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Mary Lou McDonald's Chances

  • 28-01-2011 12:27am
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 79 ✭✭


    Will she win a seat this time in Dublin Central after failing the last time out? Take she could do it, who is she up against?


Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,200 ✭✭✭imme


    Mary Lou has an office in Ballybough in the Dublin Central constituency where she is standing. She seems to have done away with her competition in SF. Nicky Kehoe has walked away from politics. Christy Burke is now an Ind Cllr having left SF. He's going to stand in Dublin Central as an Ind.

    There are 2 x FF cand. M Fitzpatrick and C Brady
    1 x FG Sen P Donohoe
    2 x Lab J Costello and A Lynch
    Maureen O'Sullivan is hoping to retain the Tony Gregory seat as well. There are bound to be a couple more Ind's as well.

    Mary Lou stands a pretty good chance to gain a seat. The only other time she ran in Dublin Central, for the 2007 GE, where she came 6th.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,630 ✭✭✭steelcityblues


    She did very well on Browne tonight.

    Someone's a tad envious/jealous methinks.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,620 ✭✭✭sligopark


    imme wrote: »
    Mary Lou ... seems to have done away with her competition in SF. Nicky Kehoe has walked away from politics. Christy Burke is now an Ind Cllr having left SF. He's going to stand in Dublin Central as an Ind.

    perhaps a trait where true longer standing sf'ers have walked away from a party using the sf trademark to introduce adams vision of marxist socialism and use the EU back door to force it (ala labour ff and fg) upon the irish electorate who do not want it all in a package ...


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,620 ✭✭✭sligopark


    She did very well on Browne tonight.

    Someone's a tad envious/jealous methinks.

    WHAT? Self Obsessed is Alan Shatter?????


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,020 ✭✭✭BlaasForRafa


    She did very well on Browne tonight.

    Someone's a tad envious/jealous methinks.

    She didn't do well at all imo, VB caught her out when he said "what then?" after the pension reserve fund is exhausted. "What then indeed" is all she could say while you could almost see the wheels frantically turning in her head while she stalled for time before she remembered to launch into SF's usual voodoo economics about how a stimulus is going to bridge a massive deficit in spending, VB skewered her on that one as well.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,072 ✭✭✭PeterIanStaker


    Like all SF candidates, she's standing on a heap of dead bodies.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,957 ✭✭✭The Volt


    imme wrote: »
    is this politics or After Hours:rolleyes:

    there is also a GE su forum on the politics forum as well.

    Mary Lou has an office in Ballybough in the Dublin Central constituency where she is standing. She seems to have done away with her competition in SF. Nicky Kehoe has walked away from politics. Christy Burke is now an Ind Cllr having left SF. He's going to stand in Dublin Central as an Ind.

    There are 2 x FF cand. M Fitzpatrick and C Brady
    1 x FG Sen P Donohoe
    2 x Lab J Costello and A Lynch
    Maureen O'Sullivan is hoping to retain the Tony Gregory seat as well. There are bound to be a couple more Ind's as well.

    Mary Lou stands a pretty good chance to gain a seat. The only other time she ran in Dublin Central, for the 2007 GE, where she came 6th.
    Cllr. Aine Clancy for Labour.

    Costello will top the poll with a good chance of Clancy being pulled in with him. Interesting constituency.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 425 ✭✭barrackali


    SF have mental "economic" policies, but even that won't stop her from getting a seat.

    I hope SF get very few seats...feel the same way about FF too!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,200 ✭✭✭imme


    Voltwad wrote: »
    Cllr. Aine Clancy for Labour.

    Costello will top the poll with a good chance of Clancy being pulled in with him. Interesting constituency.
    Clancy of course, thanks.
    Not so sure about 2 seats, I just don't see it.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 13,018 ✭✭✭✭jank


    She will get in for definate.

    Sinn Fein will do very well in this election.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,677 ✭✭✭deise go deo


    jank wrote: »
    She will get in for definate.

    Sinn Fein will do very well in this election.

    Indeed it seams so, We could end up with Gerry Adams as leader of the opposition, Nervous times for Enda.:D


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 13,018 ✭✭✭✭jank


    Indeed it seams so, We could end up with Gerry Adams as leader of the opposition, Nervous times for Enda.:D

    No, It wont be Gerry Adams at least in the long run. It will be Pearce Dougherty. He is the future of that party. Labour will be shown up for what they are. Smoked Salmon Socialists.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,677 ✭✭✭deise go deo


    jank wrote: »
    No, It wont be Gerry Adams at least in the long run. It will be Pearce Dougherty. He is the future of that party. Labour will be shown up for what they are. Smoked Salmon Socialists.

    Gerry Adams will be the leader of SF in the next Dáil, That much is clear, He may well become the leader of the opposition too(depending on just how badly FF actually do)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,608 ✭✭✭✭sceptre


    I've edited out the silliness from this thread. For those posts I deleted, your views on someone's looks from a Saturday night perspective aren't relevant. OP also kindly take note.

