M.T. Cranium Registered User
#46

No changes required yet to the provisional scoring, as IMT confirmed 12.2, and PRC at 84%. Will check all values with MS in particular the SUN estimate which still looks okay at this point (29th-30th ran about 120% of normal).

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M.T. Cranium Registered User
#47

Having adjusted the sunshine scores slightly for September, here's the updated annual summary ... note that the order has changed as of this month to the best 7 of 9 totals and your rank in the all-nine shows up after the total score near the end of the row (before the 7/9 score) at this point.

With these longer rows of data, I have dropped the column showing last month's rank, that is replaced by the rank for all nine totals. The two lowest scores you drop for best 7/9 are shown in italic.Those who have missed one month have just one low score shown and if you miss two months, your total score will be the same as your best score total and no months will be marked. If you miss three or more you are likely no longer eligible for the top award unless you have nine really good scores. I stop listing them when they drop too far below the average.


Annual Scoring Summary for 2018 (Jan to Sept)

(7/9)
rank _FORECASTER _______ JAN_FEB_MAR_APR_MAY_JUN_JUL_AUG_SEP _ TOTAL <- rank __ best 7/9

01 _ Pauldry_____________ 73 _ 58 _ 89 _ 48 _ 76 _ 59 _ 78 _ 62 _ 66 __ 609 __ 01 ____ 503
02 _ waterways __________ 81 _ 34 _ 51 _ 73 _ 76 _ 46 _ 83 _ 64 _ 64 __ 572 __ 03 ____ 492

(03a) NormaL ___________ 75 _ 52 _ 48 _ 71 _ 63 _ 31 _ 59 _ 85 _ 79 __ 563 __(06) ____ 484

(03b) Con Sensus ________ 73 _ 67 _ 69 _ 51 _ 71 _ 54 _ 84 _ 56 _ 59 __ 584 __(02) ____479

03 _ sryanbruen __________56 _ 71 _ 65 _ 60 _ 74 _ 46 _ 85 _ 65 _ 36 __ 558 __ 06 ____ 476
04 _ Dacogawa ___________71 _ 67 _ 70 _ 67 _ 63 _ 52 _ 71 _ 50 _ 65 __ 576 __ 02 ____ 474
05 _ Rameire ____________ 52 _ 56 _ 67 _ 49 _ 76 _ 44 _ 88 _ 67 _ 67 __ 566 __ 05 ____ 473
06 _ DOCARCH ___________63 _ 62 _ 75 _ 61 _ 68 _ 42 _ 69 _ 47 _ 67 __ 554 __ 07 ____ 465
07 _ BLIZZARD7 __________27 _ 73 _ 46 _ 70 _ 92 _ 52 _ 48 _ 46 _ 81 __ 535 __ 11 ____ 462
08 _ Rikand _____________ 66 _ 64 _ 62 _ 61 _ 74 _ 65 _ 65 _ 51 _ 59 __ 567 __ 04 ____ 457
t09_ M.T. Cranium ________ 60 _ 45 _ 52 _ 56 _ 86 _ 49 _ 77 _ 50 _ 75 __ 550 __ 08 ____ 456
t09_ Joe Public ___________ 35 _ 62 _ 48 _ 81 _ 61 _ 66 _ 63 _ 56 _ 67 __ 539 __ 10 ____ 456
11 _ JCXBXC _____________34 _ 72 _ 54 _ 43 _ 77 _ 56 _ 78 _ 75 _ 41 __ 530 __ 13 ____ 455
12 _ MrSkinner ___________73 _ 64 _ 72 _ 42 _ 69 _ 36 _ 68 _ 66 _ 41 __ 532 __ 12 ____ 454
13 _ Jpmarn _____________ 71 _ 61 _ 49 _ 57 _ 68 _ 60 _ 81 _ 51 _ 50 __ 548 __ 09 ____ 449
14_ Tae laidir ____________ 78 _ 53 _ 63 _ 47 _ 61 _ 52 _ 67 _ 69 _ --- __ 490 __ 18 ____ 438
15 _ mickger844posts _____ 75 _ 77 _ 69 _ 42 _ 54 _ 44 _ 62 _ 49 _ 50 __ 522 __ 15 ____ 436
16 _ sunflower3 __________ 68 _ 56 _ 63 _ 58 _ 57 _ 41 _ 65 _ 52 _ 64 __ 524 __ 14 ____ 431
17 _ Kindred Spirit ________ 59 _ 56 _ 55 _ 28 _ 66 _ 57 _ 77 _ 48 _ 47 __ 493 __ 17 ____ 418
18 _ john mac ____________48 _ 58 _ 58 _ 42 _ 63 _ 39 _ 67 _ 72 _ 51 __ 498 __ 16 ____ 417
19 _ dasa29 _____________ 69 _ 40 _ 83 _ 43 _ 54 _ 35 _ 57 _ 41 _ 67 __ 489 __ 19 ____ 414
20 _ sdanseo _____________45 _ 61 _ 57 _ 52 _ 57 _ 64 _ 65 _ --- _ 57 __ 458 __ 22 ____ 413
21 _ Bsal ________________63 _ 49 _ 71 _ 38 _ 56 _ 34 _ 71 _ 44 _ 50 __ 476 __ 20 ____ 404
22 _ 200motels ___________36 _ 65 _ 47 _ 49 _ 85 _ 32 _ 62 _ 37 _ 55 __ 468 __ 21 ____ 400

23 _ Lumi _______________ 54 _ 54 _ 62 _ --- _ 77 _ 55 _ --- _--- _ --- __ 302
24 _ Adam240610 ________ --- _ --- _ 56 _ --- _ ---_ --- _ 64 _ 72 _ 51 __ 243
25 _ Artane2002 __________--- _ --- _ ---_ 59 _ 57 _ 47 _ --- _ --- _ 50 __ 213
________________________________________________________________________________________

Ranks of NormaL and Con Sensus would be third if they were independently playing the contest, so I show them as 3a and 3b since both are between 2nd and 3rd ranked (real) participants. This is the first time NormaL has overtaken Con Sensus in the annual standings (that I can recall anyway). Good for Pauldry and waterways staying ahead of them both.

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M.T. Cranium Registered User
#48

Scoring is now final, the MS confirmed most of the estimates and SUN was calculated to be 95% rather than 98% which resulted in some scores going up or down by one point and some remaining the same. In the annual summary, one score for September had to be revised more than that due to my entering the wrong score originally (for JCX BXC) ... the scoring is so tight in that part of the table that a ten point differential caused a shift in ranking by about four places. On that subject, the best 7/9 scoring is within 50 points from first to twelfth place, and in particular the range from 6th to 12th is quite small meaning that there could easily be large shifts in ranks from month to month as we enter the final quarter of the competition.

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