Tallies - Latest News

Money Shot

MARY LOU MCDONALD polling 6-7% at present.
Liz O'Donnell in big trouble..
Joe Higgins looks under pressure in Dublin West ..

Floppybits

Looks like Brian Lenihan is in and the fight is between Burton and Higgins. Thats the latest from Newstalk

yomchi

Good work, Keep em coming lads..

seamus

I remember for the local elections, there was a great site showing all of the latest tallies/news on their front page. Does anyone happen to remember/know which one?

Ok I'm stickying this.

All vote discussion here untill the first counts start flowing in.
We'll decide what to do later as regards indicidual threads but I'd ask people to open a Dublin Thread and then one each for the provinces or the interesting battles.

Lets keep today tidy and fun!

ciaran76

MrSquishSquash wrote:

Anyone got alternate links to any irish radio station streaming the election? Realplayer's disabled on rte.ie in work! :mad:

I am using Newstalk.

MrSquishSquash

Anyone got alternate links to any irish radio station streaming the election? Realplayer's disabled on rte.ie in work! :mad:

Money Shot

Money Shot wrote:

Joe Higgins looks under pressure in Dublin West ..

I hope not.
One of the most genuine t.d's in the Dáil

Money Shot

Floppybits wrote:

Looks like Brian Lenihan is in and the fight is between Burton and Higgins. Thats the latest from Newstalk

No Castleknock boxes open yet though - Vadakar's main hunting ground. However, Mulhudart boxes are in - Higgins home turf, and he has polled badly (for him) there... so lot's of interest to come there.

Lenihan in already - gas...

Sully

RTE offer a text service;

http://www.rte.ie/extra/sms_election.html

And also results per-county on their website;

http://www.rte.ie/news/elections2007/constituencies.html

Might be of use.

Money Shot

Tristrame wrote:

I hope not.
One of the most genuine t.d's in the Dáil

Agree with that- he deserves to get back - all's not lost though, all though it is tough to see exactly where his transfers will be coming from and how many

2funki4wheelz

Tom Parlon's looking iffy already, an independent is already beating him in early tallies in Laois/Offaly!

_blank_

Martin Brady polling well in DNE, as is his runnign mate Woods.

They have nearly 40% between them.

Just in case people aren't aware - RTE are streaming their live television coverage

http://www.rte.ie/news/2007/0525/election2.html

Click on Election 2007 on the right of the screen.

MrSquishSquash

ciaran76 wrote:

I am using Newstalk.

Cheers!

Floppybits

seansouth wrote:

Martin Brady polling well in DNE, as is his runnign mate Woods.

They have nearly 40% between them.

Just in case people aren't aware - RTE are streaming their live television coverage

http://www.rte.ie/news/2007/0525/election2.html

Click on Election 2007 on the right of the screen.

Cant believe Woods is doing well, he does nothing in the area. Sad day. :mad:

JackieChan

2funki4wheelz wrote:

Tom Parlon's looking iffy already, an independent is already beating him in early tallies in Laois/Offaly!

I'd imagine that was in a very specific area. The independent(Bracken) is near Clara. Can't imagine Parlon would be behind him overall.

burnedfaceman

bracken is that the chap with the crazy hairdo, would be hillarious if he put parlon out!

seamus

Harney definitely looks in trouble in Dublin MidWest:
FF 35%
GN 14%
FG 12%
Lab 10%
PD 9%
Ind 9%
SF 8%
(Other 3%)

According to RTE before 11. Can't find it on the site though. Four seats up for grabs.

DMC

Good page here..

http://www.rte.ie/news/2007/0525/tallies.html

Irish Wolf

seamus wrote:

Harney definitely looks in trouble in Dublin MidWest:
FF 35%
GN 14%
FG 12%
Lab 10%
PD 9%
Ind 9%
SF 8%
(Other 3%)

According to RTE before 11. Can't find it on the site though. Four seats up for grabs.

Latest is:

FF 32%
FG 12%
Lab 10%
PD 12%
Gr 10%
SF 9%
Oth 10%

murphaph

Money Shot wrote:

Lenihan in already - gas...

Who the hell votes for that man?! It's beggars belief how people feel he represents them in any way. Come on Burton/Varadkar. Higgins will have to go I'm afraid, for the greater good.

DMC

Meath East (from LMFM)

Tally 100%, 1st Count underway

62% Turnout:

FF Wallace 25.58%
FF Byrne 18.28%
FG Mc Entee 15.9%
Lab Hannigan 11.77
FG Doherty 9.91%

Wallace 60% in Ratoath.

Coastal boxes nearly all 1 Hannigan 2 Byrne, or vice versa, they want a local TD.