    /mod


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,717 ✭✭✭Nehaxak


    I don't think anything is a definite for any SF candidate, even Doherty or Adams. Each have to canvass and fight hard for their right to be elected by the people and I don't think any of them take the matter lightly at all or ever consider it a forgone conclusion. I think she has a very high chance of being elected this time around but we'll see how it goes.

    She done really well on VB the other night, well presented, came across as very friendly, likeable, capable, calm and with a sense of humour and easy ability to deal with Vincent Browne - who is notorious for winding people up.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,260 ✭✭✭PatsytheNazi


    Like all SF candidates, she's standing on a heap of dead bodies.
    Wasn't this state built on a heap of dead bodies ? Nothing immoral or unusual there. Not all, but most/many countries under foreign occupation have to use violence to get rid of the occupying power. Isn't it the boast of all the party's that they " did their bit " FG - Collins, FF 'soldiers of destiny', Labour - James Connolly etc, etc

    Now for the rose tinted ' Republicans ' who are all for the use of violence so long as it was back in 1920 or 1798 etc :rolleyes: :)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,078 ✭✭✭✭LordSutch


    She didn't do well at all imo, VB caught her out when he said "what then?" after the pension reserve fund is exhausted. "What then indeed" is all she could say while you could almost see the wheels frantically turning in her head while she stalled for time before she remembered to launch into SF's usual voodoo economics about how a stimulus is going to bridge a massive deficit in spending, VB skewered her on that one as well.

    Very well said, but it is amazing to see the 'Mary Lou did very well' posters in every thread that mentions her appearance on VB last night > its almost as if Sinn Fein supporters are brainwashed into saying how good she (and Pearse Doherty) are, even when they're clearly not!

    She really struggled with the figures I thought.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,630 ✭✭✭steelcityblues


    LordSutch wrote: »
    Very well said, but it is amazing to see the 'Mary Lou did very well' posters in every thread that mentions her appearance on VB last night > its almost as if Sinn Fein supporters are brainwashed into saying how good she (and Pearse Doherty) are, even when they're clearly not!

    She really struggled with the figures I thought.

    Yet, it is every other party bar the so called economic illiterates who have caved in to several high taxation measures for the ordinary guy per this Finance Bill - not to forget the talked about 90pc rate of tax for the bonuses being dropped.

    As a commentator said today the 'political' appetite wasn't there. Notice, didn't say FF apptite but 'political' implementing the other negotiating parties.

    As for SF voters being groupies, sad when the Labour types level of debate nowadays usually is marked with glib comments about guns and bombs.

    They don't seem to realise at all the average floating voter is worried about now is the economy, and not decades of history.

    Just get your party's best condescending people like Joan Burton, Alan Kelly, Roisin Shortall, etc. out for plenty of media appearances and watch the potential voters drift somewhere else.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 43 Cal_Egle


    Like all SF candidates, she's standing on a heap of dead bodies.

    Me thinks that Labour have a few Sinners in their party as well, so the same can be said of them, right....
    and correct me if i am wrong, but FF and FG rose out of the ashes of a "terrorist" war against the British also... and they killed a lot more of their own people than Sinn Fein ever did ....

    So me thinks, a little bit of balance and informed comment making would be in order...
    Comments like these are the rhetoric of FF parties that are running scared and will do their best to scare voters away from making informed decisions for themselves ... Think about it ... if you dont vote FG or Labour, then you better not vote for SF, so the only other established party is FF..... I dont think i or most other people in this country of ours is ready to give FF another chance to screw up our country further. And speaking of dead bodies, how many people died unnecessarily at the hands of the FF lead HSE unnecessarily .... :mad:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,260 ✭✭✭PatsytheNazi


    LordSutch wrote: »
    Very well said, but it is amazing to see the 'Mary Lou did very well' posters in every thread that mentions her appearance on VB last night > its almost as if Sinn Fein supporters are brainwashed into saying how good she (and Pearse Doherty) are, even when they're clearly not!

    She really struggled with the figures I thought.
    If VB said " Mary you were fantastic tonight " all the Brit lovers are brainwashed into saying how good she was regardless :)

    If you want to see horrendous, Joan Burton took the biscuit a few nights ago. She was like a buff in a pub shouting everyone down.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 54 ✭✭Minister B


    Dublin Central is going to be a very tough constituency to call.

    Costello & Donohoe are guaranteed IMO to take the 1st & 2nd seats. Leaving an absolute dog fight for the remaining two between Mary Lou, Mary Fitz, Maureen O'Sullivan & Burke.

    There's a well established old FF vote in Dublin Central which returned in excess of 15000 first preference votes in the last election , when you consider that a quota is likely to be 6500 even a drop in FF support won't stop FF from taking a seat here. Brady's personal support is low and despite been shunned by FF last time out Mary fitz still pulled 1700 votes, therefore I reckon Fitzpatrick will take the 3rd seat.

    As for the last seat anyone's opinion is as good as the next. Clancy probably won't have enough to threaten. IMO Burke could eat into Mary lou's 1st pref vote, similarly should Burke get eliminated before mary lou (which is likely) the bump in tansfers could push her into the final seat. O'sullivan is the big threat to Mary Lou but I think Sinn Fein will just take this one in a very tight finish.


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