As with last year's thread the aim is to keep a record of tropical systems that don't garner the public attention as much as hurricanes in the Western Atlantic get. If (and probably when) such systems do develop later on in the year they will deserve their own threads.
The most notable system at the moment is Tropical Cyclone 09P (Gita) which scored a pretty heavy hit on Tonga, destroying it's parliament building in the process.
Gita still a pretty well organised system with 1 minute winds of around 120 mph. Due to steadily weaken in the next few days though. May affect NZ towards the end of its run. Will be TS strength by then.
Now Tropical Storm Lane expected to intensify rapidly in the coming days. NHC
Surely this is a Cyclone?
The track of Lane is slightly closer to the Hawaiian islands on the latest run with a sharp turn West still expected near the islands on Friday. It is due to gradually weaken from shear but still poses a big threat from rain, wind and storm surge. Total rain accumulations 250mm to 500mm forecast with isloated up to 750mm, storm surge up to 1.2m on South and West coasts near the centre of Lane.
Lane Satellite images
Lane hasn't even fully arrived yet but the town of Hilo on Big Island has already recorded 12inches of rain.
Hawaii really isn't prepared for this. It's very unusual anyway so it's not really built for this sort of thing. There's shelter space for about 270k people out of 1.4m but most of the shelters are apparently not really built for this sort of wind strength either. And the islands have a relatively large homeless population that mostly live near the beaches. This could end up being another Puerto Rico, God help them.
Have been lucky enough to go to Hawaii a few times. Honolulu sits right on the coast (famous Waikiki beach) Lane is going to send one hell of a storm surge right at it. 20/30 story hotels right on the coast. I mean 20ft from it and not that high up either. Between rain and storm surge it could do a lot of damage. Pearl harbour is very close to the city to.
Flash flooding and mudslides very worrying risk with the heavy rainfall accumulations expected:
There is still the danger that Lane would make landfall or come very close to one or more of the islands
For flooding in a high rise building:
Hurricane Lane has weakened heading North towards Honolulu, 245km away at 7km/h but is forecast to turn West before getting there. With the slow forward motion, the rainfall totals are the main concern at the moment. Maximum sustained wind of 165km/h, min central pressure 966mb. Category 2 Hurricane, with weakening forecast to continue.
Brush fire on Maui.