Thunder watch - mid April 2011?

CarMuppet

Just seen Met forecast on RTE. A mention of possible thunderstorms due to warm humid south (SE) airflow. What do the experts here think?

I personally love a good light show....

EDIT: now I feel dumb.... Just seen the other thunder thread.... Sorry lads

BEASTERLY

CarMuppet wrote: »

Just seen Met forecast on RTE. A mention of possible thunderstorms due to warm humid south (SE) airflow. What do the experts here think?

I personally love a good light show....

EDIT: now I feel dumb.... Just seen the other thunder thread.... Sorry lads

It's looking good, but i would advise against any anticipation because as always only a minority if anybody will see storms this week.

Keep the fingers crossed though.

maquiladora

GFS is showing good potential for late in the week and next weekend. Worth checking back on in a couple of days.

BEASTERLY

I know this will probaly be downgraded, but talk about weather porn!!!:eek:


:D:D

Remember it's only April, a good omen for June/July.

highdef

Netweather radar is showing extensive and fairly heavy showers currently over the wicklow mountains and also a lightish shower that has been sitting over the Dunshaughlin/Rathoath area for the past hour or so. Are these false readings?

rc28

highdef wrote: »

Netweather radar is showing extensive and fairly heavy showers currently over the wicklow mountains and also a lightish shower that has been sitting over the Dunshaughlin/Rathoath area for the past hour or so. Are these false readings?

We had a very light shower about 10 mins ago - didn't even wet the ground.

highdef

That particular shower has almost fizzed out now, rc28. The other band (if it's real) is currently stretching in a line from just south east of Naas all the way out to see through Arklow. Might be dodgy returns though. Anyone see any nasty looking clouds out that way?

Iancar29

BEASTERLY wrote: »

I know this will probaly be downgraded, but talk about weather porn!!!:eek:


:D:D

Remember it's only April, a good omen for June/July.

Havent seen something like that in ages! , dam u folks out WESHT! * shakes fist*

haha

maquiladora

BEASTERLY wrote: »

I know this will probaly be downgraded, but talk about weather porn!!!:eek:

GFS has already downgraded those CAPE figures... :P

Just to compare the storms we get here to the storms over in the US, if you look at the scale on the Netweather chart there, it tops out at a max of 3,000 j/kg. The SPC forecast for tomorrow says that CAPE figures "should easily exceed 3000 j/kg".

Seriously jealous of Ian going over to chase those storms!

BEASTERLY

maquiladora wrote: »

GFS has already downgraded those CAPE figures... :P

Ah well, for us in the east its the potential over the uk we need to watch as imported storms are our only hope!

Iancar29

maquiladora wrote: »

Seriously jealous of Ian going over to chase those storms!

Lets just hope i picked the right time to go! ....

highdef

highdef wrote: »

That particular shower has almost fizzed out now, rc28. The other band (if it's real) is currently stretching in a line from just south east of Naas all the way out to see through Arklow. Might be dodgy returns though. Anyone see any nasty looking clouds out that way?

yes,it got very black,just off the coast of arklow today,I was looking at it and wondering what was going on as I wasn't expecting showers.
It stayed off the coast in my area but we could see the black,it looked heavy!

Birdnuts

This setup is perfect for serious ALtocumulus Castellanus storms in the West of the country - Mayo being a prime spot given my several years experience of living in Erris under such set-ups(humid SEasterly drift interacting with Sea breeze fronts = weather dynamite!!!:D)

lolie

BEASTERLY wrote: »

I know this will probaly be downgraded, but talk about weather porn!!!:eek:


:D:D

Remember it's only April, a good omen for June/July.

Whats the link for this chart?

highdef

Still looking great for Sunday evening but more so for the east midlands now:

maquiladora

Yeah, 0Z GFS is showing thundery potential is possible from Thursday through to next Monday.

plein de force

I want there to either be huge thunderstorms or just leave it nice, clear and sunny.

Nothing worse than a gloomy day in exchange for one clap of thunder

BEASTERLY

lolie wrote: »

Whats the link for this chart?

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=nwdc;sess=

BEASTERLY

Downgrades galore in the CAPE and LI values on the last run, potential still there though.

maquiladora

BEASTERLY wrote: »

Downgrades galore in the CAPE and LI values on the last run, potential still there though.

That will chop and change on each run though. There is potential there for thundery showers in places on the 06Z GFS for everyday from Thursday to next Tueday.

maquiladora

Could be a few booms and flashes later today, especially in Western areas.

