Vindon's selections

vindon

Hello i'm new to this forum and i'll be posting my selections in this thread from now on.

Word Gets Around 2.10 Musselburgh – Well the front two in the market have met before but this horse beat Ideal Du Bois Beury by 11 lengths and there isn’t a lot of change in the weights today to suggest that that horse can reverse form. Upswing can’t really be trusted as he is yet to win in 15 starts and recent form doesn’t suggest there will be any change. The rest in the field don’t look capable of winning this race and summing everything up this horse will be very hard to beat unless an accident happens on the way round. L Lungo has a 33% sr around here with his chasers and a 29% sr with A Dobbin riding for him. (WIN)

Lorio Du Misselot 2.40 Musselburgh – This looks a very weak race with horses not showing much recent form but this horse looks the only horse that’s in good heart. He was stepped up in trip lto which showed massive improvement as he finished second to a good Irish raider. Only raised 2lbs for that effort and I think this horse has the ability to take this very weak race with no amount of fuss on ground and course which will suit. (WIN)

Bohemian Spirit 3.10 Musselburgh – This was bought into the Nicky Richards stable at the start of the season where he was first tried over hurdles to give him a sharpener. He then went on to running in a Handicap Chase where he absolutely hacked up by 18 lengths over course and distance. He ran that race 8 seconds faster than a standard time on this ground which he has today. Has risen 15lbs for that win which is quite a hike up but he has finished ahead of 116 and over rated horses in the past. Celtic Legend is the only one in this field I can see giving this horse a slight worry but there are doubts over that horse. The owners daughter takes the mount again who takes off 7lbs which will help and the only way this horse will lose is if the weight really punishes him but if he sets his own pace in front he should win going away again. (NB)

Optimistic Alfie 2.50 Towcester – It is very important that horses like this track as it is very testing and not many have ran here in this field apart from this one. He ran here lto on his hurdling debut in a better race than this when finishing second to Jaunty Times who has won again since. He stayed on to get his place though lto and I think this step up in trip to three miles will suit this horse even on this track. Ground will be no worry and the tissue price being 10/1 that looks very nice for an each way bet. (Eway)

Perle De Puce 3.20 Towcester – Hasn’t exactly shown us everything she can do as she has fell on both starts over the bigger obstacles. She showed a bit more though on her last effort when she was battling away with Supreme Serenade and it’s still debateable on who would have won but at worst she would have came a clear second. The second Favourite in this race is Harcott Bay as she ran in the race with Perle De Puce and ended up second as Perle fell. So on class this horse is head and shoulders above but on jumping it’s still weary but I think it will be third time lucky and you could see another horse on this ground as it is an ex-French horse but has never been tried in these conditions in the UK. (NAP)

Sound Simla 1.30 Wolverhampton – This horse is receiving 22lbs off the field here today and looks a throw in here. Won a nice race at Leicester easily beating a 79 rated horse and his best race was lto when second beating a 86 rated horse. So when you sum things up he only has to beat a 60 rated horse at best and it does not seem to hard for this horse going on turf form. On breeding now this horse should like this ground as three of his six siblings have won on this surface and two have been placed which shows he should handle the ground very well. (WIN)

Good Luck

scojones

Welcome aboard vindon, been chatting to you on OLBG and win2win as you may know

fade2black

This boy really does get around....

Welcome aboard Vindon.

sector

A very warm welcome Vindon, I have enjoyed your selections & analysis in the past, must check these out as soon as I can too!

Corben Dallas

Bohemian Spirit ran a stromer, jumped really well, was concerned that he hit the front too early but this horse has bags of pace and handled everything that attempted to get on terms, even had enough gas to strech out a few lenghts at the finish, was good enuff to be a win prediction

Optimistic Alfiewas goin wellish but fell away when others got goin

Perle De Pucereally nice horse jumped well looked as if he was tracking Henriettas horse Du Blanc and was well posied for a good finish, but the other horse had enough to give a little more at the finish. lot of U/F in this the horses form but on from that run seems be a more confident animal. unlucky not to get the result.

decent selections Vindon

vindon

Thanks for your review mate but i have to say the ride on perle de puce was shocking, anyone else on board then De Blanc would have been put in his place

Well thats my view

fade2black

Have a read of the thread entitled "questionable rides"

vindon

Well only one meeting at Ireland to concentrate on today which isn’t the best but a small betting day is necessary for as I’m bored.

Snow Tern 12.50 Naas – Well this is a big field but is a weak race accept for this horse being in the field as he hacked up on his Bumper race just under two weeks ago by 20 lengths. This horse looked to be a Cheltenham bumper horse prospect but the trainer had his sights well and truly getting him over hurdles which he makes his debut today. Chasing will be his game next season but he should have a successful season as a Hurdler. If he jumps well today I can’t see this horse losing to be honest as the others in this field haven’t shown a lot. (NB)

Wild Passion 1.20 Naas – This is a classy sort as he was a good Hurdler last season but hasn’t really set the chasing world alight this season. He has run well but fails to win his races but this drop in class should surely boost his confidence. Has beaten in a two way finish lto in the Durkan Chase when Missed That and this horse where 25 lengths clear of Kill Devil Hill. The step up in trip maybe the doubter on this horse but surely class should see him through and also Barry Gerraghty gets on board for the first time and could get a different tune out of the horse. (NAP)

Alexander Taipan 1.50 Naas – Well it looks between the two for me, this one and Merdeka who won lto beating Firth Of Forth by 3 lengths and that horse as won since. Alexander Taipan ran fourth lto in a very hot Grade 1 race which was quite good but the race before saw him beat Firth Of Forth by 11 lengths off the same weight so that 8 lengths better than Merdeka. Maybe Merdeka has improved since on Firth of Forth has but all the same I would rather take a chance on this horse than Merdeka. (WIN)

Good Luck

wheres me jumpa

i was told about alexander taipan during the weekand alot of people are talking about him. found this on the racing post "one to watch".

Andrew Dietz's selection

Alexander Taipan 1.50 Naas, Sunday

One To Watch crosses the Irish Sea and heads to Naas on Sunday, and at first glance of the card, it can be presumed all eyes will be on the star attraction Wild Passion, generally a 16-1 chance for the Arkle.
Trainer Noel Meade has earmarked the race as jumping practice rather than schooling the horse at home ahead of another big-race assignment.
Granted the consistent six-year-old takes a significant drop in class, but after a tough race only 13 days ago it’s recommended to avoid piling on at a skinny price.
More value is available in the subsequent Woodlands Park 100 Slaney Novice Hurdle, where Alexander Taipan is a live contender in a quality Grade 2 contest.
The Willie Mullins-trained gelding was slightly disappointing when finishing fourth to Iktitaf when second favourite for a two-mile Grade 1 novice hurdle at Fairyhouse last time out.
Alexander Taipan hit the front on the turn to home, before getting caught up in a duel with odds-on favourite O'Muircheartaigh and clattering the second last, which all but sealed his fate.
The drop in class and step back up to two miles and four furlongs, which will place less emphasis on speed, could be the deciding factors in Alexander Taipan returning to winning ways. He won at this trip at Punchestown in November, when seemingly appreciating the extra distance.
The selection is still relatively inexperienced and David Casey will need to draw on all his tactical ability in the saddle to nurture him home.
The most notable threat is the Tom Taaffe-trained Merdeka, who put in a sterling display last time out, but with the consistency Mullins has installed in Alexander Taipan, he looks a reliable bet.

collette38dd

fade2black wrote:

This boy really does get around....

Welcome aboard Vindon.

There goes the neighbourhood...... !!

hi Vindon

collette

vindon

Hi there collette

Grey Brother 1.50 Taunton - This was off the track for sometime before he was pulled up lto at Exeter when jumping the bigger obstacles for the first time. The horse was well punted on his return when he went off at 6/1, it wasn’t clear how well he was going as he was pulled up early as there was a pile up and this horse was in the middle of it causing it to lose his rhythm. This horse was aimed to be a chaser and was reported to have schooled well when last seen in April 2004. There are some horses in this field with ability but if this horse is in good heart it could have more class than the rest here. P Hobbs has a 23% sr around here in the last 5 years and R Johnson has a good 25% sr as well around here. (WIN)

Tarlac 2.20 Taunton – The two main horses in this field, this one and Opera Mundi both come from over seas but this one easily has the best form with a good effort in a Grade 1 and a win in a Grade 3 race. This has now been bought by J P McManus who’s paid Nicky Henderson to train it which is quite a rarity as he doesn’t have many horses with that stable. A P McCoy rides and has an excellent sr when riding Henderson’s hurdlers which is 62%. Ground should be perfect and if it jumps which it should I think it will win. (NAP)

Sandmartin 2.50 Taunton – This was Hobbs’s second string by the look of things but looked a revitalised horse with first time blinkers on and went on to win by 10 lengths very comfortably. Comes out here with a 7lbs penalty and I think he can be as hard to beat again as last time with R Johnson on board this time. Ground and distance will suit and there are a lot of horses in this field that are going to have trouble with there weight but this one looks the best treated. (NB)

