RTE EXIT POLL: FG 36 - FF 15 - LAB - 20 GP 2.7 - SF 10 - Ind 15.5

hotmail.com

No overall majority for FG, but they'll still get about 70 seats.

Absolute disaster for FF, a defining moment in Irish electoral history - Hanafin, Lenihan, Peter Power, Coughlan could all lose out today. Unbelievable.

Seaneh

does it have a breakdown of each area?

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FF 15.1%
FG 36.1%
LAB 20.5%
SF 10.1%
Green 2.7%
Ind 15.5%

FF 8% in Dublin

Quackles

hotmail.com wrote: »

FF 15.1%
FG 36.1%
LAB 20.5%
SF 10.1%
Green 2.7%
Ind 15.5%

FF 8% in Dublin

I'll never diss Dubliners again

hotmail.com

This is unbelievable - Hanafin and Andrews likely to lose to their seats.

Labour going to have a good day too, but Independents will have a great day!

GP doing better than expected?

SF will get about 12 seats.

lang

Quackles wrote: »

I'll never diss Dubliners again

No certainty of a FF seat in Dublin. My prediction of Barrett, Gilmore, Bacik and Boyd-Barrett in Dún Laoghaire appears to be coming true. Should put a few shekels on it, darn!!

The ole twitter is down at the moment.....needing my fix of instant news about the election. Listen (and watching Morning Ireland) on the Net at the moment. Some good chat going on. Really interesting

Sir Oxman

I am ecstatic about the Dublin return (if you could call it that) for FF

8% !


My bet is DubSC lowest FF vote in the country - less than 4%

REAL possibility of zero FF in Dublin. Happy days.

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Likely Dublin FF losers: Pat Carey, Brian Lenihan, Conor Lenihan, Mary Hanafin, Barry Andrews, Sean Haughey, Cyprian Brady, Chris Andrews.

lang

hotmail.com wrote: »

This is unbelievable - Hanafin and Andrews likely to lose to their seats.

Labour going to have a good day too, but Independents will have a great day!

The likelihood of Inds getting into the Dáil is dependent on the concentration of the votes in particular Constituencies. Could see some High-Profile Independents getting in with huge surplus (distorting the figures slightly).

Quackles

lang wrote: »

No certainty of a FF seat in Dublin. My prediction of Barrett, Gilmore, Bacik and Boyd-Barrett in Dún Laoghaire appears to be coming true. Should put a few shekels on it, darn!!

The ole twitter is down at the moment.....needing my fix of instant news about the election. Listen (and watching Morning Ireland) on the Net at the moment. Some good chat going on. Really interesting

Have it on here.. Couldn't sleep with the excitement, I'm up since 6. I love count day!

dlofnep

Dublin, I salute you.

muracan

Can't wait to hear the words..."Mary Coughlan what will you do now seeing as you have lost your seat?"
Cowens enforcer,utter incompetent,heartless b*tch


Carlsberg don't do demises ....but if they did!!!

Sir Oxman

Tell you what, if figures accurate it'll be the saviour of FG and FF.
Looking like FG/Lab so shared hatred for them at the next election and no Labour leading the opposition, which would have been almost certain doom for FF.

Rubik.

Which roughly translates into

FG - 72, Lab - 38, FF - 20, SF - 11.

gandalf

If this turns out to be true then I am very proud of my city especially if it means that there are no FF TD's in the Capital after this.

And if this means that wasters like Coughlin are turfed out as well then this is going to be a great weekends entertainment for me

Sibylla

muracan wrote: »

Can't wait to hear the words..."Mary Coughlan what will you do now seeing as you have lost your seat?"
Cowens enforcer,utter incompetent,heartless b*tch


Carlsberg don't do demises ....but if they did!!!

I would be delighted to see Coughlan lose her seat, Is it looking like FG are going to need a coalition with labour? I had thought they would get a majority.

Min

Quackles wrote: »

I'll never diss Dubliners again

They probably voted for people who cannot count like Richard Boyd Barrett.

gandalf

Min wrote: »

They probably voted for people who cannot count like Richard Boyd Barrett.

Rather that people who proved they can't count like Brian "The cheapest Bank bailout ever" Lenihan

hotmail.com

Min wrote: »

They probably voted for people who cannot count like Richard Boyd Barrett.

And Lenihan could?

Leiva

I hope your reading this Bertie !

Mixednuts (south Dublin)

Sir Oxman

It is only a poll but was very accurate in 2007.

FG are transfer friendly and are quite a bit ahead of Labour in that poll so due a seat 'bonus' or bounce under PRSTV.

It really will be all down to the transfers - the Indos have a high percentage but there'll be a few on very high votes the rest strewn abround so may not translate into a huge amount of seats.

This is going to be a very exciting count.

ted1

very disappointing can't believe 8% of people havn't learnt any thing in the last 14years. Also can't believe the lefties did so well in dun laoighre.

Minister B

hotmail.com wrote: »

This is unbelievable - Hanafin and Andrews likely to lose to their seats.

Labour going to have a good day too, but Independents will have a great day!

GP doing better than expected?

SF will get about 12 seats.

You could very well be right. But I've a sneaky suspicioun that SF will be transfer freindly from the ULA & Independents. If they are they could end up with 14.

Regarding the greens, I still think they'll only take 2 seats. Sargent & Gormley. Ryan has a chance but I don't think he'll get it.

Rubik.

