Six of the best from me today..

trainbairn

Finally get a day of work where there is a reasonable set of racing cards to get stuck into today and six horses look to have better than average chances of winning today so have combined them in an each way Lucky 63 with the each way part simply to return something if they end up like Falkirk's Top 6 performance this season.....Close but no cigar!.

Towcester 2.30

When Jonjo O'Neill sends a chaser to this particular track then it pays to take notice of it's chances with a record of 15 winners from 34 runners over fences in the past five seasons for a 44% strike rate and a Level stakes profit of +£48.70.In this race he relies on PASS IT ON .who I don’t presume was named after the Coral song of the same name but will be suited by today's conditions of the race based on a quick look at his form to date.
PASS IT ON 9 year old brown gelding (Jonjo O'neill)

Track configuration:
Left handed tracks:F343U(0-5)
Right Handed tracks:44211431(3-8)

Jockey:
A P McCoy: 44211314(3-8)
All other jockeys:F433U(0-5)

He needs a strong jockey to be seen at his best hence why all three wins have come under the champion jockey. It is also clear as day that the horse has to go this way round(right handed) with two of the three wins also coming on tracks that are described as galloping and testing by the Racing Post so the testing nature of today's course should suit him down to the ground.
The only possible negative is that two of the three wins have come after breaks of six months plus so whether he has to be fresh to win is a debate point, but he is at least four weeks since the last run so hoping he is fresh enough, and if the eye-shield works the oracle for the first time then the current prices available( I took 6/1 but 7's is available) will look pretty big come the end of the race. Stolen Moments looks a monkey who is on a long losing run, In Accord needs 4m+ to be at his best( a thorough stayer to these eyes) and at the prices nothing stands out as much as that O'Neill strike rate with his chasers here.


Folkestone 2.40
Not quite sure what Baunagain is doing as favourite here given that it was a poor maiden he won at Southwell( aren’t the all at that dog track!),and the lack of market confidence that day proved that connections didn’t fancy him to win. He won by six lengths but I thought he looked an out and out 7f-1m horse rather than sprinter of note, even though I was the daft so and so who took the 7/4 that day when he won at 7/2!. Not for me today, neither is the Racing post selection Blue Jack who's stable is 0-32 at the track in the last five seasons.
For me the stand out one is the Richard Hannon trained Party In The Park, who whilst still a maiden, has form early last season, including when third on debut behind Royal Ascot winner Winker Watson, that would make him a handicap good thing here. His stable are in rude health with 12 winners from their last 34 runners for a 34% strike rate and a level stakes profit of +£58.50 in the last fourteen days, and if the gelding operation has made the difference then a reproduction of his debut run last year would leave him well clear. In fact, if he runs up to the form of any of the first three runs pre Royal Ascot last season, he would have the beating of this field as none of his rivals has run as fast as he did on those three runs in any race so far. At 4/1 he looks a very solid option in a race that lacks quality in depth outside the front couple in the market.

Carlisle 2.45

It might be daft to back a horse over 2m1f who's two wins have come at 3m+ but since both wins have come over today's testing track at Carlisle I have to be with TWELVE PACES at the big prices of around 12/1. Well handicapped on that chase form when with Martin Pipe(Won off 113 and runs here off 102 onhis first run for a new stable) and it wouldnt be the first time that a horse leaves Pipe and goes to Peter Monteith's and wins having not shown much in his last run. The favourite is trained by Peter Niven who is on a run of 71 losers over jumps since last August and if the move has made the difference then he is well in here and will be outstaying these rivals late home.

trainbairn

The last three are as follows..


Fontwell 3.30

Some people will think I am daft backing a horse who has two P's from his last two runs but with a win and a second place from two runs here then Pervil Pride is one who will be running better than his 16/1 price would indicate. That win and also came on his fourth run back after a break as was the second place here last year and today he has his fourth run since a mid season break so should be ready to run his race today,and with the headgear on for the first time along with Daryl Jacob back on board as well(was on for the horse's last win) I think he can at the very least run into a place at nice odds.


Fontwell 4.05

With the top weight and likely favourite out of the race, this wont take much winning and take Music Celebre to be the one in front, if he can reproduce the form of his win at Exeter two runs back.I like the fact that he quickened up when winning that race and if running up to that form then he should take all the beating.


Towcester 4.15

I like Alan King's comments in today's Racing Post that Pangbourne will be better today racing off top weight than in Novice company with a penalty. He needs a big field so today's fifteen runner field will suit and a reproduction of his Chepstow win two runs back would put him in with a great chance in my opinion,and the stable are in fine form with two winners already today.