Wildfield Rufo 1.10 Newcastle – Ran well lto in a Cross Country race at Cheltenham when finishing 7th which was very good as he was ahead of Spotthedifference, Commanche War Paint and Lord Jack. The drop in class will help and seems to run his best races over the longer trip as he stays all day. T Dreaper gets on board who takes off 5lbs which helps as he is on a high mark but I think this horse has the stamina to last home in front of these here or at least run into a place. (EWAY)

Big-and-Bold 2.40 Newcastle – Well not many off these sorts of horses stay in training after roughly 4 years away from the course. This horse was quite a classy Chaser in Ireland before getting injured but has now being trained by the in form Nicky Richards yard. He beat a 139 rated Chaser at Ayr lto and on a mark of 107 over hurdles he could be on a dangerous mark if on song here. Ground and distance won’t be an issue here so if he is well in himself he can take this race with the minimum amount off fuss but that will be the biggest question mark. (WIN)

Good Luck

kc66

What happened Alexander Taipan? Came last

vindon

Phar Out Phavourite 2.00 Leicester – Two short priced horses in this field with this one being one and the James Fanshawe trained Pole Star who is forecasted the 10/11 Favourite. The difference between the two is that this horse has had the benefit of a run over the bigger obstacles as Pole Star is having is first run chasing. No Doubt that Pole Star is a classy sort but there was a lot to like about Phar Out Phavourites debut chasing as he was third behind a promising type (Cornish Sett) and Green Tango who was just in front of this horse that day went on to win very nicely beating Don’t Be Shy. Two others behind in that race have also won next time out so this excellent form must count for a lot here. Pole Star has never won a race on his seasonal return so it’s difficult to see why he can change that now. Miss E Lavelle has a 25% sr around here and so to N Fehily has a 25% sr with the trainer. (Treble)

Westmeath Flyer 3.30 Leicester – This horse has now been dropped into a claimer now to just get its winning knack back. He was pulled up lto and fell the time before but before that he went on a winning streak with him winning three in a row so his winning capabilities are not to be a worry. Distance is also no worry as he has won from 18f to 25f so this 21f looks no worry. This is the first time N Richards has sent one to Leicester and it must give confidence as he is the longest traveller as well. A Dobbin rides here quite rarely but rides well when he’s here as he has a 50% sr around here and interestingly he only has this one ride today. So with the stable in flying form and the jockey in top form this looks a solid bet. (NAP)

Ile Maurice 2.40 Sedgefield – It’s hard to see past this one really as she really liked the step up in trip and ran out a good winner in the end. Chasing looks to be her game according to trainer but he said he would run her in one other novice before he does that. This race looks easy enough to win as it has easier opposition in the field. F Murphy has a 15% around her which isn’t to bad and as the horse likes this bad ground it looks another strong bet. (NB)

Bang and Blame 2.10 Sedgefield – Well this horse is stepping up in class but it is hard to ignore as he is a course and distance winner twice. His first win around here saw him win by 14 lengths and then last time winning by 23 lengths. He loves this ground but the big doubt today is whether he can lug the 15lbs rise in the weights which I think he can run well on what he has shown around here. The Favourite looks strong but he is giving these horse 17 lbs including the claim of the jockey who takes off 5lbs and he is 2/2 with the trainer. So at 6/1 it looks a good enough each way bet to me. (EWAY)

I recommend singles and a treble on the first three as I think they look quite solid.

Good Luck

iloveireland

west meath flyer cost me 300 odd euro in a treble. he had no excuses.

vindon

Well the treble didn’t come off like I hoped but one winner (5/6) and an easy 6/1 winner made up for it. Lets hope for better today.

Justified 1.20 Newbury – This horse instantly strikes you when you look at this field as it is a promising Irish raider. This horse is an Arkle hopeful this year and has not done a lot wrong since turning to chasing apart from his early fall lto at Leopardstown. His other two wins over fences saw him hack up by 9 lengths and 14 lengths both easy wins as well. The trainer is yet to have a winner in England but this is the promising chaser of the year and I’m sure that duck can be broken. Celtic Son looks to have lost his way at the moment so that’s one to swerve also same goes to Cornish Sett as he did not run well lto, the only horse that could threat is Hors la Loi Iii who jumped well lto but maybe he’ll find this horse to good for him I think. (NB)

Admiral Peary 2.25 Newbury – This horse has made a promising start to his chasing career with a third and a second. His second saw him come up against one to good in He’s the Guv’Nor but those two were well clear of the rest. He jumps well and stays well so has a lot of promise as a chaser this season. A P McCoy has been booked to do the job today who has won twice in the past on this horse and has a excellent ratio of 8 wins from 16 runs with this trainers jumpers giving a 50% sr. Also the trainer has a 40% sr around here with his chasers so stats are well in this horses favour. The second favourite (Magic Of Sydney) has obvious claims on his last run but the trainer is in bad form and the trainer is 0/41 around here. Dropped 2lbs since last run as well and I’m sure today he will get off the mark. (WIN)

Escompteur 3.00 Newbury – A lot may think this horse has lost it’s will to win with how well he runs but just doesn’t win but the races he has been running in have been very competitive. His last race in a lot better race than this at Cheltenham saw him 4lbs out of the Handicap but still ran very well in 6th not far behind Made in Japan. His race before that saw him running over course & distance where he finished second behind promising Nicholls chaser ‘Taranis’ but three in behind that day have came out and won quite well. Back down to 115 today in a weaker race so surely he will put in a good run on this ground. (Win)

Glad Big 1.10 Lingfield - Well was very unlucky when he was forced to run very wide due to other runners and lost many lengths but stayed on very well to show that he has ability. This Maiden don’t look very competitive at all and I would think this horse can take it with a minimum amount of fuss. The Trainer had a 25% sr with his 4yo plus horses around here and he is the best jockey in form at the moment in the race. R Winston gets on board who has a 23% sr with the trainer and if he does hang I’m sure Winston will get the horse to oblige by his rules. (NAP)

Good Luck

vindon

Sorry I’m late posting

Qualitier Latin 12.50 Catterick – This was a decent horse on the flat back in Germany running well in Group races. Made his hurdling debut in the UK 43 days ago when he ran very well in second and shaped as if the experience would have bought him on a lot. This looks an easier race than his last run at Plumpton and has J Moore on today who is an able jockey. The biggest danger looks to be the Graham Wylie horse ‘Balyan’ but going on flat form and experience this holds the upper hand. The trainer ‘Von Der Recke’ has a 100% sr at this course as he has only sent one and won with it which shows signs of confidence. (WIN)

Sunday City 2.50 Catterick – This looks a weak enough race really but this horse is finding racing enjoyable lately as he has failed to run badly in his last few starts. Was only just pipped at the most lto which was a very good run with a little form coming out of the race as Euro American who was 26 lengths back in the field went on to win very easily next time out. Has been raised an extra 4lbs for that effort which looks a bit harsh but never the less this looks his easiest race for a good while and if he runs anything like last time surely he will be hard to beat. Also quite interestingly this is P Bowens first runner at Catterick which is understandable because it is quite a distance 258 miles from his stables. (WIN)

Avalon 1.30 Ludlow – Well I think I tipped this one up when it was last jotted down to run but I think the meeting was abandoned. This was quite a good yard stick for Aiden O’Brien last season beating some good horses and could have been a good horse on the flat next season but has been switched to jumping. This cost 1,000,000 gns as a yearling and if this horse can jump he will be a force this season over hurdles. If this horse doesn’t run up to expectations he will have a shock as A P McCoy gets on board and it will be a little different to K Fallon, McCoy has a 25% sr around here. Big run expected and I think Cheltenham will be in his sights after this run. (NAP)

Armariver 4.00 Ludlow – Well he was first past the post in a decent Hurdle race at Cheltenham at the start of the month and was quite unlucky to get his placing reversed into second. That race was a step up in form going on his last runs as he beat decent horses such as well thought of horse ‘The Mick Weston’. Still on the same mark as his last run and if this horse can run like lto then he should win this race well. P Nicholls horses are running superbly lately and he has a 22% sr around here and has also booked L Heard the decent 7lbs claimer to help matters. (NB)

Good Luck

Bluetonic

vindon wrote:

Avalon 1.30 Ludlow

Just drifted from 6/5 at 1pm to 9/2 (now - just off)

vindon

Craven 2.00 Huntington – There are two good horses in here that are sure to be placed one and two which is this horse and the Jonjo O’Neill trained ‘Fier Normands’. These two both won lto but this horse was only making his debut and Fier Nomands already had the benefit of a run but anyway this horse looked booked for second place coming to the last fence but all of a sudden this horse put its head down and charged to get up close home. This is a good sort who will go places the horse he beat lto went on to win very easily next time out. So on form and the one to improve I think it will be safer putting your money on this horse. (NB)

Wages 2.30 Huntington – Ever since joining Evan Williams’s yard this horse has found some good form in 5 starts this horse has fell twice, second twice and won lto. He won very well by 13 lengths lto and surely now he has won he can carry it on. The way he won lto suggests this penalty will not hassle him and the 5lbs claimer who gave him a peach of a ride lto is back on board. Evan Williams has a 44% sr around here which is excellent and with this weak opposition surely can get a quick double. (WIN)

