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30-01-2012, 18:54   #1
Wishful Thinking
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Six Nations 2012

I see no thread started yet on the biggest & best events

What's peoples thoughts?

Ireland have been cut from 6/1 to a best price 9/2 after the provinces great displays recently.

Before people call me a patriotic mug I have only ever backed Ireland twice outright in my life for six nations

2007 when they were the bounce of a ball away & 2009 albeit after they beat France

And now I have done it again at 11/2.

I know they are missing BOD but they are in great shape everywhere else & kidney is obv not in blooding youth this year. He wants to win it outright to get a top seed in Decembers world cup draw & the lions job

We're meeting Wales at the right time(they're plagued with injuries) & even a defeat to France in Paris, France have to finish in Cardiff & will lose to a Qelsh side at full strength then

No great value spotted in top tryscorer market, fergus McFadden maybe at 66/1 if he got the start against Wales

Verdict
Ireland outright
No grand slam winner
England an interest bet for wooden spoon
Fergus McFadden top tryscorer at 66/1
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30-01-2012, 18:57   #2
ft9
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France I think have Ireland and England in Paris.

I would find it hard to bet against them, very hard to beat in Paris.
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30-01-2012, 22:52   #3
the groutch
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every year the draw suits one specific country, this year it's France's turn.
home againt England, Ireland, and Italy.
if they rack up a big total against Italy, they could have it in the bag before they even get to Cardiff.
even at 6/4 they are overpriced imo.
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31-01-2012, 22:26   #4
myflipflops
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Bets so far:

Ireland for the Triple Crown at 9/2 with Centrebet.
Ireland -3 against Wales at 10/11

Coinsidering France from the Grand Slam if i can get 9/2 on Betfair.

Last edited by myflipflops; 01-02-2012 at 04:37.
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31-01-2012, 23:24   #5
Wishful Thinking
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Originally Posted by myflipflops View Post
Bets so far:

Ireland for the Triple Crown at 9/2 with Centrebet.
Ireland -3 against Wales at 10/11

Coinsidering France from the Grand Slam if i can get 9/ on Betfair.
That 9/2 looks a fair bet

4/7 to beat Wales
1/3 to beat Scotland
& depending what shape England are in by the last round but they've only beaten us once in 8 years & we can't lose to them on Paddies day, fair bet
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01-02-2012, 09:54   #6
BQQ
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Wishful Thinking View Post
Ireland have been cut from 6/1 to a best price 9/2 after the provinces great displays recently.


We're meeting Wales at the right time(they're plagued with injuries) & even a defeat to France in Paris, France have to finish in Cardiff & will lose to a Qelsh side at full strength then
Agree that Ireland were overpriced at 6/1. Price looks about right, now.

Don't know why you think Wales will be at full strength when they play France. At the end of a 6 nations campaign, it's more likely that both sides will have injuries. France have more depth and can cope better, if that's the case.

Looking at the team StAndre has picked, it looks like a French slam. Ireland look like the only threat and, given our record in Paris, quite a minor threat.


Despite their improvement, Italy are still the worst team in the 6 nations.
Another wooden spoon for their collection.

Last edited by BQQ; 01-02-2012 at 17:05.
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01-02-2012, 20:30   #7
Wishful Thinking
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Wishful Thinking View Post
Ireland have been cut from 6/1 to a best price 9/2 after the provinces great displays recently.


We're meeting Wales at the right time(they're plagued with injuries) & even a defeat to France in Paris, France have to finish in Cardiff & will lose to a Qelsh side at full strength then
Agree that Ireland were overpriced at 6/1. Price looks about right, now.

Don't know why you think Wales will be at full strength when they play France. At the end of a 6 nations campaign, it's more likely that both sides will have injuries. France have more depth and can cope better, if that's the case.

Looking at the team StAndre has picked, it looks like a French slam. Ireland look like the only threat and, given our record in Paris, quite a minor threat.


Despite their improvement, Italy are still the worst team in the 6 nations.
Another wooden spoon for their collection.

I could be wrong but I think Roberts, lydiate, Rees, Priestland et all will be just back and will have one or two games under their belts & will be looking to end the campaign on a high

If Wales beat us on Sunday, they should be FAV's outright afterwards
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02-02-2012, 13:38   #8
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I could be wrong but I think Roberts, lydiate, Rees, Priestland et all will be just back and will have one or two games under their belts & will be looking to end the campaign on a high

If Wales beat us on Sunday, they should be FAV's outright afterwards
I really think you are very very much over estimating Wales, they are ordinary, one demensional, predictable and lack depth.
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02-02-2012, 17:06   #9
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I'm on the Enhanced Priced Setantabet Specials

Ireland, France and Scotland all to win @ 7/2

According to their Twitter, its an "industry best price". Paddy is 5/2 on the same I think.

Can't believe Scotland aren't shorter TBH!
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02-02-2012, 20:34   #10
myflipflops
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Originally Posted by thebison View Post
I'm on the Enhanced Priced Setantabet Specials

Ireland, France and Scotland all to win @ 7/2

According to their Twitter, its an "industry best price". Paddy is 5/2 on the same I think.

Can't believe Scotland aren't shorter TBH!
That's a big price alright. Any idea what the max bet is? You could only bet to win 300 euro on their World Cup handicaps.
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02-02-2012, 20:51   #11
Canyon86
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the paddy power handicap of ireland -3,england-3,france-21 aint bad?

just under 6/1!

Any opinons?

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02-02-2012, 21:15   #12
myflipflops
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the paddy power handicap of ireland -3,england-3,france-21 aint bad?

just under 6/1!

Any opinons?

They are Ireland -5.
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02-02-2012, 22:57   #13
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Cheers for the heads up, that's a great bet for the weekend.

Quote:
Originally Posted by thebison View Post
I'm on the Enhanced Priced Setantabet Specials

Ireland, France and Scotland all to win @ 7/2

According to their Twitter, its an "industry best price". Paddy is 5/2 on the same I think.

Can't believe Scotland aren't shorter TBH!
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02-02-2012, 23:05   #14
Wishful Thinking
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Reading rugby world, listening to loads of podcasts and every man & his dog is tipping Scotland to beat England

This was my initial opinion as well but I'm starting to worry myself when the whole world seems to think the same & wonder has any semblance of value gone from Scotland or is the fact everybody tipping them to win& they're odds against make them a cracking bet

I know the stats etc( not lost since 04 at home) but did you even the T Shirt mess up could play into Englands hands & the pressure if been expected to win won't sit well in Scottish shoulders
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03-02-2012, 09:54   #15
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Ireland to beat Wales and Scotland and lump the winnings on France to win overall at whatever price is available!

#jobdone!
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