Cardex Registered User
#31

Fully conscious that this is an impulse bet so I may come to regret it:

Blackburn v Man Utd
(Asian Handicap Cards)
Blackburn -0.5
€20 @ 1.95

Cardex Registered User
#32

Cardex said:
Fully conscious that this is an impulse bet so I may come to regret it:

Blackburn v Man Utd LOSE
(Asian Handicap Cards)
Blackburn -0.5
€20 @ 1.95


Brings net profit to date down to €77.

Cardex Registered User
#33

Card Bets for this weekend, all 365:

Man Utd v QPR
(Asian Total Cards) Under 3.0 - €40 @ 1.875

West Brom v Blackburn
(Asian Total Cards) Under 3.0 - €20 @ 1.875

Not card related but can't see anything other than a home win:

Arsenal v Man City
(Full Time Result) Arsenal €40 @ 2.40

And a €5 donation to the good people of Bet365:
Liverpool v Aston Villa
(Correct Score) Aston Villa 1-0 €5 @ 19.00

Cardex Registered User
#34

Cardex said:
Card Bets for this weekend, all 365:

Man Utd v QPR
(Asian Total Cards) Under 3.0 - €40 @ 1.875 PUSH

West Brom v Blackburn
(Asian Total Cards) Under 3.0 - €20 @ 1.875 PUSH

Not card related but can't see anything other than a home win:

Arsenal v Man City
(Full Time Result) Arsenal €40 @ 2.40 WIN Returns €96

And a €5 donation to the good people of Bet365:
Liverpool v Aston Villa
(Correct Score) Aston Villa 1-0 €5 @ 19.00 LOSE


Net profit to date €118

Cardex Registered User
#35

For tomorrow:

QPR v Swansea
(Asian Total Cards) - Under 3.5 - €40 @ 1.825

Wigan v Man Utd
(Asian Total Cards) - Under 4.0 - €40 @ 1.825

Cardex Registered User
#36

Cardex said:
For tomorrow:

QPR v Swansea
(Asian Total Cards) - Under 3.5 - €40 @ 1.825 WIN Returns €73

Wigan v Man Utd
(Asian Total Cards) - Under 4.0 - €40 @ 1.825 WIN Returns €73



Net profit to date €184

Cardex Registered User
#37

For the weekend, all 365:

Arsenal v Wigan
(Asian Total Cards) - Over 3.5 - €40 @ 1.70

West Brom v QPR
(Asian Total Cards) - Under 3.5 - €40 @ 1.90

FA CUP:
Liverpool v Everton
(Asian Total Cards) - Under 5.0 - €20 @ 1.925

Tottenham v Chelsea
(Card Handicap) - Chelsea 0.0 - €20 @ 2.05

Cardex Registered User
#38

Cardex said:
For the weekend, all 365:

Arsenal v Wigan
(Asian Total Cards) - Over 3.5 - €40 @ 1.70 WIN Returns €68

West Brom v QPR
(Asian Total Cards) - Under 3.5 - €40 @ 1.90 LOSE

FA CUP:
Liverpool v Everton
(Asian Total Cards) - Under 5.0 - €20 @ 1.925 PUSH

Tottenham v Chelsea
(Card Handicap) - Chelsea 0.0 - €20 @ 2.05 LOSE


Poor weekend, brings net profit to date down to €152

Cardex Registered User
#39

For this weekend, all 365

Arsenal v Chelsea
(Asian Total Cards) Under 5.0 - €20 @ 2.025

Liverpool v West Brom
(Asian Total Cards) Over 3.0 - €30 @ 2.10

Fulham v Wigan
(Asian Total Cards) Under 3.0 - €40 @ 1.875

Bolton v Swansea
(Asian Total Cards) Under 4.0 - €50 @ 1.775

robbie1977 Registered User
#40

Hi Cardex I was gona back asain over 5 in Arsenal game do you mind me asking why you think it could be under?

Cardex Registered User
#41

robbie1977 said:
Hi Cardex I was gona back asain over 5 in Arsenal game do you mind me asking why you think it could be under?


My reasoning is pretty flawed to be honest. It's a bit of a throwaway bet. I was actually going to pass on this game altogether but succumbed to weakness as I was about to log off and stuck a sneaky €20 on!

So it's the chanciest of my bets for the weekend hence the small stake. It's a bit counter intuitive so bear with me. I looked at this during the week when the prices hadn't yet gone up. Everything pointed towards high no. of cards. I had it in mind to bet on >3.5 regardless of the price. Then 365 posted today with a threshold at asian 5.0. Typically when I see asian 5.0, I always go with under, regardless of who's playing. I just have it in my mind that a 6 card game is the exception, not the norm. I also think bookies overestimate local derbies and how dirty they're going to be. I've noticed that a lot these pass off with a pretty average no. of cards. I can see why you'd be considering >5.0. It's the obvious bet and may well come off. Worst case scenario, I lose €20. Hopefully the others will cover it!

robbie1977 Registered User
#42

The ref being inexperienced with premier league matches had
me wondering if he will be able to control the game.
Its strange giving him a high profile game when he has'nt seemed to
have done any before.

Thanks good luck with your bets.
Great thread.

Cardex Registered User
#43

robbie1977 said:
The ref being inexperienced with premier league matches had
me wondering if he will be able to control the game.


I think the ref is Mike Dean who has a fair few games under his belt. Could be mistaken.

I like your logic though. Hadn't entered my thinking at all. It's as good a reason to go with overs as any other.

robbie1977 Registered User
#44

Oh soccerway has it different

http://www.soccerway.com/matches/2012/04/21/england/premier-league/arsenal-fc/chelsea-football-club/1117379/


Edit your right its Mike Dean soccerway have it wrong.
they have that other guy down for 2 matches tomorrow now that was'nt there earlier

Cardex Registered User
#45

Strange that!

I normally rely on the premiership site cos the details cut and paste nicely into a spreadsheet.

They have Dean marked down http://www.premierleague.com/en-gb/news/news/match-official-appointments-21-24-april.html

http://www.premierleague.com/en-gb/news/news/match-official-appointments-21-24-april.html

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