Acropolis 1.10 Kelso – Well this clearly sands out as it is another from the Aiden O’Brien camp and wasn’t to bad as he ran fourth in the 2004 Prix De L’arc beating some excellent horse but did not impress last season even though he was in classy races. Is now been bought into the Graham Wylie camp to jump hurdles and as I said yesterday with Avalon if he jumps well he wins but I was proven wrong yesterday, but when you see these horses out you cannot oppose them as they could jump well and hack up. So overall I think class can get him through this race as it looks a weak race and not a lot of competition only two or three. (WIN)

Some Touch 2.10 Kelso – There’s been cracking form come out of the Aintree bumper last season when the Cool Guy won and theres a lot for this horse to live up to as he was in second place. Horses like Refinement, Noland and Rimsky have all come out the race by winning impressively in good races so there’s no reason why this horse can go up in class soon. Won well lto on ground which was far from ideal but still shown class, so this softer ground should show even better and we’ll get an idea of how good this horse really is. Overall I expect this one to win as main rival Money Trix is only making his debut and may need the experience. (NAP)

Chef De Cour 3.10 Kelso – This is a horse that runs really well and has won some fine races in the last two years. Stepped up in class on his last two starts and his last run was by far the best as he was second behind good yard stick Town Crier but he was well clear of the others. This looks plenty easier and there’s doubts about a few of the principals, Nerone is 0/9 jumping which isn’t breath taking, Merryvale Man only won a very weak race lto and nothing to shout about and Rising Generation will find things tough as top weight. So this horse on the same mark as last time and A Dobbin getting on board should be hard to beat. (WIN)

Good Luck

wb

fade2black wrote:

This boy really does get around....

Welcome aboard Vindon.

Ahem....

Speak for yourself fade!


Welcome vindon

wb

collette38dd wrote:

There goes the neighbourhood...... !!

hi Vindon

collette

Hi collette, I see that you get around too!!!!!

vindon

Only Ireland today but looks some good racing at that and the first two races should kick us off to a great start.

Back to Bid 12.50 Leopardstown – This horse didn’t impress on his first start over hurdles as he jumped to high which really doesn’t sound bad but when you spend to much time in the air it takes up a lot of ground. After his debut he went back down to bumpers but this one was a Grade 2 and he won nicely in the end. He has since went back Hurdling and he won very well and showed that this extra couple of furlongs will help. He seems the sort that will improve and looks a good horse. There doesn’t seem that much competition that could bother him in this race only Majlis who has good bits of form but still this horse is the one open to the most improvement. Noel Meade had a 38% sr around here with his hurdlers in 2005 so overall I expect this one to get us off to a good start. (NAP)

Nickname 1.20 Leopardstown – There are quite a few horse that are talented in this field but the way this horse won lto was very very impressive as Connor O’Dwyer didn’t move a muscle on this horse when he made his debut over fences. This horse won quite a few top races in France before coming to this stable and now looks to win some top races in the UK. C O’Dwyer’s usual trainer he rides for is A L T Moore who has the second favourite ‘The Railway Man’ in this race but the jockey has opted to ride Nickname so that tells me that this horse has the better chance. The horse needs soft ground which he has today and I won’t be surprised to see this horse hack up in the same way as he did lto. (NB)

Black Apalachi 1.50 Leopardstown – Well every horse in this race have all ran in the same race lto apart from one and this horse was the winner. He won by 1 length in a good race but today he has a 9lbs penalty which makes life tougher but I really think this horse has more ability and can improve. The Irish Grand National is in his sights and with his trainer thinking that high he must have ability so even with the penalty he can confirm superiority again or at least get a place at good odds. (EWAY)

Kadoun 3.30 Leopardstown – This is a big field and hard to find a winner but still I think you could get your moneys worth out of this horse with Tony McCoy on board. The favourite of this race is also owned by McManus and had McCoy riding lto when he won but today McCoy rides this horse today which is a surprise as a lot would have opted to ride the favourite but this horse has good bits of form and can surprise in this race. (EWAY)

Good Luck

vindon

Finzi 2.00 Plumpton – Has only won once from 16 starts but he is a model of consistency as he has been placed 9 times so really only has been out of the frame 6 times. There are doubts about many in this field as the distance could be a task but this one ran in a three mile 5 furlong race lto and may have been a bit to much of an ask. This looks his easiest race for a while as there are doubts about quite a few in the field. Dropped three pound since his last effort which will help and has an able 7lbs claimer on board ‘J Kington’ to help matters. He runs well in these testing conditions with his only win being on this ground plus most of his placed efforts are on this type of ground. The trainer has a nice 26% sr around here which is impressive and I’m sure he can gain his second win of his career. (NB)

Butlers Cabin 2.30 Plumpton – A few in this field are making there debut over obstacles including tissue favourite Best Actor, but this one has had his experience over Hurdles with his decent third behind Shaka’s Pearl. The fourth positioned horse 2 lengths behind this horse went on to win next time out in good style, so form is working out well. I’m sure this is a horse that can improve and with his run over and done with he will be sharper and the extra distance can help. Tony McCoy gets on board for the second time and maybe after losing the big award at the Lesters the other night after nearly 10 years of holding the title he could book his ideas up and start banging in some winners starting with this one. (WIN)

Brankley Boy 4.00 Plumpton – Come Bye for starters only seems to run his best races at Fontwell and is on a career high mark of 115 and that will be tough to over come in this race. Brankley Boy on the other hand has plenty of potential and can take this race with the minimum amount of fuss. He has been placed on his last three starts but all have shown form, his third shown 7 horses come out of the race and win, his first second throw 5 winners out of the race and his most recent start when a short head second has proved that the fourth horse in the race went on to win at 20/1 next time out. So form of his races is solid and with him having his seasonal debut and dropping in distance everything looks set for this horse to win for the in form stable. (NAP)

Dan’s Heir 12.50 Fakenham – Won his hurdling debut in grand style at Market Rasen with three horses out of the field winning since, but his recent second was arguably better as he was second behind the very promising Graham Wylie horse ‘Ortolan Bleu’. He was 10 lengths clear of third place that day which makes it look a very good run. P Haslam is in good form with his hurdlers with promising ‘Alfred the Great’ winning well the other day but he has booked the promising 5lbs claimer P Merrigan who has a 46% sr with the trainers hurdlers. This looks a good race for him to get back to winning ways as there don’t look to much competition. (WIN)

Finely Tuned 1.50 Fakenham – Well this is a novice Hurdle with a few horses obviously learning the ropes but this horse has had five starts over hurdles and knows what he is doing around a race track. He has ran in a Grade 2 novice when he ran quite well in third in a four runner race, but his last race was quite good when he was making his seasonal return and looked the winner from some way out but then faded as if he needed the run. C Llewellyn gets on board today to make matter easier for the horse and now he’s much sharper surely he will make his presence felt. (WIN)

Good Luck

D'arkness

No offence vindon but I'm on the OBG forum too and your track record isn't the best.
The only horses you seem to come out on top with are favourites.

That said I made a tidy penny yesterday on Studmaster as a mate knows one of the wardens personally.


I will on the other hand have the inside track from cheltenham week in March.
And it won't be pin the tail on the donkey tips either.

scojones

D'arkness wrote:

No offence vindon but I'm on the OBG forum too and your track record isn't the best.
The only horses you seem to come out on top with are favourites.

I'm also a member of the OLBG forum and have been for quite some time now, and I think you're way out of line with that comment. Vindon, while only being here a week or two, has contributed far more to this forum than you have. Vindon's selections have very good detailed analysis, and most of the time his selections cannot be flawed based on his analysis.

You've only posted 5 times, so I'm guessing that you are not familiar with how things are on this forum. Please, don't slate other members on here, it is not accepted. Lets see you try to post detailed analysis everyday like vindon does, and see how you get on, shall we?

That said I made a tidy penny yesterday on Studmaster as a mate knows one of the wardens personally.

So what you're saying is that it had nothing to do with studying the racecard, like how vindon makes his selections?

I will on the other hand have the inside track from cheltenham week in March.
And it won't be pin the tail on the donkey tips either.

And neither will this?

D'arkness

sjones wrote:

I'm also a member of the OLBG forum and have been for quite some time now, and I think you're way out of line with that comment. Vindon, while only being here a week or two, has contributed far more to this forum than you have. Vindon's selections have very good detailed analysis, and most of the time his selections cannot be flawed based on his analysis.

You've only posted 5 times, so I'm guessing that you are not familiar with how things are on this forum. Please, don't slate other members on here, it is not accepted. Lets see you try to post detailed analysis everyday like vindon does, and see how you get on, shall we?



So what you're saying is that it had nothing to do with studying the racecard, like how vindon makes his selections?



And neither will this?

What would you consider the order of importance when reading a race card ?

masterK

Agreed with sjones, totally out of order to join a forum and immediately launch an unprovoked attack on another member of the forum. If you don't want to read Vindon's opinions don't bother opening his threads.

I suspect a bit of a troll.

vindon

Firstly thanks Master and Sjones but it don't matter with members like him as like you say he A. don't have to read this thread and B. he has only got a few posts to his name that only seem to be comments anyway. I only listen to criticism of people who put tips up them selves with an analysis or other members who know me well.