Watching the demise of FF today is going to be the best bit of blood sport seen on TV ever.

hotmail.com

ted1 wrote: »

very disappointing can't believe 8% of people havn't learnt any thing in the last 14years. Also can't believe the lefties did so well in dun laoighre.

Let's wait and see. It could end up 2 Lab, 2 FG.

Sir Oxman

Min wrote: »

They probably voted for people who cannot count like Richard Boyd Barrett.

Yes.
Similar to a vote for John McGuinness in Kilkenny - that really, truly won't count for anything

Sibylla

Cannot wait to see Hannafin and Coughlan if they lose their seats, Best decision the Irish electorate ever made.

DoesNotCompute

hotmail.com wrote: »

No overall majority for FG, but they'll still get about 70 seats.

Absolute disaster for FF, a defining moment in Irish electoral history - Hanafin, Lenihan, Peter Power, Coughlan could all lose out today. Unbelievable.

My faith in democracy has been restored today

hotmail.com

This is all being discussed on RTE radio right now. Kileen is sounding very sore.

Min

hotmail.com wrote: »

And Lenihan could?

Yes, people are paid their wages and social welfare, the atm machines still work.

RBB and ULA was the low IQ vote. Probably with the strongest showing in Dublin.

Sir Oxman

There is a slight possibility the poll could be wrong, a percent or two here and there could make all the difference...very interesting stuff on Morning Ireland.
How am I gonna keep awake till 3am tomorrow??

Quackles

Now I want to get up and go to the count centre. What sadistic person broke twitter??

Garseys

Fair Play Dublin!:D *pats back*

Min

FG and Labour have too many seats, a very weak opposition, not good for FG or Labour once the honeymoon is over and the they start dishing out their pain.

hotmail.com

Quackles wrote: »

Now I want to get up and go to the count centre. What sadistic person broke twitter??

What is wrong with it?

This 15% figure is rippling through the country!

bernardo mac

Not quite unbelievable.But what is incredible is that the electorate should be so politically blind for so long

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The Dublin figure does indicate that FF did better than expected in the other regions of the country.

Leiva

bernardo mac wrote: »

Not quite unbelievable.But what is incredible is that the electorate should be so politically blind for so long

A €85 billion bail out can do alot to peoples eyes

lang

hotmail.com wrote: »

This is all being discussed on RTE radio right now. Kileen is sounding very sore.

Tis a magnificant day for the Irish voters. My only worry is that with FG in power they'll sell off everthing they can and leave us with nothing to build the country back up.

Hopefully with Labour in there with them then it'll stem the tide of our National assests.

OMD

hotmail.com wrote: »

The Dublin figure does indicate that FF did better than expected in the other regions of the country.

Also the 8% Dublin figure is an average. Lenihan & Hanaffin will probably hold seats. Whether anyone else in FF will is another question.

Min

gambiaman wrote: »

Yes.
Similar to a vote for John McGuinness in Kilkenny - that really, truly won't count for anything

You must want no opposition.

county man

hotmail.com wrote: »

FF 15.1%
FG 36.1%
LAB 20.5%
SF 10.1%
Green 2.7%
Ind 15.5%

FF 8% in Dublin

What is the breakdown for the rest of the country?

Min

county man wrote: »

What is the breakdown for the rest of the country?

If FF are 8% in Dublin, then their vote is higher than 15.1% outside of Dublin.

Sir Oxman

Min wrote: »

You must want no opposition.

How must I?
You must want to reward complete failure.

Euro_Kraut

The Twitter Machine is broken

Ireland's great 'Twitter election' could be scuppers. Was looking forward to seeing the tallies coming in this morning.

19% INDs in Dublin by the way! Crazy days for Irish politics. FF in FIFTH in Dublin!

Leiva

Transfers , Transfers , Transfers ... That's gonna be the word of the day .

hotmail.com

OMD wrote: »

Also the 8% Dublin figure is an average. Lenihan & Hanaffin will probably hold seats. Whether anyone else in FF will is another question.

Lenihan maybe, it's less certain with Hanafin because the FF is split between her and Andrews. In fact it's almost certain that she won't get elected.

Min

gambiaman wrote: »

How must I?
You must want to reward complete failure.

You mean complete failure like being top 5 in the world for human development - influenced by government policy, number 2 in the world for foreign direct investment, a strong exports sectors.

You must only look at things through blinkers as these should be areas of failure if it was complete failure.

JONJO THE MISER

Guys i knew the F.G vote was over estimated as i said yesterday i expect F.G to get 69-71 seats thus winning myself €2000 as i have 72 and under at 4/1:p

lang

Euro_Kraut wrote: »

The Twitter Machine is broken

Ireland's great 'Twitter election' could be scuppers. Was looking forward to seeing the tallies coming in this morning.

19% INDs in Dublin by the way! Crazy days for Irish politics. FF in FIFTH in Dublin!

I've been up since about 7.30 and trying to get onto the Twitter, but no look. Am having to travel between Dublin and Westmeath today so hopefully it's fixed by 11am. Will have the radio though so not really too bad.
God, us Irish latch onto this technology lark. You'd think the Twitter nerds in the States would've realised to give a bit more power to the Irish Servers during this Election period.

Min

JONJO THE MISER wrote: »

Guys i knew the F.G vote was over estimated as i said yesterday i expect F.G to get 69-71 seats thus winning myself €2000 as i have 72 and under at 4/1:p

Good luck, you must have plenty of money