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Betfair - could someone explain this potential bet to me please?

  • 11-05-2009 1:17pm
    #1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 12,382 ✭✭✭✭


    Hello

    I hope someone can help me with this.

    I'm looking at the Newcastle v Middlesbrough match tonight.

    In the 'correct score' market, 'any unquoted' is 13 | 13.5 (back | lay). If I understand correctly this means anything above 3 - 3. In other words, 7 goals or more.

    Looking at the 'total goals' market '7 goals or more' is 53.11 | 63.16 (back | lay).

    Am I right in thinking that if I lay 'any unquoted' at 13.5, and back '7 goals or more', I can't lose?

    For example,

    I lay 100 on 'any unquoted' @ 13.5. This means I risk 1250 to win 100.
    I back 30 on '7 goals or more' @ 53.11. This means I risk 30 to win 1563.

    So -

    If it is less than 7 goals, I win 100 and lose 30 = 70 profit.
    If it is 7 goals or more I win 1563 and lose 1250 = 313 profit.

    Am I right?!

    Thanks.
    If it is 7 goals or more I lose 1250, but if it is less than 7 goals


Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,837 ✭✭✭abelard


    Either team winning 4-0, 5-0 or 6-0 would mess you up, no?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,382 ✭✭✭✭AARRRGH


    Jaysus.

    Damn!

    Haha, thanks. :)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 7,134 ✭✭✭x in the city


    7 or more goals

    are you on about a different game entirely.

    Be lucky to have 1 goal tonight id say


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,382 ✭✭✭✭AARRRGH


    Nah I was looking for an angle to back and lay the same bet while still making a profit...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 317 ✭✭golfman


    7 or more goals

    are you on about a different game entirely.

    Be lucky to have 1 goal tonight id say

    Exactly, I have 0-0 backed but laying "any unquoted" looks very appealing!


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,382 ✭✭✭✭AARRRGH


    Yeah I am consider doing unquoted as well.

    Btw, I don't think there is a chance in hell there will be more than 7 goals!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 19,341 ✭✭✭✭Chucky the tree


    golfman wrote: »
    Exactly, I have 0-0 backed but laying "any unquoted" looks very appealing!




    You should always back "no goalscorer" as an OG doesnt count in that market. So on the off chance the match ends 1-0 the team scoring through an own goal you'd win your no goalscorer bet but lose the 0-0 bet.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 317 ✭✭golfman


    You should always back "no goalscorer" as an OG doesnt count in that market. So on the off chance the match ends 1-0 the team scoring through an own goal you'd win your no goalscorer bet but lose the 0-0 bet.

    Great tip!


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