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UFC 114
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29-05-2010 2:26am#1All fighters have weighed-in on first ask so the current market will not change drastically. I wouldn't put money on how the fighters will win but just a few of my predictions.
Diego Sanchez v John Hathaway
There is real value to be had in this fight. Sanchez is at least 1 grade above Hathaway, and probably 2 in my opinion. Beating Rick Storey and Paul Taylor does not justify Hathaway trading at 2.92. Sanchez is coming off a title loss to a future hall of famer, is going back up to his natural weight class and will probably overpower John in the first round imo. I have seen Sanchez look in better shape but he has only lost to the top guys in their weight classes, Koscheck, Fitch and Penn. He knows what is at stake tomorrow night and I genuinely cannot see him being beaten here. TKO for Sanchez if I was betting on an outcome.
Prediction: Sanchez via whatever he wants
(approx 1.45 on Betfair)
Michael Bisping v Dan Miller
Miller is a nice guy and has had some unfortunate personal issues but I can't see him being able to cope with Bisping. He genuinely looked scared at the press conference and his head seems all over the place saying he is going to stand and trade with Mike. Bisping knows that he has to win and what has to be done, Miller has a very tough fight on his hands to stay in the organisation. The only way Miller can win imo is by submission, and Mike is well versed on the ground and too experienced to get caught. I can't see Miller getting it to the ground and Mike will destroy him in the stand up, Miller was outboxed by Damian Maia of all people. Bisping should be able to get the TKO.
Prediction: Bisping (approx 1.6 on BF)
Amir Sadollah v Dong Hyun Kim
I really would fancy Sadollah here but he did look very gaunt at the weigh-in. I would still fancy him to win as he will utilise his kicks well but Dong Hyun has shown his solid wrestling ability in the past and he could tire Amir so I won't be putting too much on this fight. Alot of people will find Amir good value @ 1.82, and he should get the decision win.
Prediction: Sadollah (approx 1.8 on BF)
Melvin Guillard, Efrain Escudero and Luiz Cane should all win but I would be looking for alot more value than what they are trading at which is between 1.25 - 1.35. None of the other fights have any interest for me.
Good luck to anyone who has a bet on
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All fighters have weighed-in on first ask so the current market will not change drastically. I wouldn't put money on how the fighters will win but just a few of my predictions.
Diego Sanchez v John Hathaway
There is real value to be had in this fight. Sanchez is at least 1 grade above Hathaway, and probably 2 in my opinion. Beating Rick Storey and Paul Taylor does not justify Hathaway trading at 2.92. Sanchez is coming off a title loss to a future hall of famer, is going back up to his natural weight class and will probably overpower John in the first round imo. I have seen Sanchez look in better shape but he has only lost to the top guys in their weight classes, Koscheck, Fitch and Penn. He knows what is at stake tomorrow night and I genuinely cannot see him being beaten here. TKO for Sanchez if I was betting on an outcome.
Prediction: Sanchez via whatever he wants (approx 1.45 on Betfair)
Michael Bisping v Dan Miller
Miller is a nice guy and has had some unfortunate personal issues but I can't see him being able to cope with Bisping. He genuinely looked scared at the press conference and his head seems all over the place saying he is going to stand and trade with Mike. Bisping knows that he has to win and what has to be done, Miller has a very tough fight on his hands to stay in the organisation. The only way Miller can win imo is by submission, and Mike is well versed on the ground and too experienced to get caught. I can't see Miller getting it to the ground and Mike will destroy him in the stand up, Miller was outboxed by Damian Maia of all people. Bisping should be able to get the TKO.
Prediction: Bisping (approx 1.6 on BF)
Amir Sadollah v Dong Hyun Kim
I really would fancy Sadollah here but he did look very gaunt at the weigh-in. I would still fancy him to win as he will utilise his kicks well but Dong Hyun has shown his solid wrestling ability in the past and he could tire Amir so I won't be putting too much on this fight. Alot of people will find Amir good value @ 1.82, and he should get the decision win.
Prediction: Sadollah (approx 1.8 on BF)
Melvin Guillard, Efrain Escudero and Luiz Cane should all win but I would be looking for alot more value than what they are trading at which is between 1.25 - 1.35. None of the other fights have any interest for me.
Good luck to anyone who has a bet on
Bisping doesn't just need to win, IMO he needs to win BIG
I see ya bottled out of calling the main event:p
I have Rashad by Unanimous decision0 -
All fighters have weighed-in on first ask so the current market will not change drastically. I wouldn't put money on how the fighters will win but just a few of my predictions.
