Irish Times Poll Results

marco_polo

Tommorrows TNS/MRBI poll in the Irish Times announced on RTE news

Yes 46% (-8)
No - 29 % (+1)
Don't Know - 25% (+7)

Swing from the Yes side to the maybes pile since the last poll.

tonycascarino

...and are these percentages only a reflection of the people that read the Irish Times??

marco_polo

tonycascarino wrote: »

...and are these percentages only a reflection of the people that read the Irish Times??

No this is a full nationwide poll by TNSMRBI
http://www.tnsmrbi.ie/

Scofflaw

Sad to say it fails to surprise me. Did the Yes campaigns really think that they could just go on holiday and nothing would happen?

vastly irritated,
Scofflaw

tonycascarino

marco_polo wrote: »

No this is a full nationwide poll by TNSMRBI
http://www.tnsmrbi.ie/

Yes a full nationwide poll that I doubt too much of the nation knew about...

ChocolateSauce

tonycascarino wrote: »

...and are these percentages only a reflection of the people that read the Irish Times??

Nationwide, usually 1000 people sampled at 100 locations.

If it was a reflection of IT readers only, it would probably be far higher for Yes.

tonycascarino

ChocolateSauce wrote: »

Nationwide, usually 1000 people sampled at 100 locations.

If it was a reflection of IT readers only, it would probably be far higher for Yes.

That's fair enough. Thanks for the explanation.

marco_polo

tonycascarino wrote: »

Yes a full nationwide poll that I doubt too much of the nation knew about...

But statistically a sample of 1000 people is equally as valid as a poll of 1,000,000.

marco_polo

Scofflaw wrote: »

Sad to say it fails to surprise me. Did the Yes campaigns really think that they could just go on holiday and nothing would happen?

vastly irritated,
Scofflaw

Indeed should there be a similar slide between now and the next poll in a week or two and it would be really all to play for.

Euro_Kraut

Awful news for the YES side. Combine this with the poor postering and the continued focus on fighting the NO claims rather than propagating the YES, means that the Lisbon treaty is in very serious danger of being defeated again.

Have the bookies odd changed since this poll came out?

Scofflaw

Euro_Kraut wrote: »

Awful news for the YES side. Combine this with the poor postering and the continued focus on fighting the NO claims rather than propagating the YES, means that the Lisbon treaty is in very serious danger of being defeated again.

Have the bookies odd changed since this poll came out?

At more or less the same time, I think, the odds on a No lengthened.

cordially,
Scofflaw

Captain Furball

Looks to me like they will have to turn up the media bias a notch or two more.I'm out around putting up vote no to Lisbon posters and I'm getting a great local "community" response.This poll looks promising.

marco_polo

Captain Furball wrote: »

Looks to me like they will have to turn up the media bias a notch or two more.I'm out around putting up vote no to Lisbon posters and I'm getting a great local "community" response.This poll looks promising.

Do you mind if I ask what they say?

Captain Furball

I don't live in dublin sorry bud.

meglome

Captain Furball wrote: »

Looks to me like they will have to turn up the media bias a notch or two more.I'm out around putting up vote no to Lisbon posters and I'm getting a great local "community" response.This poll looks promising.

Any of these posters have any truth on them?

heyjude

Euro_Kraut wrote: »

Have the bookies odd changed since this poll came out?

Yes, the odds on a NO vote were 5/1 with PP earlier in the week, they're down to 9/2 now, while the odds on a YES vote were 1/10 and now they're 1/9.

WooPeeA

Scofflaw wrote: »

Sad to say it fails to surprise me. Did the Yes campaigns really think that they could just go on holiday and nothing would happen?

vastly irritated,
Scofflaw

That was exactly the mistake of YES campaigners during the last referendum.