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Iancar29 · 13-03-2012, 12:59

Thought i'd get this one started off.

Current model runs showing some slight potential for a view rumblies on Sunday [ MOTHER'S DAY ! ] .. Fairly far out yet still but will be interesting to see how it unfolds

Cape values varie with some models showing up some tasty 400j/kg !

But Then some more lower values too ..

Lifted index ( the trigger mechanism ) is alright with some negative values in the NW.

And the South later on in the afternoon..

So ye, one to keep an eye on folks!

skipz · 14-03-2012, 09:27

This is more like it, never mind that snow lark

**Redsunset** · 15-03-2012, 09:57

St Patrick' s day is looking like becoming somewhat of a washout for many. There will be alot of parades around the country and some heavy thunder showers could be in the mix. Latest spanish hirlam suggest low pressure coming in to the west bringing lots of unpleasantness in the form of rain/hail.

Canadian model looking similar

There is still model uncertainty but whatever way we look at it, expect much cooler and wet conditions.

Iancar29 · 15-03-2012, 12:55

Yeah looks like Sunday's potential has now moved to Saturday with the south as mentioned most at risk for any thundery showers.But still heavy showers elsewhere too .

Would be funny though... if this was to somehow UPGRADE Considerably what would they do for like the parades?... i know its a very very low chance , but the thought of it alone is interesting. Would they risk safety right up to when they hear thunder? ... hmmmmmm

**Redsunset** · 15-03-2012, 20:16

Could be a very interesting day bar no downgrades of course. Hail watchers at the ready.

Iancar29 · 15-03-2012, 20:40

Quote:

Originally Posted by redsunset

Could be a very interesting day bar no downgrades of course. Hail watchers at the ready.

Feck it anyways!.... now i wish i had the day off work!!! ... Typical!

ITs looking interesting indeed, shall look forward to what Rte hav to say now... ill go for them saying.. " St.Patricks day will be very unsettled , with some heavy showers in places , with even some hail showers too . " THey wont scare us all with the thought of some thunder on a National holiday such as Paddys day! ha

**Redsunset** · 16-03-2012, 04:07

Holding strong, if anything a slight upgrade, question is will it be gone in next run

Headlines

St Patrick's Day Thunderstorms create dazzling display parading across Ireland.

Iancar29 · 16-03-2012, 12:55

I Dont know what to make of this buts its kinda scary! ha
HOpefully its the potential thundery showers!

Iancar29 · 16-03-2012, 22:40

THEY MUST BE WATCHING US!! haaha!
NOt a MENTION of Thundery showers only now...

Met Éireann:
St. Patrick's Day will start cold and sunny and while sunny spells will continue through the day there will be some heavy rain or hail showers as well scattered across the country with a risk of isolated thundery downpours. Highest temperatures 6 to 9 degrees in light breezes.

HOpefully now we dont ALL end up being wrong! ha

But seriously..... parades..... lightning?.... not a good mix... :/

**Redsunset** · 17-03-2012, 00:44

Tell you what, I think tomorrow has the makings of right good downpours across the southern part of the country then pushing into the Midlands and east which are capable of spot flooding in most intense cloudbursts. Parades could be disrupted so I'm whipping out the Warning Sign.

Iancar29 · 17-03-2012, 10:22

Looks like every is moving quite slow ,

Most of the potential along the south coast for the time being but as the day progresses, if enough land heating occurs , showers go grow further while moving easterly then..

Im off to works so ill shall be keep a close eye on the radar throughout the day.

HAPPY PADDYs DAY EVERYONE ... HAV A GOOD ONE!

highdef · 17-03-2012, 11:17

Very heavy shower slow moving over the Leixlip/Celbridge and also clipping the Maynooth area, according to net weather radar which is showing oranges reds and pinks. Looking out my window in the direction and the sky is jet black. Seems to be moving very very slowly northwards. Can anyone out that way confirm some action?

MiNdGaM3 · 17-03-2012, 11:22

The predicted skew t for Dublin.
Cape of 329J

Jake1 · 17-03-2012, 11:35

Quote:

Originally Posted by highdef

Very heavy shower slow moving over the Leixlip/Celbridge and also clipping the Maynooth area, according to net weather radar which is showing oranges reds and pinks. Looking out my window in the direction and the sky is jet black. Seems to be moving very very slowly northwards. Can anyone out that way confirm some action?

its bucketing down here, parts of my garden are white from the hail. Was extremely heavy

Didnt think it was possible, but coming down heavier, lots of hail.

blackius · 17-03-2012, 11:51

Very heavy hail sw of arklow, ongoing for 25 mins or so.
Flat calm and it doesn't look like wanting to clear in a hurry.
Saw plenty Cb's while this was coming in.
Pretty dark!

