Well it's almost the middle of hurricane season and the models are hinting that there could be some big storms brewing in the not too distant future, so I thought it was a good time to look back at Hurricane Debbie of 1961, an example of how on rare occasions these tropical systems can have a major impact on us.
Some snippets from the wikipedia page for the storm...
Another account of the storm can be read here : http://www.jstor.org/pss/25534822
From the Met Eireann page for Malin Head :
98 knots is about 181 kph.
Thanks for that, I hadn't heard that fact. I'm a bit puzzled though, as the NCEP Reanalysis shows Debbie losing its tropical characteristics late on the 14th September, being no longer a warm core system, rather a slack baroclinic low as it gets picked up by the deep 500hPa trough in mid Atlantic. By the time it reaches us a day later it's a normal storm system with its centre lying right under a strong southwesterly jet.
Either I'm reading this all wrong or the reanalysis is wrong. I wonder MT would you shed some light on this as you'll have a lot of professional experience such systems. Do you see tropical characteristics in it??
Thanks for the Maq! A storm I would have loved to have experienced! I am not sure of whether Debbie was tropical or not but the effects of it certainly were colossal here in the west according to my ancestors.
Currently uploading the M.S.L.P charts (from the ECMWF re-analysis) between the 13th and 17th of September onto youtube at the moment, should be up in a wee while. A bit shaky as done in a hurry but might give us an idea as to how the storm developed before it smashed into us. Will post up when upload complete.
Edit. Uploaded now, quality is a bit tripe but might help in M.T's analysis should he hopefully oblige us with one.
Thanks for that Deep, I can't see the video in your post but I managed to copy the url from it.
Where did you get the ECMWF reanalysis from? I had no joy getting it from their official site....or else I'm thick!
Here you go, thicko!!
Edit: Just remembered I had these charts on my hard drive that I posted up before I think at some time.
High gusts reported during Debbie:
Synoptic chart for 12 noon that day:
The archived maps show Debbie retaining hurricane intensity until leaving the map grid near the Hebrides.
Looking at the surface analysis in this thread, it looks extratropical at map time but back around 1961 the designations would have been more governed by maximum sustained wind speed than structure.
Whatever it was structurally, it had hurricane force winds and did cat 1-2 type damage in parts of Ireland.
This reminds me of the un-named tropical storm that we tracked in July through the Irish Sea. In fact that one had more tropical structure, possibly, and a tighter core of strong winds. It would be interesting to see any satellite photos of this storm, from what I remember, satellite imagery was just starting back around that time.
The perfect storm or imperfect maybe. There was also a storm when I was born in 1974 on January 10th. Nothing like debbie but severe none the less. Going to bed to dream of tomorrows sun
Thanks for that MT. Maybe that Wikipedia article should be changed to reflect the fact that it wasn't tropical, now that such criteria have changed since that period. But it sure was some storm alright, I wonder will we ever see the like again?
Met eireann did a feature on Debbie in their september 2001 monthly bulletin. (go to page 16).
"..Debbie was unusual in developing into a hurricane so
far east in the Atlantic. It reached category 1 status
on the Saffir-Simpson scale on the 6th, just off the
Cape Verde Islands (see chart below) where it caused a
plane crash and the deaths of 60 people. After
reaching category 3 status in mid-Atlantic on the
11th, with mean windspeeds of over 100 knots
(120m.p.h.), it turned northeastwards towards Ireland
and lost some of its intensity over the cooler waters
of the North Atlantic."
Sustained wind speeds reached violent strom force 11 at many western stations, reaching hurricane force at Malin Head .
I wonder is it worth contacting met eireann to get them to shed some light the actual origins of the storm? whether it retained its full tropical status or not as it rammed its power over Ireland?
Hi Deep , it's awkward to get the vids imbeded , I managed to figure out last week , I hope ya don't mind but i yought I'd post it here for you.
