Handicap is +/-160 now
I do think it'll be a lot closer than many think and that McCain +160 is good value
Mc Cain is now 11/1 with betfair
I think going with McCain on the 160 handicap looks interesting. Just playing around with the electoral map on CNN even giving Obama Florida, which i think he will get, as well as Montana and Indiana, and if the leaning states remain leaning in the same way as is current and McCain can take Ohio, where he is marginally ahead in polling, that will still be enough to cover the handicap.
EDIT: On second thoughts if i think winning Ohio will determine the handicap result i may be better off just backing McCain at 7/2 to win Ohio.
Democrats under 369.5 electoral votes is 4/9 on Bet 365
Yeah I took a bit of that yesterday (though slightly later so I got 21/2) - think that was quite overpriced.
Available at 17.5 now (33/2) for anyone who's interested.
Value I got him at 5/1 anyone to buy my bet?
McCain out to 19.0 on Betfair.
can we still back Obama
Well technically he's only President-elect but the market seems to have closed...
However, Betfair already have the 2012 market open for the truly hardcore
Margin was greater than 160 votes.
How can someone who has only 5% less of the vote lose by twice as many electoral votes???? Damn electoral system!
Winner takes all is the way forward...
So much for my inkling on McCain taking Ohio. Should of known the odds were too good to be true. My last delve into political betting for a while methinks.
The popular vote is always close.
In relative terms, 5% is huge, even more so for a Dem.
Many past winners had <50% due to a small % going elsewhere, 3rd candidates etc
Anyway, ship the monies,
had the loot on Obama +handicap on betfair, 1.4
only ot paid today or last night