That's a big no for snow for Dingle and Tralee looking at the charts
The models seem to overplay the effect of proximity to the sea on snowfall.
Showers up here in inland NI are still of rain at the moment. A few more hours before they transition I think.
It's ok lads please calm down. This thread has gone a bit NW nuts.
I do live high up granted, but this winter has been quite extreme.
All that matters is that the regular posters know me and who I am.
Currently wind is gusting here up to 80km/HR, -12 and approx 40cm lying snow. It's currently snowing from a band of precipitation from a warm front hitting the cold eastern air.
I have to chip in too and thank all you very knowledgeable folk in posting updates, charts and of course your explanations. Really enjoying the thread,
Bring on the Snow!
Holy crap that 6 o clock weather was something for snow watchers. I cannot believe there has been an upgrade. An UPGRADE??! That never happens!!
Harmonie 18z upgrades showers tomorrow evening for eastern areas back to 06z almost.
There is going to be a lot radar watching tomorrow evening and the small swings in wind direction could be evil to watch
Indeed, the global models just don't have the resolution. For example the distance between grid points for the GFS is 28km. Lets say a grid point lies exactly on the coast and the model says "rain" because of proximity to the sea, the map will then show rain 14km inland too, when in reality it could be turning to snow just 1 or 2 km inland.
the high res models like HIRLAM and Euro4 etc are obviously a lot better.
GFS 18Z snow cover
BTW the title of this thread should be changed to Orange in line with Met Eireanns warning
Im going to the pub tomorrow evening to get slaughtered and watch radar till i get thrown out or fall out the door. Hopefully into a bed of snow...
Ok. Time I popped up after a very long absence as SNOW is on the way. Here's a slide show I made in 2010 using the pics posted on the weather board.
Ah yes ... those were the days.
What's your source on the Harmonie model if you don't mind me asking?