BLIZZARD7 Registered User
#16

3.8_ 2.7_ 4.9 ___120 _090 _120___ 15.1 _ -16.5 ___44(cm) ___ 81 (kts)

*I realise I'm late, I meant to post in last night but forgot, throwing this in in the off chance you will accept, no problem if its too late though.

M.T. Cranium Registered User
#17

Okay, will accept but contest is now closed to further entries ... table of forecasts being prepared. Anyone reading this and entered can edit to 0300h, that's when the finalized table will hit the internet.

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M.T. Cranium Registered User
#18

Table of forecasts -- winter 2017-18 contest

These forecasts are arranged in order of mean winter temperature (I have calculated those and mean winter precip from your monthly forecasts). See previous post, due to extended deadline and one slightly late entry, anyone has the option to edit any forecast to 0300h. Post or edit (I will check back for edits).


FORECASTER__IMT (D,J,F and mean)__PRC (D,J,F and mean)__MAX _ MIN _ SNOW _ GUST

Pauldry ______ 6.0_6.1_6.6_6.23___105_100_098_101.0 ___ 15.2_ --7.2__ 10.0 _ 85

waterways ____5.6_5.7_5.6_5.63___110_100_080_096.7 ___ 16.4_ --9.7__ 18.0 _ 75

john mac _____4.8_5.8_6.1_5.57___097_094_110_100.3 ___ 16.0_ --9.9__ 15.0 _ 74

Oterra _______5.5_5.0_6.0_5.50___090_100_110_100.0 ___ 13.0_ --9.0 ___8.5 _ 73

Doddles88 ____4.9_5.0_6.3_5.40___080_105_100_095.0 ___ 13.8_ --6.8 ___4.0 _ 97

MrSkinner ____ 5.1_5.2_5.3_5.20___091_092_093_092.0 ___ 15.9_ --6.6__23.0 _ 70

sryanbruen ___ 5.0_4.6_5.9_5.17___070_110_120_100.0 ___ 15.0_ --8.0___2.0 _ 70

bsal _________4.9_5.1_5.3_5.10___095_112_105_104.0 ___ 14.8_ --7.0___5.0 _ 74

Sunflower3 ___ 4.8_4.4_5.5_4.90___095_090_110_098.3 ___ 15.1_ --7.0___6.0 _ 78

cdev _________4.4_4.3_5.6_4.77___078_122_118_106.0 ___ 15.2_-10.5___7.5 _ 82

M.T.Cranium __ 4.5_4.2_5.5_4.73___080_120_100_100.0 ___ 15.7_-11.5__ 32.5 _ 80

Rikand _______5.0_4.0_4.5_4.50___090_100_100_096.6 ___ 16.0_-10.0__ 25.0 _ 85

sdanseo ______4.4_2.9_4.5_3.93___094_085_109_096.0 ___ 14.2_ --7.5___8.0 _ 79

Blizzard7 _____ 3.8_2.7_4.9_3.80___120_090_120_110.0 ___ 15.1_-16.5__ 44.0 _ 81


Consensus ____ 4.9_4.6_5.5_5.00___093_102_104_099.7 ___ 15.1_--9.1__ 15.0 _ 79

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M.T. Cranium Registered User
#19

Scoring update for December

IMT for December was 5.6, and PRC was 108%.

MAX so far 14.5 and MIN so far --6.6

Very little snow yet at Casement, and max gust of 84 knots on 2 January (Knock).

Scores for each monthly temperature and precip are worth 5 points. These are the scores for December, plus a provisional score for the wind gust (10 points) which might well hold up through the rest of the winter. In any case, only one forecast was more than 1 kt above 84 knots, marked * in the scoring, and this one could improve but almost all the others would go down by a maximum of one point if higher values came in; if the higher value was 85 to 91 knots the two high scores would hold up, lower values in that range would allow some other scores to remain where they are.

Everything else looks to be subject to change or unknown yet.

FORECASTER__IMT Dec ___ PRC Dec ___ GUST ____ Total to date

Pauldry ______ 4.0_______ 4.5 _______ 10 ________ 18.5

Rikand _______3.0________2.0 _______ 10 ________15.0

waterways ____5.0_______ 5.0 _______ 04 ________ 14.0

Blizzard7 _____ 0.0_______ 4.0 _______ 08 ________12.0


__Consensus __2.0________2.5 _______ 06 ________ 10.5


Sunflower3 ___1.5________3.5 _______ 05 ________10.0

cdev _________0.5_______ 0.5 _______ 09 ________10.0

sdanseo ______0.5________3.0 _______ 06 ________ 9.5

M.T.Cranium __ 1.0_______ 1.0 _______ 07 _________9.0

John mac _____1.5_______ 4.0 _______ 03 _________8.5

Oterra _______4.5________2.0 _______ 02 _________8.5

bsal _________2.0________3.5 _______ 03 _________8.5

MrSkinner ____ 3.5_______ 2.5 _______ 00 _________6.0

Doddles88 ____2.0_______ 1.0 _______ 01* ________4.0

sryanbruen ___ 3.0_______ 0.0 _______ 00 _________3.0

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