Mon Mome 2.40 Fontwell – He is going the right way now as a chaser after he fell on his debut he has finished second twice and won twice. Both of his wins have been at three mile and over which he has three mile two furlong today. Won very easily lto at Plumpton in front of Infrasonique winning by 6 lengths, he seems to like the testing conditions which today may be a bit challenging. He Is giving weight to the rest of the field but he is far better on official ratings and I think he will have enough class to take this with the minimum amount of hassle again. (NB)

Sword Lady 3.10 Fontwell – She isn’t a bad little Hurdler who finds front running quite enjoyable but likes to stay as three mile and over look her best trips. She came back and ran in a 2 mile hurdle at Sandown 10 days ago but sadly came last but really it was a good effort as she was only 7 lengths off from the winner Refinement so a tightly bunched field in the end for a 6 runner race. This race is much weaker, has got an extra two furlongs and has 4lbs lower mark which is a benefit. Mr D Edwards takes the ride on the top weight but he is very talented as he has won her before last season he also helps loads as he is a 7lbs claimer so looking at the weights he is on a winning mark. The favourite Hi Laurie is on a career high and will find things tougher as this horse will upset her for the lead. A place looks good at least in this race with a lot of things in her favour. (EWAY)

Transcloudid 3.40 Fontwell – For starters East Lawyer is a very moody horse and isn’t in good form and looks a nice lay to me and second favourite Macmar is no world beater either. But this horse holds ability as he has won his fair share of races (10) and has won in classier races than this in the past. He was last seen in the UK when he was pulled up in a very competitive Handicap. This German trainer is sending his first few horses to Fontwell today and has the best chance with this horse. M Fitzgerald rides and it’s usually the best time to catch this horse when fresh. (WIN)

Dear Villez 1.00 Folkestone – These horses are not to be underestimated when they come from the Nicholls stable as quite a few horses that have been imported from France have turned into solid Cheltenham contenders. Most of them win first time out and when they do win most of the time they hardly come off the bridle. Ruby Walsh is here today at Folkestone which boosts this horses chances sky high as he is a big factor riding Nicholls horses lately. P Nicholls has a 31% sr around here and Ruby has a 30% sr so both those stats strike you. I think this can be another French import winner for the yard and if the ground gets softer the money should flow more for this horse. (NAP)

Presenting Express 3.30 Folkestone – Since turned to chasing this horse looks a different horse as he has won both starts over the big obstacles. His most recent win was by far the better as he won readily, form of that race has been boosted well as Boardroom Dancer who was 24 lengths behind went on to win a similar race very easily also Ebony Jack who pulled up went on to run second yesterday. Has been raised 13lbs now which is a big hike but with the rivals he’s up against here he still looks open to improvement. (WIN)

Good Luck

vindon

Well a bit disheartened now Tamworth only just got beaten in sudden death penalties and the racing isn’t much exciting to make me happier so small bet are advised.

One More Time 12.50 Newcastle – This is a very weak race here but there could be more to come from this horse here as he ran pretty well lto here over course & distance when second to Gardasee but he was well out classed. He runs his best races in these testing conditions as he has good form in France on this ground. This looks a much easier race here and I’m sure he can get is first win for the Wylie, Johnston & Lee team. (NB)

Maunby Rocker 2.50 Newcastle – Again another poor race but you have to watch out when Pat Haslam and P Merrigan team up as they have an excellent sr together, 50% when riding hurdlers. Merrigan has ridden this horse twice and came second and first on it which is very good. P Haslam has a decent strike rate around here as it is 33% so a lot in the horses favour on stats. He won a good seller’s race in early November and a run like that can get him a win here surely. (NAP)

Kallistas Pride 1.40 Lingfield – Well this isn’t a bad horse on its day and is well up for winning a race like this. She runs her best races here at Lingfield and has won 5 of her 6 wins over this 6f trip. Hayley Turner gets on really well with the horse as form line shows, 1, 2, 2, 2, 2, with Hayley on board so everything set for a big run today at a good price so maybe an each way bet for safety. (EWAY)

Good Luck

Corben Dallas

Kallistas Pride 140 Lingfield
Nice tip, was on what a brillaint ride from Hayley! <major talent. She could'nt have timed her run any better and burst thru the pack to claim it, looked as she had left it too late, but the horse had the speed when it counted.
Cheers Vindon.

Good horse but if they give a weight penalty it might struggle next race.

vindon

Looks some good racing today and hopefully a profit to be made.

Roschal 2.50 Ludlow – This is a talented horse that is very frustrating but seems to put is best run on this tracks as form shows, 1, 1, 2. Both wins have been at this distance so really he’s 100% over course and distance which is a positive. An average fourth lto on a mark of 105 at Wincanton but has dropped 2lbs for that effort and is now on a winning mark of 103. Ground will be no hassle here and P Hobbs has a 24% sr around here so all set for a run back to old form and surely he can win this race as there are vulnerabilities over most in the field. (WIN)

Massif Centrale 1.30 Taunton – Didn’t really impress astonishingly on the flat but was a classy sort as he ran in the 2004 Epsom Derby and finished 10th of 13 which wasn’t that bad considering it was a classic race. It is a massive horse which fits in with his name and many have thought that he could achieve over obstacles but it was said earlier in his career that he would never go over hurdles but I think the temptation was to much for D Elsworth. So this average Novice Hurdle over 17 furlongs looks a nice introduction for the horse. Obviously you cannot be to overly confident as not a lot of these horses have grinded out the results for me (Avalon & Acropolis) but this one could be different as it has always looked a jumper. R Walford has a 28% sr with D Elsworth’s jumpers so good stats to match for the horses chances. (WIN)

Au Countrant 2.30 Taunton – Looks between the two principals in the market here this one and Hot ’N’ Holy whom are both making there hurdling debut. Hot ‘N’ Holy had to have a second go of winning his bumper but Au Countrant showed more heart and determination to win his bumper first time out. There don’t look a lot between them it’s just whether they can be as effective jumping and this horse is the better price (4/1). N Henderson’s Novice Hurdlers are going particularly well in the last two weeks, 4, 2, 3, 2, 2, 1, 5, 2, 1, 1. so with figures like that surely you cannot appose this horse over the favourite as it has the same sort of form but stats show up in the horses favour as well. (WIN)

Nippy Des Mottes 3.00 Taunton – Got back to winning form lto here over course and distance when winning by a short head but was well clear of the rest. It was Liam Heards first ride on board of this horse and did it well but would have learnt how to ride the horse a little better now as he seemed to go to the front to early and only just held on. Has had a 9lbs rise in the weights but still I think it holds ability and can shrug off the extra weight against these rivals. P Nicholls has a 25% sr around this course which is good and the main rival looks to be Sasso but going on his last run he just seems unhappy and I don’t see how you could back that with a degree of confidence. (NB)

Hi Cloy 2.05 Thurles Maybe a bit reluctant to win lto at leopardstown in the Paddy Power Grade 1 Chase as Central house’s jockey stopped riding quite a bit away from the line but he would have definitely finished second ahead of Fota Island and the classy Moscow Flyer. You wouldn’t have given him much of a chance turning for home but he stayed on gamely to get up there. 2 mile 4 furlongs I his best trip which he has today but form shows his chances over this trip, 1, 4, 5, 2, 6, 1, 1, 2, 1, and one of them wins was against Gold Cup hero Kicking King. Previous form shows he has the beating of Native Upmanship and Strong Project. Also form lines of the race says he has the beating of Mossy Green and Newmill so if he does run up to form he should surely win the lower Grade race (Grade 2). (NAP)

Augherskea 2.35 Thurles – This is Paul Carberrys first ride back and is his only ride of the day and he has an excellent chance of making a winning return. This horse has ran soundly in Grade 1 and 2 events last season which is more to say about the others in the race although they have good form in moderate races. He won his first race of the season last season so can run well fresh and maybe this season he can improve. (WIN)

Good Luck

cmcquaid

vindon wrote:

Hi Cloy 2.05 Thurles Maybe a bit reluctant to win lto at leopardstown in the Paddy Power Grade 1 Chase as Central house’s jockey stopped riding quite a bit away from the line but he would have definitely finished second ahead of Fota Island and the classy Moscow Flyer. You wouldn’t have given him much of a chance turning for home but he stayed on gamely to get up there. 2 mile 4 furlongs I his best trip which he has today but form shows his chances over this trip, 1, 4, 5, 2, 6, 1, 1, 2, 1, and one of them wins was against Gold Cup hero Kicking King. Previous form shows he has the beating of Native Upmanship and Strong Project. Also form lines of the race says he has the beating of Mossy Green and Newmill so if he does run up to form he should surely win the lower Grade race (Grade 2). (NAP)

thats reassuring to see that you go for hi cloy as well i cant see him being beat if hes on form. i lumped on him so heres hoping

vindon

sorry mate ran a stinker i thought it would be alot closer

hope you didn't lose to much

Vindon;)

vindon

Sorry I’m late posting my computer was playing silly buggers last night.

