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Michael Johnson on BBC...the limits of performance?

  • 29-06-2009 11:50pm
    #1
    DangerMouse27
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 699 ✭✭✭


    Hi all
    Just to let you know of a great interview on the bbc site with Micheal Johnson.In it he says that someone will run eighteen for 200m...i had to double check to make sure.He says as a collegiate he ran eighteen something in a relay split for a 4x200m?

    So heres the question...

    What does everyone feel are the limits of world record progression?

    sub 9 for 100m..18 for 200m..under 43 for 400m?

    we have a womens 100m record that is surely drug assisted (flo-jo)
    so that aside...what are the limits for believability in the world records that will be eventually set in all events.
    They believed sub 4 for the mile was impossible and Mjs 200m record unbeatable...what do you think?


Comments

  • #2
    cfitz
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,691 ✭✭✭cfitz


    There are no limits, humans evolve and adapt and learn and produce new technology. Times may also stagnate or regress, but there's no limit.


  • #3
    TheRoadRunner
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,983 ✭✭✭TheRoadRunner


    cfitz wrote: »
    There are no limits, humans evolve and adapt and learn and produce new technology. Times may also stagnate or regress, but there's no limit.

    Very Darwinian :)


  • #4
    ecoli
    Closed Accounts Posts: 10,762 ✭✭✭✭ecoli


    Hugh Morton, a statistician at Massey University, New Zealand conducted a study 25 years ago on the progression of records that interestingly enough has been quite accurate so far (9.68 in 100 by 2010, 3.25 in 1500). Through this study he put together list of pinnacle times whichwill not be broke without drug enhancement.

    100m: 9.15
    200m: 18:15
    400m: 39.33
    800m:1.33.00
    1500m: 3.05.70
    1 mile: :3.28.4
    3000m 6.16.9
    5000m 11.22.9
    10000m: 24.04.6


  • #5
    ecoli
    Closed Accounts Posts: 10,762 ✭✭✭✭ecoli


    And perhaps MJ trying to have an effect on the top end of this scale now. Gallen Rupp has just went pro from college in america signing for Nike with none other than MJ as his agent


  • #6
    High&Low
    Closed Accounts Posts: 323 ✭✭High&Low


    Johnson's comment re 18 secs for the 200m from what I could gather was that some will run sub 19 (i.e. 18.99secs) not 18 secs flat.

    World record progression has been slow. WR record times from the late 60s to today have not progressed anywhere near how much they progressed in the from the 1940s to the 1960s.

    Only 4 people have equaled or beaten Ben Johnson's drug induced 9.79!


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