13-03-2012, 12:59	#1
Iancar29 Registered User Join Date: Jan 2009 Location: N Dublin -66m Asl Posts: 3,485 Adverts \| Friends	Thunderstorm/Convective Watch - Spring/Summer 2012 Thought i'd get this one started off. Current model runs showing some slight potential for a view rumblies on Sunday [ MOTHER'S DAY ! ] .. Fairly far out yet still but will be interesting to see how it unfolds Cape values varie with some models showing up some tasty 400j/kg ! But Then some more lower values too .. Lifted index ( the trigger mechanism ) is alright with some negative values in the NW. And the South later on in the afternoon.. So ye, one to keep an eye on folks! Last edited by Weathercheck; 28-04-2012 at 05:43.

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14-03-2012, 09:27	#2
skipz Registered User Join Date: May 2009 Location: Who knows?? Posts: 631 Adverts \| Friends	This is more like it, never mind that snow lark

15-03-2012, 09:57	#3
Redsunset Moderator Join Date: Nov 2008 Location: East Laois [75m] Close to Oak Park Met Station Posts: 2,595 Adverts \| Friends Mod: Weather	St Patrick' s day is looking like becoming somewhat of a washout for many. There will be alot of parades around the country and some heavy thunder showers could be in the mix. Latest spanish hirlam suggest low pressure coming in to the west bringing lots of unpleasantness in the form of rain/hail. Canadian model looking similar There is still model uncertainty but whatever way we look at it, expect much cooler and wet conditions.

15-03-2012, 20:16	#5
Redsunset Moderator Join Date: Nov 2008 Location: East Laois [75m] Close to Oak Park Met Station Posts: 2,595 Adverts \| Friends Mod: Weather	Could be a very interesting day bar no downgrades of course. Hail watchers at the ready.

16-03-2012, 04:07	#7
Redsunset Moderator Join Date: Nov 2008 Location: East Laois [75m] Close to Oak Park Met Station Posts: 2,595 Adverts \| Friends Mod: Weather	Holding strong, if anything a slight upgrade, question is will it be gone in next run Headlines St Patrick's Day Thunderstorms create dazzling display parading across Ireland.

16-03-2012, 22:40	#9
Iancar29 Registered User Join Date: Jan 2009 Location: N Dublin -66m Asl Posts: 3,485 Adverts \| Friends	THEY MUST BE WATCHING US!! haaha! NOt a MENTION of Thundery showers only now... Met Éireann: St. Patrick's Day will start cold and sunny and while sunny spells will continue through the day there will be some heavy rain or hail showers as well scattered across the country with a risk of isolated thundery downpours. Highest temperatures 6 to 9 degrees in light breezes. HOpefully now we dont ALL end up being wrong! ha But seriously..... parades..... lightning?.... not a good mix... :/

17-03-2012, 10:22	#11
Iancar29 Registered User Join Date: Jan 2009 Location: N Dublin -66m Asl Posts: 3,485 Adverts \| Friends	Looks like every is moving quite slow , Most of the potential along the south coast for the time being but as the day progresses, if enough land heating occurs , showers go grow further while moving easterly then.. Im off to works so ill shall be keep a close eye on the radar throughout the day. HAPPY PADDYs DAY EVERYONE ... HAV A GOOD ONE!

17-03-2012, 11:17	#12
highdef Registered User Join Date: Oct 2003 Location: North Kildare Posts: 1,329 Adverts \| Friends	Very heavy shower slow moving over the Leixlip/Celbridge and also clipping the Maynooth area, according to net weather radar which is showing oranges reds and pinks. Looking out my window in the direction and the sky is jet black. Seems to be moving very very slowly northwards. Can anyone out that way confirm some action?

17-03-2012, 11:51	#15
blackius Closed Account Join Date: Nov 2011 Posts: 457 Adverts \| Friends	Very heavy hail sw of arklow, ongoing for 25 mins or so. Flat calm and it doesn't look like wanting to clear in a hurry. Saw plenty Cb's while this was coming in. Pretty dark!