Stlll clear here; bit hazy. Not much sign of anything bar maybe a ground frost by morning.
met.ie radar animation for St. Patrick's day last showing those heavy showers that occurred:
I was thinking (or even pontificating) earlier on that maybe some sort of convergence line developed over the central part of the country as the northward movement of showers seemed to 'stall' before being pulled back southwards but I am just wondering if that really was the case? That shower line stalled over this region and gave about 9mm in the space of about 90 mins before it was pushed back again. I would say most regions in a line from N Galway to Dub had about the same more or less.
Any thoughts anyone as to wheather this was a an actual convergence zone of just a sort of 'drag' as the low moved into the Irish Sea? (I am not coming across well as totally plum-tuckered)
Well, there was only 2.0mm of rain here on the 17th, all between 11pm and midnight.
The showers seemed to rotate around a point right above us.
So as you may of noticed by Mt's update this morning,
The next chance of some thundery activity is Easter Monday on the frontal edge of the front heading south over the country.
At the moment its only a slight risk id say for the North and East.
Will be interesting to watch this for potential upgrades... the gradient along the front edge tightening would lead to greater convective potential.
I've been watching it for the past few days but its been downgraded quite a bit, CAPE was being shown around 300-500 with a lifted index of -2 widespread across the northern half of the country a couple of days ago. Hopefully a few people might still get lucky
Cant say much, about to head to work , just waited to see the 6z run..
looks as if TUESDAY is now the day of interest? ... it could go 2 ways..
long dull day with drizzle and heavy showers... or ... a bright day with some heavy and thundery showers
" HOW YOU DOOOIN? " ....
Still looking quite interesting for 2moro afternoon
SHould get a few heavy showers with some hail and the bit of thunder in the stronger cells as the sun heats up the land in the afternoon .. with showers popping up in the midlands and moving slowly east.
Cape between 250 - 300
Upper air temps (500hp ) @ about -30
Lifted index of -1,-2 broadly
Light westerly breeze means the cells will be slow moving and can organise better .
Anyone else care to give their thoughts?....
A few strikes in the south east today, http://brunnur.vedur.is/athuganir/eldingar/i_dag_na.html?
The sky was amazing with all those heavy showers as i drove from east to west today.
Maybe tomorrow will yield more.
Skew-T chart for Dublin 3pm tomorrow
Dew point 4.4 C
Cape 370 j
Lifted Index -1
All i understood was the smiley, must be promising for thunderstorms?
April will generate some of its famous showers tomorrow again. With equilibrium temperature near -45 °C many of them will be thundery by around noon onwards, continuing on in the eastern half of the country into the evening as the coldest upper pool continues eastwards. Watch for some short sharp rain and hail downpours moving eastwards, forming linear systems as they do so under 20-30 m/s deep layer shear. Could be some temporary driving difficulties in some areas so take care.
SHowers could start popping up pretty much anywhere from now folks ... Anyone chasing in the dublin area? ha ...
Anyways ... Happy Radar and sky watching! ... * goes sets up for a timelapse *
You deserve a supercell for your enthusiasm!
AH sure ill have them in June