Looking toward Aintree

pugw

Anyone having a look at what to back in the National yet?

pingedthelast

I have Bluesea Cracker backed already. She'll need an ease in the ground though.
I think that State of Play will have a good chance off 10-6 i think.
Oscar Time is very short in the betting now after the Waley Cohen success in Cheltenham. He has seemed to have done all his running on soft or heavy ground so i have no idea how he'll react to the potentially better ground in Aintree

hucklebuck

What A Friend, looks like he will get further and is 14lbs well in, still a good price at 12/1.

I have Frankie Figg ante post from around September but no so sure anymore!!

minty16

I've been sweet on Tidal Bay for a while. Looks like he will run despite my initial thinking that it was a long shot.

pugw

Good stuff, the field is so big I dont know where to back! When will it be known what the big jockeys will be going on? Suppose you can never know with the likes of JP :rolleyes:

premierstone

pugw wrote: »

Good stuff, the field is so big I dont know where to back! When will it be known what the big jockeys will be going on? Suppose you can never know with the likes of JP :rolleyes:

Most of the jockey bookings have been confirmed already.

In compliance the one that jumps out at me at the weights, 10st 5lbs is potentailly a featherweight for a horse of he's ability.

With regards to Tidal Bay yes it seems they are intent on running him, but tbh he would need an awfull lot to go right to win this carrying that big weight, first of all I dont for a second think he would put in a clear round and if by some miracle he does he will be so far detached it wont matter, people assume with hes style of running - dropped out running on when race is over - that the extra distance will allow him to make up this ground but tbh I think he is a mule and has lost interest in the game and it doesnet matter if they were running over 10 miles he will stiill leave too much to do, a bit of a sign of desperation entering him in this IMO.

minty16

I've always said a good 2 miler wins the national. Tidal bay is a good two miler with what seems to be a new found engine! I think he is a great E/W bet. He's never fallen, even though I agree with the fact he is a bit of a pig, he's still a very talented one.

premierstone

minty16 wrote: »

I've always said a good 2 miler wins the national.

First give the rational behind this and then a few examples, cos im bemused by this tbh.

mdwexford

Seems Morgans is right and he is trolling, if not i fear for his families dinner money.

UrbanSea

I just let a giggle.

premierstone

mdwexford wrote: »

Seems Morgans is right and he is trolling, if not i fear for his families dinner money.

Scary feckin thing is Im not so sure I think hes been serious, but hey thats why Betfair was the greatest invention of alltime.

Big Daddy Cool

ive been on backstage since last year, was running a blinder before been brought down and with a clear round this year, he could go close

Johner

Been on Black Apalachi the last couple of years and am gutted he is injured this year.

Ballabriggs for me this year.

shy-tall-knight

I never have a big bet on the national, I always tend to back two or three with small ew stakes. When it comes to antepost I always follow the trends and the one trend that stands out at the moment is how Old Vic as a sire has done recently. None of his progeny ran in this between 2001 and 2007, but in the last 3 years his progeny accounted for 12 runners. These 12 runners produced 2 winners and 2 seconds in the past 3 runnings.

He has 5 running this year including "Don't push it" who with the top weight I am ready to rule out, plus 16/1 isn't very appealing.

The ones I fancy of Old Vics would be Comply or Die 50/1, Vic Venturi 40/1 and One cool cookie 40/1

So for those stats followers it could be one to bear in mind but obviously there are other important variables to consider.

Horse4horse

pugw wrote: »

Anyone having a look at what to back in the National yet?

Is this your first time to Aintree?

Don't Push it and Niche Market are still at nice odds. Hard one to predict though espically with the weather now. Its raining today and tomorrow but Friday is looking very good so depends on the ground.

Should be a very good weekend over there though:D

kfallon

minty16 wrote: »

I've always said a good 2 miler wins the national. Tidal bay is a good two miler with what seems to be a new found engine! I think he is a great E/W bet. He's never fallen, even though I agree with the fact he is a bit of a pig, he's still a very talented one.

I have yet to see a 2 miler win the National :rolleyes:
An old wives tale and absolutely no truth in it!