Alformasi 1.00 Chepstow – Has not impressed to much on her two starts we have seen but I think we will see a little different today as now she steps up to three miles. Breeding suggests that she can stay all day as she’s a Half-brother to winning hurdler/fair chaser Navarone (stays 3m1f); half-sister to dual Scottish National winner Androma and smart staying chaser Bigsun. So with a moderate run lto which actually wasn’t to bad behind stable mate Be Be King, but the distance will be the factor today. P Nicholls has a 24% sr around here and Ruby Walsh rides which he also has a good strike rate of 30%. (WIN)

Bob Bob Bobbin 2.35 Chepstow – Has got a bit of class in him which is more you can say about the others in the field as he ran a decent fourth in a Grade 1 event here in late December, but that race was a hurdle race and today is a Chase. He has had experience over the bigger obstacles but hasn’t shown to much but probably a bit too competitive as his last run was third behind decent chaser Lough Derg. This weaker race should easily get him off the mark and it would be very disappointing for connections if he loses today. (WIN)

Methodical 4.15 Chepstow – This horse could be a good thing today as she’s 17lbs ahead of the Handicapper as she won so very well lto by 12 lengths. Even though it was a selling race she shown that she is far better than her bare form and went and hacked up she goes up the weights from tomorrow and if she was 17lbs higher today in this race I would have to think again, but never the less the horse is on the same weight and is in good heart so why go against it. The thing that is stopping me from napping this horse is that the ground may be a bit to soft but it’s worth taking the risk in my opinion as she has run on it in the past. (NB)

Camden Bella 12.50 Musselburgh – Ran really well on her second attack at hurdles when winning by 2 lengths at a nice price but I went against it that day as I didn’t think the ground would be to her likings. She has better ground today and surely she can be even better in this very weak race. I’m sure this horse can win it with out really making A Dobbin do a lot really but this looks a great bet for today. (NAP)

Comical Errors 1.20 Musselburgh – It’s another combination of Pat Haslam and P Merrigan which I like to look out for as they have a 47% sr together with the hurdlers. Today this horse comes up against a horse that he raced against lto at Catterick whom is Golden Feather who was over 15 lengths behind Comical Errors but today the Weights are reversed a lot in Golden Feathers favour. Even with the weights in the odds on favourites favour I will still take a chance with this horse as he was an excellent course and distance winner the time before as he didn’t even come off the bridle. The ground that day was identical to todays and I think he will handle conditions far better than the Favourite; P Haslam also has a 50% sr at the course. (WIN)

Lanaken 3.35 Musselburgh – Well this Irish raider has won over course and distance on his first start in England but has since been pulled up at Ayr. The reason I think he Pulled up was that the ground was not in his favour at all as he relishes Good to Firm as both of his career wins have been on that ground and he has that again today. His last win has thrown up some good form as the next three in second, third & fourth have all won next time out but meets two of them again today. Clouding over has won twice since and is better of at the weights with Lanaken and the same goes for Word Gets Around but I feel if he jumps better than he did last time and gets to the front again he will have them all in trouble again. Good stats for this horse as well as the trainer (S Donohoe) has a 66% sr around here but a 3/3 (100%) with his hurdlers and chasers. When A McNamara who takes off 3lbs rides for the trainer in England he has a 62% sr (5/8), but the biggest stat is the jockeys strike rate at the course as he has had 4 rides and 4 winners around here (100%). (WIN)

Good Luck

finnpark

Im not sure whats the pt of this thread but just wondering is anyone backing these selections?

Best of Luck, and Im actually laying some of the above selections today:eek:

p.pete

finnpark wrote:

Im not sure whats the pt of this thread but just wondering is anyone backing these selections?

I'm not backing too many horses at the moment, giving my betfair account a break. It's a very interesting thread though, brilliant to see the thought behind the selections and in such great detail.

djkeogh

i follow this religiously, back a good few of them each post too. Doing nicely from it. Keep up the good work Vindon.

fade2black

It might surprise ya to know that vindon is only a young lad but he has a very sensible and mature approach to the game. He's had some very nice winners in the past.

vindon

Earth Magic 1.45 Fairyhouse – There isn’t many bad horses in the James Bowe yard now a days and this could be another class horse in the Future. He won a decent bumper back in March and has since ran well in second in a 30 runner race at Navan for his hurdling debut. That race was a two mile Novice but today is a three mile Novice which is a massive mile longer. The trainer obviously thinks it is a stayer and you can see how it shaped like one last time out as it stayed on to get his second pitch. The odds on Favourite may be a tough cookie to crack but with this horse receiving 5lbs plus the 7lbs the jockey claims it could be worth a bet on this horse at a lot better odds. Stats also show up in this horses favour with the trainer having a 61% sr at this course and had a 100% sr last year at the course. Ground will be no hassle here and you may see a decent horse on display today. (WIN)

Fota Island 2.15 Fairyhouse – Well this is one of the horses that was reluctant to get a good place in the Paddy Power Chase at Leopardstown when the jockey of Central house finished riding yards before the line which allowed Fota Island and Hi Cloy to take over. It is debateable wether Central House would have won but looking at the race I think he would have won by a small margin with this horse back in third. That day they were both on the same weight but today Central House gives away 5lbs and I think that will be enough to get the better of Central House today. Both will be aiming for the Queen Mother in March and I wouldn’t like to call it but I do think with the weight difference today Fota Island will come out on top. (WIN)

Our Ben 2.45 Fairyhouse – Ran very well lto for his chasing debut but came up against Nickname who looks a class act this season and has since won very easily again. Our Ben was chasing Nickname home but was never going to get ther but he was actually 8 lengths clear of the rest. He was a classy horse over hurdles and ran well at Cheltenham in the Royal & SunAlliance Hurdle when third behind No Refuge and Racing Demon. W Mullin said he has already booked Ruby Walsh for the equivalent race over the bigger obstacles. It’s best to stay on the right side of Ruby lately as he’s on fire with his winners yesterday. There don’t look any horses like Nickname and he can take this race with the minimum amount of fuss here. (NAP)

Lakil Princess 1.25 Cork – This horse is taking a step up in class today but is in excellent form with her two easy wins last time out. Her first win was when he hacked up by 20 lengths then had a 13lbs hike in the weights but still managed to take her next race easy enough as well. She is a good front runner and loves these testing conditions so I would expect her to get to the front early and never look back as there is not anything in this field that front runs apart from this horse. She still manages to come into this race as bottom weight as she has weight allowances for being a mare and has a decent 3lbs claimer on board. (NB)

Good Luck

vindon

Gardasee 1.30 Wetherby – Looks between the two market principals here but this one could hold a bit more ammunition than Dan’s Heir as he has won two good hurdle races by wide margins but has since run in a very competitive Grade 1 event at Chepstow but did not run to badly as all. A step back down in grade and has more in his favour than Dan’s Heir such as Ground because Gardasee has won on this Heavy going and Distance as Dan’s Heir has won both of his races over further. When T Tate books J Maguire on his hurdlers they have a very good 38% sr together. My overall prediction is that I think Gardasee will go to the front early and take the race from there as he will relish the ground with an uncontested lead. (NB)

Farne Isle 3.05 Wetherby – Well straight away I would oppose the favourite Culcabock as the 15lbs hike in the weights in this ground will be way to much to handle and Is the lay of the day for me. But this horse on the other hand runs his best races on heavy as he won his first ever Bumper in Heavy going then had a very competitive 20 runner race at Newcastle where he ran fourth and his latest run on Heavy was his last win at Perth, so ground is very much in its favour today. Ran well at the start of the month when coming back over hurdles and ended up fourth behind Motive which was encouraging and will come on for the run. (WIN)

Ile Maurice 4.10 Wetherby – This hat-trick seeking mare comes herewith a double penalty but solid claims as she is up against poor rivals but the main being Dickler Rose whom does not seem to like winning at all with three seconds from four starts over hurdles. This horse on the other hand has had two easy wins and loves these testing conditions and if the weight is a worry to some the 7lbs claimer gets back on board who won on her at Newcastle very easily. (Win)

Cinema 2.10 Ayr – This Irish raider isn’t one for the winning enclosures as he is yet to win after 11 starts over Hurdles but shaped with some promise lto at this course when looming up looking dangerous but then faded as if he didn’t get the trip. So today the trainer has bought it back to the course but has put it over the Minimum trip which will help a lot. With the horse also being an Ex-French horse he’s sure to like this Heavy going. Same 5lbs claimer on board and the big danger in this race is Akarem who has good form but Cinema has the Ability to take this but an each way bet looks the safer option. (EWAY)

Turpin Green 2.45 Ayr – This is a classy sort and is sure to be a strong player at Cheltenham bar accidents. He was an 130 rated hurdler back in his day and is now setting his sights on the bigger obstacles. He has shown class already with a good win against a good horse at Carlisle late November but failed to show even more in what looked to be an easier race at Kelso but there was excuses as the trainer said he made the biggest ball’s up in his career because he ran the horse to soon and also added the horse is still a class act. This ground is very much in his favour and distance is also no problem. N Richards has a 35% sr at this course with his chasers and has a 30% sr with A Dobbin on board, also A Dobbin has a tasty 37% sr at this course on his own. (NAP)

Good Luck

finnpark

vindon wrote:

Gardasee 1.30 Wetherby – Looks between the two market principals here but this one could hold a bit more ammunition than Dan’s Heir as he has won two good hurdle races by wide margins but has since run in a very competitive Grade 1 event at Chepstow but did not run to badly as all. A step back down in grade and has more in his favour than Dan’s Heir such as Ground because Gardasee has won on this Heavy going and Distance as Dan’s Heir has won both of his races over further. When T Tate books J Maguire on his hurdlers they have a very good 38% sr together. My overall prediction is that I think Gardasee will go to the front early and take the race from there as he will relish the ground with an uncontested lead. (NB)

