MTT deepish - value bet?

ocallagh

$99 rebuy
Villain is tightish.
Blinds 50/100

Stacks
BB: $3,990
Villain: $4,090
Hero: $5,190

Preflop
Hero on button with 5s 6s
Villain (cut off) raised to 300
Hero Calls
BB Calls


Flop (1050) [6d 3h 6h]
We all check

Turn [4d]
BB checks
Villain checks
Hero bets 600
BB Folds
Villain thinks for 20 seconds and calls 600

River (2250) [2d]
Villain checks
Hero ?

5starpool

If he seemed reluctant to call on the turn then it's hard to know what he will call with on the river. His holding looks like AT+ as an overpair would surely have bet at some point. I'd go with about 1200ish, but then again I am not good at judging times when big overbets can get interpreted as missed draws and get called.

dacman

Its always hard to know what the correct amount to value bet is. What i usually do when it comes to a value bet is bet a strange amount like 955. Strange i know but trust me i have found it to work as players love to know what u bet such a strange amount with and sometimes players come over the top bluffing. Otherwise 1200 is a good amount.

cardshark202

1400 though i would def have bet flop.

bohsman

cardshark202 wrote:

1400 though i would def have bet flop.

.

Hectorjelly

Id fold preflop, 300 is nearly 1/10 of the effective stack. Id bet at least 1500 on the river

Ste05

I'd defo bet the flop, trying to get all in with an over pair.

As played I'd agree with above and bet 1,400+