Deep Easterly's Debbie video:
I've done a bit of trawling and here is some info from the NHC archive. Interesting that they too have it turn extratropical before reaching Ireland, so where did this idea that it was still tropical come from?
Plenty more info on her here
The difference of opinion about status probably comes from the widely-accessed seasonal map that I posted earlier -- that series maintains the graphics of "hurricane" as the storm passes Ireland, while other storms in other years at high latitudes are ramped down from hurricane to TS to TD to extratropical. Anyway, with such a strong storm, probably the designation hybrid rather than extratropical is appropriate.
Evidence that it retained any true tropical characteristics would be in terms of detected eye near the centre, tropical dewpoints around the centre, and fronts not completely absorbed into the central circulation. The map seems to reflect that the storm had been extratropical for at least 12 hours at that point. A large area of hurricane force gusts remained in the vicinity of the rapidly occluding cold front. Compare the July 2010 storm where a very confined area of hurricane force gusts occurred near Aberdaron, Wales for about three hours.
This storm is probably quite similar in dynamics to the October 1987 "hurricane" that hit southern England. However, instead of redeveloping out of a dormant shadow of a former tropical cyclone, this one (Debbie) was a straight-forward extratropical phase of a continuously active and strong Atlantic hurricane. It's natural that it would be remembered as a hurricane given the transitional phase and weather events.
By the way, wasn't there a similar strength tropical remnant in October 1927?
I have the printout of all tropical seasons since 1871 in map form. There have been at least four other extratropical storms that either made landfall in Ireland or came very close. I will post maps of these in a moment. They occurred in 1883, 1887, 1950 (remnants of "Dog") and 1957 (remnants of "Carrie.") Please, no cheap jokes.
For the two references above in the 1880s, go to this link on wetterzentrale
and scan maps for Sep 26-28, 1883 as well as 6 Sep 1887. Maps in this series are for 12z. The 1883 case was depicted at 54N 19W (on 28th at 12z) on the NHC maps, so either this wetterzentrale map has incomplete analysis or there are conflicting data. Another case on Aug 28 of 1883 has an obvious map error incorporated near the NHC reported position of another decaying hurricane. Maps before 1890 do not show anything but tracks so there is no idea of intensity.
Then for the two more recent events, go to this series and set the dates for September 17, 1950 and September 24, 1957.
These maps are set to 00z ... I verified the time switch from the older series to the newer series by comparing maps for the overlapping time period 1948-50 where it's clearly evident from strong lows that the older maps are for 12z on dates shown.
The 1950 case is very similar to Debbie, actually -- it was the remnants of the D storm, names had just been introduced and they were using morse code so this was remnants of Hurricane Dog, and look how strong it is on the map near Donegal at 00z 17 Sep 50. This storm followed a strong mid-latitude cyclone as you can see by going back (zuruck) a day or two. Would be interesting to see the wind reports from Belmullet and Malin Head in association with this storm.
The 1957 remnants of Carrie bounced off the south coast thanks to a high over Scotland and then this storm died out over France. I would imagine there was a heavy rainfall in southern counties from this event.
A personal thing but I often wonder (well, actually, I don't..) about the 'great' october storm that hit the south of the uk in 1987. Was it, as an actual storm, that great? Of course, hitting such a highly populated area it would have gained some momentum but it is nothing that does not occur say in Scotland at least 3 or 4 times every autumn, winter etc. Had the same storm hit Western scotland, for example, would it have gone down in history as much as much as it did?
DE, you've got a valid point there, but the Oct 1987 storm had the additional component of a thunderstorm squall line which would not have developed in the similar quadrant of the storm further north, although it would have been extremely windy anyway. It was the thunderstorm squall line and the wind rush behind it that did all the damage to forests and buildings in the 1987 storm. Probably something similar happened in the Daniel Defoe storm in 1703.
I wonder where the "great storm" of January 1839 originated, probably over the central Atlantic somewhere, and it could have had subtropical origins, early January is the very tail end of hurricane season.