Farne Isle 3.05 Wetherby – Well straight away I would oppose the favourite Culcabock as the 15lbs hike in the weights in this ground will be way to much to handle and Is the lay of the day for me. But this horse on the other hand runs his best races on heavy as he won his first ever Bumper in Heavy going then had a very competitive 20 runner race at Newcastle where he ran fourth and his latest run on Heavy was his last win at Perth, so ground is very much in its favour today. Ran well at the start of the month when coming back over hurdles and ended up fourth behind Motive which was encouraging and will come on for the run. (WIN)

Ile Maurice 4.10 Wetherby – This hat-trick seeking mare comes herewith a double penalty but solid claims as she is up against poor rivals but the main being Dickler Rose whom does not seem to like winning at all with three seconds from four starts over hurdles. This horse on the other hand has had two easy wins and loves these testing conditions and if the weight is a worry to some the 7lbs claimer gets back on board who won on her at Newcastle very easily. (Win)

Cinema 2.10 Ayr – This Irish raider isn’t one for the winning enclosures as he is yet to win after 11 starts over Hurdles but shaped with some promise lto at this course when looming up looking dangerous but then faded as if he didn’t get the trip. So today the trainer has bought it back to the course but has put it over the Minimum trip which will help a lot. With the horse also being an Ex-French horse he’s sure to like this Heavy going. Same 5lbs claimer on board and the big danger in this race is Akarem who has good form but Cinema has the Ability to take this but an each way bet looks the safer option. (EWAY)

Turpin Green 2.45 Ayr – This is a classy sort and is sure to be a strong player at Cheltenham bar accidents. He was an 130 rated hurdler back in his day and is now setting his sights on the bigger obstacles. He has shown class already with a good win against a good horse at Carlisle late November but failed to show even more in what looked to be an easier race at Kelso but there was excuses as the trainer said he made the biggest ball’s up in his career because he ran the horse to soon and also added the horse is still a class act. This ground is very much in his favour and distance is also no problem. N Richards has a 35% sr at this course with his chasers and has a 30% sr with A Dobbin on board, also A Dobbin has a tasty 37% sr at this course on his own. (NAP)

Good Luck

Vindon,

Just wondering something.

Your selections seem to be based on form only. Have you ever considered taking hype, betting trends, trainer statements, jockey changes etc into account.

I think that trainer statements and hype in particular can be most helpful If a trainer is allow hype for a horse chances are it will not win etc. You form is spot on but unfortunately only 2 to 3 horses in every race is realistically out to win.

Take Central House yesterday - it lost for the bookies. Should have been in top 2 but was last. Trainers give feeble excuses after the races then. I reckon you should apply a psycological slant to your selections also, RP is a good place to read.

You put in a lot of work to your selections.

vindon

Good question mate and yes i use form mainly, but i do use hype and trainers hints sometimes depending on the horse obviously but i havn't really been posting that long to show you what other methods i use but i;m sure you will do.

Vindon;)

vindon

Julies Boy 2.20 Leicester – A lot of week races this afternoon with this race being no exception. Has really hit his best form of his career this season with all his three wins coming last year. He ran well lto but found the dreaded Towcester hill to much to handle in the end but he does like testing conditions and this distance will be fine for the horse. He’s on a decent mark of 89 which is ok but needs a career best but the trees he is running against in this race I’m sure he can win easily here. (NAP)

Billyvodan 3.50 Leicester – Looks between the two in this race with this one and the improving Reveillez who had his first run chasing lto when second which was good considering the miss hap half way, he will be better for the experience. Although that horse is a strong sort this horse is also a strong horse which looks to hold some class as he won his debut over this distance and then did not run that well next time out as the distance was to much. His latter run was very impressive when fourth behind The Listener at Cheltenham only going down by 3 lengths. That sort of form is plenty good enough to take this race even though he is giving away 10lbs all round. Richard Johnson gets a good tune from the horse as he has rode all three of his career wins and I’m sure this horse can play a big part at the festival what ever race is chosen for him. (WIN)

Gospil song 2.10 Sedgefield – This 14 year old trooper is not getting no younger but still shown lto he enjoys the game as he came second to Polar Gunner at Wetherby. He is dropping down to a seller for the first time in a good while and is going in this race with very strong claims. There is again weak opposition and on paper he should easily win with ground in his favour but there’s that risk of will age catch up with him but I think its worth taking the risk. (WIN)

Canavan 2.40 Sedgefield – Short price favourite but looks a good thing here as AGAIN it is another very weak race and all there is in the field is a second favourite who has to find over 18 lengths with only a 2lbs difference (Barrons Pike). I can’t really see any other in this field that can punish this horse as Ground and distance are well in his favour so I’m sure he can gain his first career win in this race.(NB)

Letita’s Loss 3.10 Sedgefield – Had a good while off before returning last time out in a good sort of race at Ayr when running fourth. She has won twice in her few starts she has had in her career with her first being over course & distance on her second run out. She stays well and now being much sharper from her run out a Ayr and now stepping up a mile I think you will see good improvement. N Richards has a 22% sr around here and has a 29% combination with Tony Dobbin. I’m sure this horse has got plenty of improvement in her and I think you will see that today at a good price of 6/1. (WIN)

Good Luck

vindon

A good day yesterday with three winners including my NAP & NB and a second at 5/1, it was a shame that the old boy Gospel Song couldn’t find his old form but let’s hope for better today. Well It looked bad racing even with Huntington being on but now it looks to have got worse.

Yes Sir 1.30 Catterick – This was a 150 rated hurdler and from what he has shown at the moment over chasing then I think he should go back in my own opinion. Never the less he is a classy sort and was aimed as a decent chaser this year. I think he needs a confidence boost and thins looks the race that could change things for him as there are horses in this race that have ability but I don’t think nothing up to Yes Sir’s standards. It’s good to see that P Bowen is sending another to this track as he sent his first one over a few weeks ago and gained his first win also so a good 100% sr around this track. This distance & ground is fine for the horse and if he doesn’t win today then I would be forgetting about the festival in March. (NAP)

Gunther McBride 2.30 Catterick – A good race looks in prospect for the North Yorkshire Grand National with plenty of decent stayers. But I think everything looks to be pointing in this horses favor he is dropped in class, dropped in the weights (although he is still top weight) to 130 when his best win was off a mark of 134. But the interesting thing that swings it for me is that P Hobbs has never sent one to this track which has amazed me so it makes you think why he would send one today. It is understandable why he doesn’t send any as it’s a 277 mile trip, so I think from spending the money on travel I would say he will be on the task today. (NB)

Dance Spectre 1.50 Lingfield – I don’t really like it when im forced into making selections on the all weather when there could have been some jump racing to concentrate on. Enough of my moaning now, I think this horse has an excellent chance today at a good price as he shown he likes this ground on his first go in a better class race with a couple of horses coming out of the race and winning. R Winston gets on board again and I’m sure this horse holds more class than the rest. I’ve just heard Devils Island is a non-runner but even with him in the field I was expecting this one to beat him but makes life easier for the horse but the price will drop. (WIN)

Littledodayno 3.20 Lingfield – J Noseda is one of the classy trainers you see on the flat this time of the year and has potentially the classiest horse in the race if he goes on the ground that is. He has had two seconds and a win in his career with his win being over this distance. The ground as I said is the worry but I think with Noseda doing well on this surface lately I’m sure he can over come that. J Spencer gets on board which has to be a bonus and I think he can have bold claims here. (WIN)

Good Luck.

Corben Dallas

v nice rate there vindon. 3wins/5 +a 2nd. I wouldnt bet on Gospil Song cause a 14yr old horse should be retired, isnt there a max age that horses can run?
normally racing days are over 9/10 yrs? What age would be your(or board regs) upper limit on horses.??

was on double Julies/Lettas and treble Julies/Canavan/ Lettas Damn u Graham Lee. odds on first 2 were v skinny.

Keep up good work.

vindon

Better racing today even with Plumpton off but hoping for Warwick to get the green light.

