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01-06-2012, 00:19   #31
meglome
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I'll have to admit given the sea of poop on this treaty I have never been sure of a Yes. I'm still thinking 57:43 no, though I hope I'm wrong.

And me a big Yes whore
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01-06-2012, 00:35   #32
Tarzann
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52-48 to NO.
Bit of a swing on betfair throughout the day, however YES remains the favourite
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01-06-2012, 00:38   #33
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Euro news at 12.30pm starts there news bulletin with "Ireland says yes"
Have they counted them all already and not told us ?
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01-06-2012, 00:42   #34
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I think this is lazy journalism by international news agencies before the count has even started.

There was a FG exit poll to Lisbon 2 and it was 52-48 in favour. That was 15% less than the yes vote actually got. So even if an exit poll existed, it would be extremely dubious to take it as the result.
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01-06-2012, 00:50   #35
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70:30 Yes. It seems to me that a lot of people are voting Yes just to go against Sinn Fėin's preferred result. Well, there are worse reasons for voting a given way.

Last edited by Wereghost; 01-06-2012 at 00:52.
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01-06-2012, 00:52   #36
Pompey Magnus
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I'm guessing 59-41 to Yes.
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01-06-2012, 00:55   #37
A_Sober_Paddy
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Turnout 43%

Yes 41
No 59
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01-06-2012, 00:57   #38
Trhiggy83
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Everyone i have been talking too has voted no, i think it will be a lot closer than people think... Ill go 50% yes and 50% no
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01-06-2012, 00:59   #39
Red Crow
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Yes - 58%
No - 42%

I'd say that is the lowest it will be. From talking to friends and people inside my constituency more people said they were voting 'NO' but it was more likely that most of those people wouldn't show up.
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01-06-2012, 01:02   #40
K-9
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46% national turnout.

54% Yes

46% No.
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01-06-2012, 01:35   #41
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I'm hoping No but I think the Yes will take it 56 - 44 or so.

Even though I think the Yes side will win I can't believe the Tony Connelly poll that the Yes side got over 60%. To begin with it would go against all precedent - a low turnout (which has always favoured No voters on EU treaties), the tendency of opinion polls to underestimate No support and the late in the day decision of Richard Boyd Barrett to back the No side. If Connelly's poll is right the No vote actually lost support compared with just a week ago.
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01-06-2012, 01:36   #42
JONJO THE MISER
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Yes 59 No 41.
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01-06-2012, 01:45   #43
meglome
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Originally Posted by RossNolan View Post
...the tendency of opinion polls to underestimate No support and the late in the day decision of Richard Boyd Barrett to back the No side. If Connelly's poll is right the No vote actually lost support compared with just a week ago.
You really think Richard Boyd-Barrett is a bonus to the no side? Normally when he says something I almost automatically assume the opposite.
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01-06-2012, 09:02   #44
Happyman42
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Normally when he says something I almost automatically assume the opposite.

Three words that say why you should start listening to people on the left.....Dublin Docklands Authority.
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01-06-2012, 09:07   #45
PopeBuckfastXVI
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Quote:
Originally Posted by meglome View Post
Normally when he says something I almost automatically assume the opposite.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Happyman42 View Post
Three words that say why you should start listening to people on the left.....Dublin Docklands Authority.
Here's a thing. I agree with Richard Boyd Barrett when he talks about the Iraq war, because he is holding the same position as me. I disagree when he talks about the EU, because he holds an opposite position to me. Funny how that works. Mind you life would be much simpler, and so would I, if I just said things like X says A so the right answer MUST be B, or vice versa, all the time.
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