spain in the euros

Its your money. What odds are you getting? What are the min odds you would have backed them at? Who will be their starting center forward?

To qualify from the group is a massive odds-on bet, 1/9 with Paddy Power.

In the second round, they're likely to face either England or France (possibly Sweden, maybe even Ukraine). Depending on which of the four they get, their match odds would be anywhere from 1/3 to evens I'd imagine.

In a semi-final then, it would more than likely mix one of the sides from Group B (Holland, Germany or Portugal) where you would imagine the odds would again be just the short side of evens.

And in a final, depends on who they're playing again, but they would have to be odds-on favourites having got that far.

So you're looking at 1/9 to qualify from the group, say 2/3 from the q/final, 5/7 from the s/final and 4/5 to win the final. Combine the four and it works out at just under 5/1. They'd need to be less than 1/2 in the quarters and semi's to justify a price of 5/2 outright.

The reason they will be 5/2 with almost every bookies is that every man, woman and child will be backing them after the World Cup performance and the dominance of Spanish clubs in Europe lately. But the trouble with knockout tournaments, and Spain know it all too well, is that one bad or unlucky performance and you're out.

They are rightly favourites, and if my life depended on it I would look no further, but 5/2 seems a tad short to me.

MrJoeSoap wrote: »

To qualify from the group is a massive odds-on bet, 1/9 with Paddy Power.

In the second round, they're likely to face either England or France (possibly Sweden, maybe even Ukraine). Depending on which of the four they get, their match odds would be anywhere from 1/3 to evens I'd imagine.

In a semi-final then, it would more than likely mix one of the sides from Group B (Holland, Germany or Portugal) where you would imagine the odds would again be just the short side of evens.

And in a final, depends on who they're playing again, but they would have to be odds-on favourites having got that far.

So you're looking at 1/9 to qualify from the group, say 2/3 from the q/final, 5/7 from the s/final and 4/5 to win the final. Combine the four and it works out at just under 5/1. They'd need to be less than 1/2 in the quarters and semi's to justify a price of 5/2 outright.

The reason they will be 5/2 with almost every bookies is that every man, woman and child will be backing them after the World Cup performance and the dominance of Spanish clubs in Europe lately. But the trouble with knockout tournaments, and Spain know it all too well, is that one bad or unlucky performance and you're out.

They are rightly favourites, and if my life depended on it I would look no further, but 5/2 seems a tad short to me.

I would say your odds are on the generous side there. Against England or Sweden I would say 1/3 tops to qualify for semis (forgetting about 90 mins betting). France maybe 1/2 but that would be top price. Semis against Germany or Holland, maybe 4/6 and probably the same in final. Maybe even lower. At those odds an accum would be slightly over 7/2 but that's if you can get those prices which I feel are even optimistic. 5/2 is a fair price IMO but not for me.