DMC

Louth looks like same as, no change. 2/3's of the boxes open.

Irish Wolf

Limerick East - mostly from the city...

FF 48%
FG 24%
Lab 11%
PD 6%
SF 5%
Gr 2%
Ind 2%

Tim O'Malley PDs in trouble - needs good transfers from Willie... could be a Labour gain.

is_that_so

DMC wrote:

Louth looks like same as, no change. 2/3's of the boxes open.

Louth will be probably be decided in the "wee hours"(:p ) and I'd expect it to be extremely tight. There are reckoned to be 2/3 in the running for that final seat, probably McGuinness, Kirk and maybe Deary. I'd expect O'Dowd to get in given that he is the only Drogheda based TD.

In DNE Larry O'Toole is not optimistic at present, in 4th based on current tallies and will depend heavily on transfers.

Money Shot

Irish Wolf wrote:

Tim O'Malley PDs in trouble - needs good transfers from Willie... could be a Labour gain.

Labour may not be doing as bad as people think. Costello, Quinn and Burton were expected to be in big trouble, but are looking fairly solid.
Where are the labour losses ???

DMC

Meath West (from LMFM)

FF Dempsey 30%
FF Brady 22%
FG English 17%
SF Reilly 11%
FG Geraghty (less than 7%)
FG Higgins 9%
Lab Collins 4%

DMC

is_that_so wrote:

Louth will be probably be decided in the "wee hours"(:p ) and I'd expect it to be extremely tight. There are reckoned to be 2/3 in the running for final seat, probably McGuinness, Kirk and maybe Deary. I'd expect O'Dowd to get in given that he is the only Drogheda based TD.

According to LMFM, McGuinness might not be in the shake down, no Dundalk or Drogheda boxes opened yet. Kirk is polling stronger, Deary of the Greens isn't expecting much.

Irish Wolf

Tipp North 50% open.. Lowry looking like he's gonna top the poll again... it absolutely amazes me how people vote for him!

FF 37%
FG 15%
Lab 10%

Tipp South

FF 46%
FG 21%
Lab 8%

nesf

Liam Twomey only on 6%....

Irish Wolf

Cullen predicted to top the poll in Waterford..

arctictree

DMC wrote:

Good page here..

http://www.rte.ie/news/2007/0525/tallies.html

Its a pity they don't show the running total seat prediction.

Anyone know of any site that is doing this?

A

Burning Eclipse

I've a man at the racecourse...

Limerick east at the mo:

O'Dea 16802
Noonan 6693
O'Sullivan 4501
O'Donnell 4423
Power 3162
O'Malley 3001
Quinlivan 1846
Forde Brennan 1133
Ryan 1116

Thats with 162 of 183 boxes open.

O'Malley is gone tbh!!

2 FF 2 FG 1 Lab!

Edited to mention: Willie O'Dea is a fnckin institution down here, that's a scary figure!

is_that_so

DMC wrote:

According to LMFM, McGuinness won't be in the shake down, no Dundalk or Drogheda boxes opened yet. Kirk is polling stronger.

Kirk did get out and do lot of legwork. I'd still expect it to be very tight. I'd also expect a change to things when they open Drogheda and Dundalk, particularly the FG share.

FG will pick up Ged Nash transfers, although they may benefit O'Dowd more. It will also be interesting to see how well Deary does and how it will affect the final shakedown.

DMC

Burning Eclipse wrote:

O'Dea 16802

I can't see that being topped by Biffo or Mickey Martin in Cork. Oofh. That is some personal vote.

Civilian_Target

Donegal NE tallies
http://www.wisper.ie/e07/

Looks like Keavney is headed for quota (shame) but FF won't hold all 3 seats.
Fight for last 2 seats is McHugh(FG), Blaney(FF), McDaid(FF) and MacLaughlin(SF). MacLaughlin is ahead but less likely to get transfers, McHugh is polling well and Blaney and McDaid have a quota between them. Its going to be a tough call!

gazzer

Cant believe Brian Lenihan is getting in.. He does nothing in the area.. Im disaointed about Varadakar.. he is all for bringinging in management companies for Dublin 15 when a lot of residents committes in housing estates are trying to get rid of them.. These 2 Candidates have done nothing to help the residents of Dublin 15 over the last 5 years to get rid of these companies.

Irish Wolf

DMC wrote:

Meath West (from LMFM)

Anything on LMFM from Cavan Monaghan? I'd imagine Connolly's seat will be pretty hot at the moment?