After today though, its not looking very good for thundery potential on the latest GFS...

lolie

BEASTERLY wrote: »

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=nwdc;sess=

Thanks for that. Not much hope after tomorrow.

thebiglewbowski

Yea, massive downgrade for the weekend. was always too good to be true :rolleyes:

dexter647

Yea big let down alright but hopefully a long hot summer ahead, with might i add many a spanish plume:D:D

Su Campu

A nice pulse storm is giving a few flashes in western Connemara this evening.

snaps

Yes there has been some rumbles heard here. It looks very heavy out towards the mountains.

IMBACKLATER

spectacular lightning across west mayo this evening, near louisburgh, looked very dramatic as it moved out into the ocean, drifting out now past clare island , it was awesome,

IMBACKLATER

thunderstorm approaching

IMBACKLATER

pauldry

Yeah met eireann are reporting RECENT THUNDER from their Belmullet station

Oscar Bravo

Looking towards the NW from Castlebar i can see the flashes of lightening from that storm.Just saw one there.Way in the distance but nice to see.

Deep Easterly

Seen that shower developing on the way into Galway city earlier this evening. A couple of snaps from the N17:







Some minor flooding just north of Galway city also but totally dry in town!! Also thought I seen a distant flash on the way home but probably imagined it

rhonin

I'm in belmullet this evening and I can see flashes of lightening in the distance. Lovely to see!

Iancar29

Showing up well on here

http://www.corklightning.com/

nacho libre

rhonin wrote: »

I'm in belmullet this evening and I can see flashes of lightening in the distance. Lovely to see!

Did you see any flashes out at sea? I ask because i've seen thunderstorms around there, that were out to sea, and they were brilliant to witness!

Harps

I know its unlikely but any lightning this time of the night? Haven't seen or heard anything but the lights keep going on and off which is highly unusual for such a calm night

Iancar29

Down the local park now, good amount of cloud about , looks favourable for convective development I think! .... The odd high cumulus in the distance and all!

Irishmarinelife

That thunderstorm which was out around Clare island was quite spectacular last night, here's a picture I found through twitter of a fork behind somebody's house in Achill

https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?pid=896830&id=138162632861606

BEASTERLY

Irishmarinelife wrote: »

That thunderstorm which was out around Clare island was quite spectacular last night, here's a picture I found through twitter of a fork behind somebody's house in Achill

https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?pid=896830&id=138162632861606

I don't think I've been so jealous in my whole life!:(

Su Campu

21.0°C at Casement at 4pm. There are some As lenticularis around, suggesting stability at mid levels, but with this much surface heating and dewpoints above 10°C I'd expect a few storms to crack off in the midlands in the next couple of hours, aided by uplift from the Wicklow mountains.

Harps

We've had showers here throughout the day but still no luck with any thunder, only one distant rumble all month so far

Su Campu

Harps wrote: »

We've had showers here throughout the day but still no luck with any thunder, only one distant rumble all month so far

Looks like there was some action right around the Letterkenny area in the last hour or two!!

thebiglewbowski

A beast of a storm is kicking off now in the english midlands by the looks of it, the lucky $&*€'s hehe

jimmynokia

Any lightning activity expected tonight in dublin?

thebiglewbowski

No lightnight is expected for Dublin tonight.

Harps

Su Campu wrote: »

Looks like there was some action right around the Letterkenny area in the last hour or two!!

Odd, I'm actually on the west coast of Donegal all week which means I'm even closer to that storm yet haven't heard a thing. Its very humid and theres a lot of thundery looking clouds around but still nothing :rolleyes:

rhonin

nacho libre wrote: »

Did you see any flashes out at sea? I ask because i've seen thunderstorms around there, that were out to sea, and they were brilliant to witness!

Yeah nacho they were out at sea. It never made it on land. Kind of eerie feel about it but brilliant to watch.

Green Back

Large thunder storm here over London for the past 45 mins. Clouds not moving too fast. Very exciting and the garden can do with the rain

delw

Green Back wrote: »

Large thunder storm here over London for the past 45 mins. Clouds not moving too fast. Very exciting and the garden can do with the rain

watchin the chelsea game & rain looks torrential

Deep Easterly

Sferics over UK over the last couple of hours:



Not fair! :mad:

Iancar29

Deep Easterly wrote: »

Sferics over UK over the last couple of hours:



Not fair! :mad:

LUCKY FECKERS! ... * shakes fist!*.... i hope its like that on the wedding day!... hehe :P

Oh and look what they look like from the sky!


Heart shape thunderstorms!!! haha