BallyBolshoi 1.20 Warwick – This looks a weak race to kick things off for starters but it could play in the hands off this horse who won well lto. He ended up in a scrap with Methodical but shown his determination in the end and won going away. He loves this sort of ground as he is a battler who gets on with things and the extra distance can also suit. This is the horse that has improvement in him and the others look very vulnerable in this race. This trainer is sending her first horse to the course and has booked Richard Johnson again who has a 27% r with the trainer. (WIN)

Kickahead 2.20 Warwick – Wasn’t nothing special in France on the flat but shaped with a degree of ability on his debut run over course & distance. He was running well when challenging the odds on shot Patman Du Charmil who is a classy sort but he hit the third from home but did not disgrace himself by finishing 2 lengths behind. He shown that this ground is a favour to him and the minimum trip looks to be his limit. Mick Fitzgerald was on board that day and gets on board again today which is a sign for me as I’m sure if the N Henderson trained horse was going to run a big race I think Mick would be on it but he has opted for this horse. The favourite has got claims but the Phillip Hobbs’s yard isn’t exactly in the best of forms lately. Improvement looks sure to come here and has a lot in his favour for a big run. (WIN)

Smart Cavalier 2.50 Warwick – Most in this race look to have ability but this one is the one that is improving as he got is first win under rules on the third time of asking after being dropped to the minimum trip. Sam Thomas rode that day and he did a good job but didn’t really have to break sweat as he was ridden just off the pace and then came through to take it up turning for home. There is a few that like to make the running in this field and that could cause confusion for a few and should make a fast pace which will play into this horses favour as it will come off the pace. P Nicholls has a 38% sr with his chasers around here and as this horse is not badly weighted for his handicap debut I’m sure he could take this race. (NAP)

Smeathes Ridge 3.50 Warwick – Was not a great hurdler but he really shown his worth when switched to fences lto as he won very well. His trainers said chasing has always been his aim and he kicked his campaign off in grand style with a win. This looks a weaker race with some poor horses on display so a repeat of his last performance would surely see him through this race on ground he likes. (NB)

First Row 1.15 Gowran Park – A big field as usual for a first race in Ireland and the winner can be this horse if he stands up to recent form. He started his hurdling career in a Grade 2 event where he finished an average fifth and then ran in a Grade 3 event and came third which was quite good. This horse must have class as the trainer has thrown it in the deep end twice this looks a better race for the horse to get him off the mark hurdling as its only a £5,000 race compared with his £23k race he ran in. The danger looks to be the Ex-French horse Vintox but never the less I think he will need the experience so I’d stay on this horse’s side. (WIN)

Emotional Moment 1.45 Gowran Park – Well this horse has a tissue price of 4/5 in the Racing Post which to me looks a cracking price for this horse but sadly I feel that the price won’t be that by the morning. This looks a two horse race to me easily between this one and Strangely Brown but this horse finished a length and a ½ in front of Strangely Brown lto over this distance and Strangely Brown is a 1lb worse off so on form Strangely brown will find things very hard reversing form. So as I say this looks like a good winner but this could end up very short odds. (WIN)

Good Luck

vindon

Much better racing today but just hoping the frost stays away.

Cordial 1.10 Fakenham – He shaped well on his hurdling bow at Leicester when fourth of 22 runners, a place ahead of him that day was the well regarded Acambo. This horse is an Ex-Mark Prescott trained horse and wasn’t to bad on the flat all though he was no world beater. His only win on the turf on the flat was on firm ground so this Good To Firm ground can help today more than lto as it was a bit more softer than this. The trainer is in fine form of late with a few winners and R Garrity has a 20% sr with this trainer so a lot in his favour as the second Favourite ‘Easy Laughter’ may need the experience and this horse was the better horse on the flat. (WIN)

Sunny South East 2.10 Fakenham – I was quite interested in the favourite to start off with as he has good form in the book but has also got a big question mark besides him about the distance. The furthest Rookery Lad has won from is 2 mile 4 furlongs and doesn’t shape that well when going for 2 mile 6 furlong so I think this three mile plus has big stamina doubts so lay for me. Then I looked at the second favourite and that could even be another lay as he is nought from twenty starts jumping and has not won on a firmer surface flat racing so there is another to oppose I think. Then I came to this one and it took my eye as its had four starts chasing and has won one, placed twice and came fourth on his debut. His win was over this type of distance around this course so no doubts on stamina or course likings and he could have been a lot closer lto if it wasn’t for a lose horse running in front of him when going to jump a fence so knocked a bit of stuffing out of him. So at good odds and vulnerable competition I think this one could win here. (WIN)

My Immortal 2.45 Fakenham – Well this looks a race between the two market principals but I’m hoping that experience can tell. The Ex-French horse in the field ‘Daraybad’ who is owned by J P McManus has strong claims in this if he jumps well but this Pipe horse was second in a hot race at Newbury when second behind Turko on his hurdling debut, He beat a French horse that day called Restless D’Artaix by 11 lengths and that horse has gone on to win a similar race to this one easy enough (Prizefighter was a way back that day as well). He has since ran in a Grade 1 event at Chepstow where he came a decent 6th but is sure to be a little better also 7 lengths behind that day was Gardasee who has also recently won easily enough. Back down into moderate class and is well up to winning but as I said Daraybad is a danger. (WIN)

Windsor Boy 3.50 Fakenham – Came from Ireland to the Pipe stable and went straight into Listed Company at Wincanton where he ran very well in third behind some useful horses such as Red Devil Robert and stable mate Iris’s Bleu. He then went onto running at Wetherby in a weaker race as he was well in contention but sadly fell a few fences out. Today though he has got better ground and McCoy back on board to sort things out if he starts to play up but he is a good jumper but just made a mistake lto. M Pipe has only ever sent three horses to the meet and has had one winner (33% sr) it is understandable why he doesn’t send to many here as it is a 261 mile trip from Martin Pipes Devon Stables so the pipe horses must come here for the job I should think. (NAP)

Star De Mohaison 3.10 Folkestone – This looks pretty much a good thing today as for starters its Ruby Walsh’s only ride of the day which must give a clue on its chances. He ran at Cheltenham at the start of the month when finishing third only 2 lengths behind The Listener. In fourth that day was Billyvodan who has since won well and this horse has got some good form with beating Supreme Serenade on his Chasing bow. P Nicholls has a 37% sr around here with his chasers, Jockey/Trainer combo is 27% and Ruby Walsh has a 30% sr around here so all stats are in favour of this horse winning. (NB)

Grand Passion 4.00 Wolverhampton – Well don’t usually like picking on the Polly track but this one took my eye for Geoff Wragg as it’s his time of rest this time of year. This horse has achieved more than any other horse in the field by winning a Listed race. Looks the classier one in the field with his earnings and I’m sure he can take this race under S Drowne. (WIN)

Good Luck

vindon

As I’m going to Cheltenham tommorow I did a review of the meeting.

1.00– This looks a good race to start me off for a good day (Hopefully) as this horse is unbeaten in three starts but really shown what he could do lto when hacking up by 21 lengths in front of the Cool Guy. He seems to love the up hill finish here as that’s what saw him extend his lead up the stretch. Ruby Walsh said it was a great ride and Nicholls thinks it’s a very useful horse. He has form to beat Buena Vista and Jeremy Cuddle Duck as both of them horses have finished behind Boychuk but this horse destroyed BoyChuk lto so on form this horse looks a good thing. The one that can cause discomfort is the French raider Zaiyad. I expect the odds to be a shade odds on and if it come out odds against I will be amazed. (NAP)

Bet – Well it looks obvious that it will be Denman.

1.35 – Most of these horses in this field know how to win a race which always makes a race very competitive, but two stand out to me here. One of which is the 2002 Champion Hurdle winner Horse La Loi who made a great Chasing debut at Taunton as I don’t think he touched the top of a fence all the way round. He then went on to run in a much better race where he saw him self up against leading Arkle horse Justified but did finish a respectable third. It looks as if this step back up in trip will help a lot and normal jockey D Gallagher hops on board. The other one in the field that is very interesting I the Nicky Henderson Trained Copsale Lad who has form in the book. He won well on his seasonal return at Lingfield and then found one to good at Newbury in a Grade 2 event were Albuhera won but the three others that were well behind that day were Without a doubt, Whispered Secret & Royal Hector and all them are in the field today. The his latest run was back at Lingfield but was on bad ground and still managed to win by a distance which was rather good, so if he gets good ground tomorrow you should see a bit of improvement. Both horses have won at Cheltenham and it looks a race between the two in my eyes.

Bet – I think a bit of Dutching will see me make a profit here if all goes well.

2.10 – The big race of the day looks mighty competitive but when you go to the racing you have to pick one and it looks to be coming in the direction of the Sue Smith Stable. Not Mister McGoldrick but Town crier which the trainer says it’s an improving 11yo as it is a lightly raced individual. He won very nicely in a hot Handicap at Newbury in November and then went onto run in a Hurdle race to freshen him up for this race and even that race saw David Elsworth dosing off in the saddle as he didn’t really have to move an inch. This race has been set up for him this season and is the trainer’s main fancy as D Elsworth has been told to ride this horse. At odds of 8/1 it looks a nice enough bet but for an alternative as a little saver Fundamentalist can get back to old form as he ran a stinker lto. The ground was bad lto so this better ground and course can get him running well again I should think.

Bet – My main bet will be on Town Crier but a little saver may be worth it on Fundamentalist.

2.45 – Another competitive race here with a few horses that could run well but after this race a lot will see a better in site to the world Hurdle hopefuls. Ambobo, My Way De Solzen and No Refuge look the three to concentrate on for me. Ambobo is an Irish raider who won at this meet last year nicely but today turns up in a potentially hotter race., he’s one who knows the course and has B Gerraghty to help matters. My Way De Solzen is another that is improving very nicely this season as he beat a well regarded Nicholls horse ‘Neptune Collenge’ by 5 lengths in the end. Old form can be a bit worrying and didn’t seem to like Cheltenham when he ran here in March. No Refuge is known for winning the Royal & SunAliance in March ahead of Racing Demon & Our Ben. He has since ran well in winning at Windsor ahead of Blue Canyon. This three mile is his first attempt and on what he has shown so far he stays pretty well so I imagine him to run well.

Bet- Three are in my equation here but I think I will wait and see the prices before making my decision.

