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Range of seats in the next General election

  • 14-09-2010 5:41pm
    #1
    REPSOC1916
    Closed Accounts Posts: 162 ✭✭


    Ok ripping off a thread on Politics.ie, I know. What are your guesses on how many seats each party will win after the next general election? I'll get the ball rolling.

    FF:40-55
    FG:55-70
    LAB:35-48
    SF:5-10
    Greens:0-1
    Soc:1-2
    PbP:0-2
    IND:4-15


Comments

  • #2
    Brussels Sprout
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,849 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    REPSOC1916 wrote: »
    Ok ripping off a thread on Politics.ie, I know. What are your guesses on how many seats each party will retain win after the next general election? I'll get the ball rolling.

    FF:40-55
    FG:55-70
    LAB:35-48
    SF:5-10
    Greens:0-1
    Soc:1-2
    PbP:0-2
    IND:4-15

    FYP


  • #3
    REPSOC1916
    Closed Accounts Posts: 162 ✭✭REPSOC1916


    Brussels Sprout wrote: »
    FYP

    oh crap. better fix that. Thanks


  • #4
    imme
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,200 ✭✭✭imme


    The results will be as follows:

    FG 63
    FF 39
    Lab 39
    SF 7
    Green 2
    PbP 4
    Ind 12

    :cool:


  • #5
    bijapos
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,003 ✭✭✭bijapos


    FF 54
    FG 65
    Lab 31
    SF 7
    GP 2
    Ind/Others 7

    Depends on the mood of the nation in the couple of weeks up to the election but FF will not go under 50 no matter what people here would like to see. They are a long way from being decimated.
    According to Leo Varadker a couple of weeks ago FG have officially given up on an overall majority, they will only gain 15 or so seats because floating conservatives will swing from FF to FG.
    Labour hard to say, a big increase in polls does not necessarily mean an increase in seats everywhere. They will still generally do good in urban areas and bad in rural.
    SF will maybe gain 2 or 3 on a good day, Greens will keep Sargent and Ryan.


  • #6
    REPSOC1916
    Closed Accounts Posts: 162 ✭✭REPSOC1916


    bijapos wrote: »
    FF 54
    FG 65
    Lab 31
    SF 7
    GP 2
    Ind/Others 7

    Depends on the mood of the nation in the couple of weeks up to the election but FF will not go under 50 no matter what people here would like to see. They are a long way from being decimated.
    According to Leo Varadker a couple of weeks ago FG have officially given up on an overall majority, they will only gain 15 or so seats because floating conservatives will swing from FF to FG.
    Labour hard to say, a big increase in polls does not necessarily mean an increase in seats everywhere. They will still generally do good in urban areas and bad in rural.
    SF will maybe gain 2 or 3 on a good day, Greens will keep Sargent and Ryan.

    Agree with Varadker's assesment. They'll do well in a lot of rural areas but some of them will be dissapointed with what they get in urban areas
    I'd say Labour could nudge towards the 50 seat mark. They'll do good everywhere except in the border counties and they'll clean up in the cities and a lot of suburban areas.
    54 would be good for FF at this stage.
    Hard to know with SF. They could have a good day out and get 10 seats just as easily as they could have a disaster and only keep Cavan-Monaghan and Louth (the only dead safe seats for them).
    Greens are dead. Only Seargent had really what you could call a personal vote and he'd have a shot at keeping his seat. Paddy Power are offering him 1/1 odds on him keeping his seat.
    Socialists will send Higgins back to the Dail. I doubt Clare Daly could make it given the change in constituency boundaries removes a large chunk out of Swords which is her base. Wouldnt surprise me if PbP split over some issue or other. It's really an SWP front.
    There will be more independents, especially FF gene pool ones.


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