Rate my bluff 600NL

pok3rplaya

Opponent is Regular Tag 17/15/4


Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

saw flop|saw showdown

MP ($1273.51)
CO ($704.02)
Button ($594)
Hero ($775)
BB ($882.33)
UTG ($1288.80)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 5, 5. Hero posts a blind of $3.
UTG calls $6, MP calls $6, 1 fold, Button raises to $30, Hero (poster) calls $27, 1 fold, UTG folds, MP folds,

Flop: ($76) 3, J, 3(2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $56, Hero calls $56.

Turn: ($190) 2(2 players)
check, check

River: ($190) 8(2 players)
I check, he bets $120, I raise All in, Villian has $400 to call


You likey??

ianmc38

Say hello to AKs.

If he didnt have a flush or call with a hand that beats you like KK, I love it.

pok3rplaya

ianmc38 wrote:

If he didnt have a flush or call with a hand that beats you like KK, I love it.

lol really

valor

As I said on MSN, I dont like this

if we think about what hands he can have - air, medium strenght hand looking for thin value, overpair/AJ, flush or a boat

he will obv never fold a flush or a boat
this guy will pretty much always bet this turn with overpair or AJ - he *might* check behind sometimes on the turn but I doubt it. I also think he will often look you up with these hands if he is good at hand reading because there are very few -none actually - flushes in your range as you wont call with suited connectors in the SB there

basically for this to be good he has to have air or a thin value bet alot and I dont think he has. He is very aggressive - 4 - so he he fires alot of second barrels. This is a good board to be firing again on the turn so for him to check the turn he has to have a particular reason to do so - that means he either has a flush draw or a medium strenght hand he wants to show down - 77 or J10 etc.

Once we get to the river, he will be checking back alot of those hands unless he likes razor thin value. Basically, I think he is very often very strong here because of the turn check on this board on that turn card and the river bet on that river card - so I dont like the bluff at all

ianmc38

Yeah thats why i dont like it. We rarely have a flush draw and his line looks like a boat/flush. I think you will get looked up very light here alot.

FastMachine

That's a fairly good line for stacking someone who has an overpair or tptk.

pok3rplaya

Thanks Valour. Longest post ever? You must really love me.

Captain Tom

yeah valor summed it up nicely.i think theres more value in calling than raising.

cardshark202

Yeah valor has it right.