Diego Sanchez v John Hathaway
There is real value to be had in this fight. Sanchez is at least 1 grade above Hathaway, and probably 2 in my opinion. Beating Rick Storey and Paul Taylor does not justify Hathaway trading at 2.92. Sanchez is coming off a title loss to a future hall of famer, is going back up to his natural weight class and will probably overpower John in the first round imo. I have seen Sanchez look in better shape but he has only lost to the top guys in their weight classes, Koscheck, Fitch and Penn. He knows what is at stake tomorrow night and I genuinely cannot see him being beaten here. TKO for Sanchez if I was betting on an outcome.
Prediction: Sanchez via whatever he wants(approx 1.45 on Betfair)
Michael Bisping v Dan Miller
Miller is a nice guy and has had some unfortunate personal issues but I can't see him being able to cope with Bisping. He genuinely looked scared at the press conference and his head seems all over the place saying he is going to stand and trade with Mike. Bisping knows that he has to win and what has to be done, Miller has a very tough fight on his hands to stay in the organisation. The only way Miller can win imo is by submission, and Mike is well versed on the ground and too experienced to get caught. I can't see Miller getting it to the ground and Mike will destroy him in the stand up, Miller was outboxed by Damian Maia of all people. Bisping should be able to get the TKO.
Prediction: Bisping (approx 1.6 on BF)
Amir Sadollah v Dong Hyun Kim
I really would fancy Sadollah here but he did look very gaunt at the weigh-in. I would still fancy him to win as he will utilise his kicks well but Dong Hyun has shown his solid wrestling ability in the past and he could tire Amir so I won't be putting too much on this fight. Alot of people will find Amir good value @ 1.82, and he should get the decision win.
Prediction: Sadollah (approx 1.8 on BF)
Melvin Guillard, Efrain Escudero and Luiz Cane should all win but I would be looking for alot more value than what they are trading at which is between 1.25 - 1.35. None of the other fights have any interest for me.
Good luck to anyone who has a bet on
Hathaway has more of a chance than you think he has.
Stun Gun will beat Sadollah by UD...that line for Sadollah is unjustified after beating Phil Baroni and Brad Blackburn,,and also for winning the Ultimate Fighter.
Cyril Diabate has a great chance too...Very crisp stand up similar to Lil Nog..and we saw what happened to Banha in that fight.0 -
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therokerroar wrote: »I really, really want to lump my balance on Sanchez, who's getting quite a good review of people on here and UFC Forums. I know absolutely **** all about the sport though, so I'm not sure
Sanchez last fought for the Lightweight title, and has fought quailty opposition for the past 4/5 years, his only 3 defeats in that time coming against top opposition.
He's still got it, but not enough to take the title.
Hathaway is the new kid on the block, 3 fights in UFC , won them all but the opposition are WELL below Sanchez's level.
In footballing terms i'd say it's Man Utd against Leeds, Man United will win 99 times out of 100.0 -
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callaway92 wrote: »Hathaway has more of a chance than you think he has.
Stun Gun will beat Sadollah by UD...that line for Sadollah is unjustified after beating Phil Baroni and Brad Blackburn,,and also for winning the Ultimate Fighter.
Cyril Diabate has a great chance too...Very crisp stand up similar to Lil Nog..and we saw what happened to Banha in that fight.Everyone will have different opinions but Dong Hyun isn't anything special imo, he has a split decision win over Matt Brown and a UD over a mediocre TJ Grant.
The snake has a chance ya but thats why I would want better value in Cane as stated, still fancy him to win though.
Hathaway is outclassed by Diego in every department, even his best asset of wrestling. Step too far for him tonight and Diego should win this comfortably, I'm not sure a decision win will do him any favours. I'd like to hear your reasoning on Stun Gun winning and how Hathaway has a chance Callaway92
Well, I was correct in all 3 of my underdog bets...Didn't need reasoning..just needed a brain
Should have listened to me buddy
Cyril, Dong and John all won very convincingly as I knew they would:)0 -
callaway92 wrote: »Well, I was correct in all 3 of my underdog bets...Didn't need reasoning..just needed a brain
Should have listened to me buddy
Cyril, Dong and John all won very convincingly as I knew they would:)
no-one likes a smart-ass
Having said that, Hathaway absolutely dominated Sanchez.0 -
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callaway92 wrote: »Well, I was correct in all 3 of my underdog bets...Didn't need reasoning..just needed a brain
Should have listened to me buddy
Cyril, Dong and John all won very convincingly as I knew they would
You never said he would win, you said he wouldn't be an easy task as suggested. If you think you had a valid reason for those fights why didn't you explain it??
You looked at 3 fights and picked the winners off the page, congrats
Cyril got lucky after being knocked down, Hyun outwrestled Amir as I mentioned was a danger and John connected with a knee that just blow Diego's gameplan out the window.
No possible reasoning for them as clear winners from stats or previous performances, my brother looked at the card and picked those names aswell, congratulations0 -
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