3.20 – a lot of eyes will e on the returning Celestial Gold who won the Paddy Power Gold Cup last year and the Hennesy Gold Cup. He is a classy individual and on his day has the beating of his rivals. He’s beat Ollie Magern twice an its hard to see Ollie Magern reversing form here at the weights. Celestial Gold won the Paddy Power last season which was his seasonal reappearance then so he is well up to winning a big race on his first race back for the season as shown. He like the track with two wins and a second and Timmy Murphy also says he like the horse a lot. The Eway bet in the race could be Lord Of Illusion as he shown he was back to old form with a close second behind Pipe’s Joacci around here. The small drop in distance can help he and he should run well with his own pace setting ability. (NB)

Bet – Celestial Gold seems to be the bet here and maybe a small each way bet on Lord Of Illusion to help.

3.55 – This is the fourth and last order of merit race on the card and probably is the hardest race to pick a winner. Fondmort has claims here as Nicky Henderon said that he loves 2 mile 5 furlongs around here as he shown lto even with 6 fences taken out. Life will be very tough as top weight here in this race but the stable are optimistic and Mick Fitzgerald thinks a lot of the horse also. Sir Oj can be the one to cause problems as he won over course and distance last time out ahead of Le Passing and was placed quite nicely in an event last year at the festival. P Carberry comes over from Ireland to ride this and the trainer Noel Meade is in grand form at the moment. The dark horse in the race which should be very big odds could be Lease Back who is way out of the Handicap but is making his Chasing debut in Britain here and it Is odd how the trainer hasn’t opted to give him ago In a weaker Novice race first. This horse is funnily enough entered in the Gold Cup as well so maybe the trainer thinks it has ability.

Bet – The bet will be shared between Fondmort and Sir Oj, with a very small Each way bet on Lease back.

4.30 – Hard race to end with as there is some good horses in the race but the improving Kalmini can take this step up in class in his stride here and give a few here something to think about. This looks like a battler as he did not let a bad jump at the last make him lose lto at Taunton. The trainer says he is a very good horse and soon after the race this race was set up for him with maybe the Triumph Hurdle after. Afsoun is a horse in this field with good form and is likely to start off Favourite.

Bet – The bet here is most likely to be Kalmini with a small saver on Afsoun.

Good Luck everyone.

vindon

Bobs Pride 1.20 Leopardstown – This is a classy horse on the Flat last year as he ran in the Irish Derby trial and his latest being in the Irish 2,000 guineas. He started off his campaign on the flat very well with beating Shalapour who was the Irish Derby placed horse but the last two races weren’t as good and the trainer said if he does not take to flat effectively then jumping could be his game. Well he’s here today in this Maiden Hurdle race trying to make a name for himself over hurdles. Theres a few rivals in the field that have doubts but if this one can jump surely he will be a class above these. Also he has a few weight advantages to help matters in this race and Barry Gerraghty rides. (NB)

Justified 1.50 Leopardstown – The two main ones in this race today are big chasers that are very classy but today have came up against each other. Nickname took a Chase here first time for his trainer very easily and then took another race that was better just as easy. But the doubts I have today over the horse is the trip as it could be abit to sharp for him and also the ground as we’ve only seen him in terrible conditions even though it is on the soft side today it could prove to quick for him. Justified on the other hand knows everything about this trip and can go on any ground. The trainer say McCoy rides the horse really well and he gets on him again today and he should also have the brains not to let Nickname get to far ahead as he likes to get a big lead. (WIN)

Nicanor 3.30 Leopardstown – Big odds on favourite flop lto at Navan when he was 1/6 on to land the spoils, his last tree runs before that over 2 and a half miles saw him run much better but fell in one of the races when cruising. He came up against Travino at Navan before where Travino got the better of him but Noel Meade said he was the better horse it was a shame that he got at least a ten length head start. There is a stone in Nicanor’s favour today and I’m sure that P Carberry won’t let Travino go to far ahead and has conditions to suit the horse. (NAP)

Mystic Man 2.30 Lingfield – It’s a horse that hardly ever disappoints when there’s a chance for him to run well in a race and that’s the sort of horse you like to back on the All-weather. Did nothing wrong lto when second to Danelor in a race that was probably a furlong to far. This sort of class looks an easy opportunity for the horse to win today on a course that is new for him as K Burke don’t send to many to Lingfield as it is quite a trip from there stable (221 miles). Neil Callan booked to ride today over a better trip and he’s sure to run a big race today. (WIN)

Glad Big 3.00 Linfield – I backed him in a Maiden lto where he took the race very easily indeed and today he steps back up into a Handicap race. He is capable of taking this race on what he shown lto and off his current mark as well. Eddie Ahern gets on board and I think there’s another good run in him yet. (WIN)

Good Luck

vindon

Square Mile 2.00 Ludlow – Looks a race between the two really as they both have good form (Square Mile & Waterloo Son). They have both won at Market Rasen lto over the same distance even though Waterloo Son had a better time I think the firmer ground will be totally on Square Miles favour as breeding suggests this is his most effective ground. His full Brother ‘Robert’ has ran on Good to Firm three times in his career and has won all three times which shows how this horse must handle conditions today. Tony McCoy has a good 25% sr around here and I’m sure this horse can maintain his unbeaten run. (NAP)

Phar Out Phavourite 2.30 Ludlow – Well on paper he only had one horse to beat which was Pole Star and luckily he fell early on so had a simple task of just getting to the finishing line but ended up crashing down about five out. His chasing Debut has thrown up some excellent winners at Newbury as he was third, in first was Cornish sett who has since been runner up to Justified, In second was Green Tango who has since won 2/2 very nicely, Fourth was Lustral Du Seuil who won next time out easily and in seventh was Mighty Matter who won by 5 lengths next time out. So with excellent form in the book, a trainer in good form with a 25% sr around here he must have an excellent chance of winning even with Marcel in good heart as well. (NB)

Shining Strand 2.20 Southwell – This can be a good horse but his temperament seems to let him down before his races. He makes his chasing debut today and in my opinion seems to need the fences badly and the three mile distance. If he turns up today with his determined head on he should easily take a race like this. The tissued odds on favourite Very Optimistic was a beaten favourite lto and does not look a very good chaser he just seems average and looks a bad price to take. A lot in his favour today and I’m sure the Queen will have her money on today. (WIN)

Compton Drake 2.40 Wolverhampton – I think this horse is better than the rest of these and knows the all weather game pretty well. He is well in on the weights as he is 5lbs lower than his last win at Warwick in March. G Butler has a 23% sr around here with his four year olds plus and he is a trainer in good form lately. Eddie Ahern gets onboard today who has won on the horse three times in the past so should know him. He won well over Hurdles lto at Worcester by 11 lengths I just hope he has got the same effect back on the flat. (WIN)

Good Luck

vindon

Two Miles West 1.40 Taunton – A nice race to kick off this meeting with two good potentials for Cheltenham as this horse has already ran in a Grade 2 event in November at Cheltenham. He ran really well that day when behind Boychuk and Buena Vista, he may have got closer if it wasn’t for a muddle up at the last fence but still managed to stay on up the hill. He won his hurdling debut for Jonjo beating a nice horse in Circassion who went on and won, this horse was also a good recruit on the flat for Aidan O’Brien. The danger in the field is Nikola who ran well lto beating Acambo but I’m going on class here as I think the drop in class for this horse will see him through even with the penalty. (WIN)

Idole First 2.40 Taunton – This was a 145 rated hurdler who won the Coral Cup at the festival. He had his chasing debut lto at Hereford where he was sixth behind Green Tango who has won a better race since. It was a disappointment lto and is risky to back for a lot of people but I think he will come on a lot for the experience and today in this potentially easy race for him to win he can show his true class. V Williams has a 28% sr around here with her chasers so I think a better show will be on the cards here. (WIN)

Tarlac 2.00 Folkestone – Was a good recruit on the flat in Germany winning a few good races and made his debut in the UK at Taunton where he finished third but came up against a good sort in Kalmini. He would have come on for the experience and today should be his day to get people talking about the horse as he has got lots of ability. This Ground will be in his favour and same goes for the distance. N Henderson has a good sr here with 47%, When McCoy rides for Henderson they have a 45% sr together and when McCoy rides here he has a decent 21% sr. So with form, conditions and stats in his favour this horse will be very hard to beat. (NB)

The Outlier 2.30 Folkestone – Having his third attempt chasing today and he is no failure yet as this is a Maiden Chase with poor horses. He came a good second lto at Plumpton on this sort of ground and that effort looks good as he was a distance in front of third place. This race looks very easy for him to get off the mark today as it shows how weak the race is by the second favourite not winning in 22 starts so the depth in the race look pitiful. V Williams has a 20% sr here which is good and Venetia’s number one jockey Sam Thomas is here to ride as well. (NAP)

Julies Boy 4.00 Folkestone – I napped this horse lto when it won easy enough at Leicester a weak ago. He gets to come here with no rise in weight or penalty which has to be a good thing as he is also the only horse in the field with the best recent form. W McCarthy gets on board once again who takes off the 7lbs claim and is the best jockey for this horse as he has been the one on board for all Julies Boy’s wins. A little harder race here but off the same weight its hard to oppose. (WIN)

Good Luck

p.pete

Taunton is off - shame, I'd backed one or two of them