Ham (Man City to score over 1.5 goals) 4/9

    Villarreal v Getafe (Villarreal to score over 1.5 goals) 5/6


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Bet 11 (golf)

    Zurich Classic

    Joe Durant 66/1 0.5pt win

    Durant has won 4 PGA Tour titles when entering the final round within 5 shots of the lead


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Fursttimer wrote: »
    Bet 10 (football)

    1pt accum @ 10.5/1 :)

    Arsenal v Man Utd (Arsenal to score over 1.5 goals) 6/4

    Malaga v Hercules (Malaga to score over 1.5 goals) 8/11

    Man City v West Ham (Man City to score over 1.5 goals) 4/9

    Villarreal v Getafe (Villarreal to score over 1.5 goals) 5/6

    All scored 2 or more bar Arsenal :(

    Bet 10 = LOSS

    Overall profit/loss: -2.9pts


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Fursttimer wrote: »
    Bet 7 (golf)

    Zurich Classic - Top 20 Finish (D.A. Points) 9/2 1pt win

    Points' game is in great shape this year. He's a bermuda grass specialist and makes lots of birdies

    Bet 8 (golf)

    Zurich Classic - Top 20 Finish (Dean Wilson) 8/1 1pt win

    Wilson has made 25 top-25 finishes on bermuda grass during his PGA Tour career. He hits lots of greens and is a good putter :)
    Fursttimer wrote: »
    Bet 11 (golf)

    Zurich Classic

    Joe Durant 66/1 0.5pt win

    Durant has won 4 PGA Tour titles when entering the final round within 5 shots of the lead

    Bet 7 = LOSS

    Bet 8 = LOSS

    Bet 11 = LOSS

    Overall profit/loss: -5.4pts


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Bet 12 (baseball)

    LA Angels @ Boston Red Sox (no runs in 1st inning) 4/5 3pt win


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Fursttimer wrote: »
    Bet 12 (baseball)

    LA Angels @ Boston Red Sox (no runs in 1st inning) 4/5 3pt win

    Miraculously the red sox managed to get a run in the bottom of the 1st :mad:

    Bet 12 = LOSS

    Overall profit/loss: -8.4pts


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Bet 12 (golf)

    Wells Fargo

    I posted my picks in the Quail Hollow thread but have fell out of favour with one or two of them and confident on the quartet I've settled on now so deciding to post them up here. Reasoning will follow later tonight along with selections from the other markets :)

    Martin Kaymer (18/1) 1pt win

    Played great at this course on his only appearance in 2009. In my opinion, the best golfer in the game right now. Shouldn't be 8/1 let alone 18's

    Justin Rose (55/1) 1pt e/w

    Stats are usually misconceived in golf but one that isn't is bogey avoidance. Rose is high on the list in that department and despite having a dreadful record here from 4 appearances, prior to last week's missed cut, Rose's golf game is in exceptional shape

    Gary Woodland (85/1) 1pt e/w

    Good bogey avoidance stats. Has the game to dominate the par 5's and his golf game is top notch this year

    Heath Slocum (300/1) 0.5pt win

    Hits lot of fairways and greens which is a big advantage at Quail Hollow. His scrambling is pretty good too. His game ticks all the boxes for this course and from 7 appearances here he has a very respectable scoring average of 71.75 (Mickelson 70.39)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Bet 13 (golf)

    Wells Fargo

    Fredrik Jacobson (top 10 finish) 7/1 1pt win

    One of the best bogey avoidance stats on tour. 2 top 10 finishes already this season. Streaky player who is playing great golf right now


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Bet 12 = LOSS

    Bet 13 = LOSS

    Overall profit/loss: -15pts (€150) :mad:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Bet 14 (Golf)

    Francesco Molinari to miss the cut (6/4) 2pt win

    Bet 15

    Ben Crane top 20 finish (15/8) 2pt win

    Bet 16

    Luke Donald top european (4/1) 2pt win

    Bet 17


    K.J. Choi top asian (11/10) 3pt win


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Fursttimer wrote: »
    Bet 14 (Golf)

    Francesco Molinari to miss the cut (6/4) 2pt win

    Bet 14 = WIN (+3pts)

    Overall profit/loss: -12pts


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Fursttimer wrote: »
    Bet 15

    Ben Crane top 20 finish (15/8) 2pt win

    Bet 16

    Luke Donald top european (4/1) 2pt win

    Bet 17


    K.J. Choi top asian (11/10) 3pt win

    Bet 15 = LOSS (-2pt)

    Bet 16 = WIN (+8pt)

    Bet 17 = WIN (+3.3pt)

    Overall profit/loss: -2.7pts


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Bet 18 (baseball)

    Total runs 1st inning

    Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners (0 runs) 10/13

    Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals (0 runs) 10/13

    2pt double @ 2/1


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Fursttimer wrote: »
    Bet 18 (baseball)

    Total runs 1st inning

    Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners (0 runs) 10/13 LOSS

    Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals (0 runs) 10/13 WIN

    2pt double @ 2/1

    Typical! The other 4 selections (that I didn't post here) all win :D

    Bet 18 = LOSS

    Overall profit/loss: -4.7pts


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Fursttimer


    Bet 19 (golf)

    Pat Perez top 20 finish (2/1) 1pt win

    3 top 10 finishes from 6 appearances in the event. 3 top 10 finishes in his last 5 PGA Tour starts

    Bet 20

    Bryce Molder top 20 finish (9/2) 1pt win

    Top 10 finish last year. Good putter and good scrambler works well at this course. Returned to form last weekend

    Bet 21

    Brian Davis top european (6/1) 2pt win

    2nd last year. In a rich vein of form coming into the event. Sergio leads the market at 2/1 but since his win here in 2001, he's been dreadful. I'm picking Davis to get himself into contention again


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,418 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    Fursttimer wrote: »
    Typical! The other 4 selections (that I didn't post here) all win :D

    Bet 18 = LOSS

    Overall profit/loss: -4.7pts

    Was unlucky with Twins, only 3 runs in the whole game and 2 came in the 1st! That's the way it goes sometimes. :rolleyes:


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