Money Shot

gazzer wrote:

Cant believe Brian Lenihan is getting in.. He does nothing in the area.. Im disaointed about Varadakar.. he is all for bringinging in management companies for Dublin 15 when a lot of residents committes in housing estates are trying to get rid of them.. These 2 Candidates have done nothing to help the residents of Dublin 15 over the last 5 years to get rid of these companies.

It's an odd constituency - Lenihan could be living in Spain, sitting at a pool 24 hours a day, 365 days a year, and he'd still top the poll. Vadakar is a rampant self-publicist - there doesn't seem to be very much substance there. Burton and Higgins should be shoe in's up here. The Greens need a decent candidate in the area, and there are no independants ...

DMC

Not yet, Irish Wolf.

From RTÉ at noon, Cavan-Monaghan, 95% Boxes Open, FF 38%, FG 31%, LAB 1%, GP 4%, SF 20%, IND 6%,

The IND is Paudge, he looks like toast. FF Margaret Conlan is polling well, tight between Seymour Crawford and Conlan, I'd say.

Colonel Sanders

has anyone got a link to where we can see the vote split by candidate and not by party?

eirebhoy

Colonel Sanders wrote:

has anyone got a link to where we can see the vote split by candidate and not by party?

Newstalk. I just took down the tallies from my constituency after about 95% open.

Dublin South East:

Chris Andrews (FF) - 6224
Lucinda Creighton (FG) - 6108
Ruairí Quinn (Lab) - 5371
John Gormley (Green) - 4501
Michael McDowell (PDs) - 4336
Jim O'Callaghan (FF) - 3076
Daithí Doolan (SF) - 1456
Rory Hearne (Ind) - 566
Esther Uzell (Ind) - 534
Eoin Tierney (Ind) - 133
Noel Ivory (Ind) - 81
Peter O'Sullivan (Ind) - 39
Noel O'Gara (Ind) - 25

0ubliette

Great, so far its looking like another 10 years of bertie, backhanders, and dig outs, great stuff.

PoolDude

nesf wrote:

Liam Twomey only on 6%....

Who is he likely to lose to - D'Arcy?

jjbrien

From RTE 11:33 Dublin West, 100% Boxes Open , FF 37%, FG 20%, LAB 17%, PD 2%, GP 4%, SF 5%, SP 15% , Prediction None

Looks like Brian Lenahan first, then Leo Vradkar FG. A gight between Higgans and Burton for the last seat. But good result for Leo.

Colonel Sanders

PoolDude wrote:

Who is he likely to lose to - D'Arcy?

Surely unless SF pull off a coup. In fairness Twomey got in on a protest vote as an independant last time with numerous transfers from SF. A lot of people felt conned when he jumped ship to FG eventho he's a minister for health in waiting. North wexford has no TD at the mo, and D'arcy topped the poll in the local elections and comes from a strong FG family

Irish Wolf

DMC wrote:

Not yet, Irish Wolf.

From RTÉ at noon, Cavan-Monaghan, 95% Boxes Open, FF 38%, FG 31%, LAB 1%, GP 4%, SF 20%, IND 6%,

The IND is Paudge, he looks like toast. FF Margaret Conlan is polling well, tight between Seymour Crawford and Conlan, I'd say.

Could be interesting to see if any Smith (FF) transfers go to O'Reilly (FG) for a second Cavan seat... not very likely though...

PoolDude

Colonel Sanders wrote:

Surely unless SF pull off a coup. In fairness Twomey got in on a protest vote as an independant last time with numerous transfers from SF. A lot of people felt conned when he jumped ship to FG eventho he's a minister for health in waiting. North wexford has no TD at the mo, and D'arcy topped the poll in the local elections and comes from a strong FG family

Any word on the rest - I'm guessing Browne, Howlin, Kehoe, Connick & D'Arcy

Victor Meldrew

eirebhoy wrote:

Newstalk. I just took down the tallies from my constituency after about 95% open.

Dublin South East:

Chris Andrews (FF) - 6224
Lucinda Creighton (FG) - 6108
Ruairí Quinn (Lab) - 5371
John Gormley (Green) - 4501
Michael McDowell (PDs) - 4336
Jim O'Callaghan (FF) - 3076
Daithí Doolan (SF) - 1456
Rory Hearne (Ind) - 566
Esther Uzell (Ind) - 534
Eoin Tierney (Ind) - 133
Noel Ivory (Ind) - 81
Peter O'Sullivan (Ind) - 39
Noel O'Gara (Ind) - 25

What's the actual link eireboy, went onto newstalk and can't find it

_blank_

I couldn't find it either.

ciaran76

I think he meant he took it down on paper after hearing it on Newstalk ? Myabe ?