I find the Netweather Radar very poor resolution for Leinster. While it’s near perfect for Munster and Northern Ireland
Sferics detected today.
Netweather 24 hrs sferics detected, a few heavy showers still in Northern counties and recent sferics.
Day 2 Convective Outlook
VALID 06:00 UTC Wed 08 Aug 2018 - 05:59 UTC Thu 09 Aug 2018
ISSUED 20:51 UTC Tue 07 Aug 2018
ISSUED BY: Dan
A broad upper trough over the Atlantic to the west of Ireland will gradually approach, with strong mid and upper-level flow over the British Isles. Cool air aloft atop warm SSTs and diurnal heating inland will result in a few hundred J/kg CAPE and a scattering of showers in quite a few places - away from the south and east of England.
A few isolated lightning strikes will be possible from almost any shower, but the best overlap of marginal CAPE and strong deep layer shear (some 40-50kts) may allow some better-organised cells to develop from Wales across the W + N Midlands into northern England, capable of some small hail and gusty winds - associated with a shortwave moving northeastwards across an occluded front.
Showers along this occlusion will tend to decay during the evening hours as surface heating subsides and the shortwave overruns, but this front may become the focus for showery outbreaks of rain later in the night across the East Midlands / East Anglia / S + SE England as a more pronounced shortwave approaches from Biscay.
At the same time, steepening mid-level lapse rates will approach W Scotland overnight, with an increase in heavy showers likely here during the early hours - a few isolated lightning strikes may be possible with this activity.
Big convection moving inland here in Kerry this evening, some showers showing up on radar but dry here all evening. Small chance of a bit of thunder ( nothing like over on the continent though )
Pic a few minutes ago.
Look at July 85 slip up north around 500km west of Loop Head.
VALID 06:00 UTC Sat 11 Aug 2018 - 05:59 UTC Sun 12 Aug 2018
ISSUED 10:06 UTC Sat 11 Aug 2018
ISSUED BY: Chris/Dan
UPDATE 10:06 UTC Cold front provides the focus for embedded mid-level instability release as strong upper forcing approaches from the SW, on the forward side of the main upper trough. While instability is fairly weak and profiles rather saturated, forcing may be sufficient to produce some sporadic lightning during Saturday night as the cold front continues to slide NE from the Celtic Sea into SW England and Wales; a low-end SLGT has been introduced to cover this potential
A transient ridge of higher pressure will keep most of Britain dry through Saturday, however a warm front and following warm sector will overspread Ireland and southwestern parts of Britain by Saturday evening and overnight. Rain and the potential of some embedded elevated convection will bring a low end risk of a few lightning strikes as the cold front moves in during the early morning hours of Sunday. At this stage the risk of lightning seems to be only around 10%.
Any thunderstorms for Cork this evening?
Not really seeing much chance of thunderstorms. Maybe a low chance of a couple of rumbles in the SE in the next couple of hours.
Troughs and cold pool of air aloft aiding convection leading to some heavy showers tomorrow. Possible for some sporadic thundery showers, more so in Northern counties.
A few sferics showing up W to E today, nothing detected in Northern counties yet. Widespread showers, some heavy.
Very nice jimmynokia, looks like some mammatus cloud in there as well.
Cheers.. Yes that what I thought they where too but was not 100% it looked cool though