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**Mellor** · 03-11-2008, 10:11

Handicap is +/-160 now

christeb · 03-11-2008, 11:48

I do think it'll be a lot closer than many think and that McCain +160 is good value

rarnes1 · 03-11-2008, 17:55

Mc Cain is now 11/1 with betfair

dsmythy · 03-11-2008, 18:19

I think going with McCain on the 160 handicap looks interesting. Just playing around with the electoral map on CNN even giving Obama Florida, which i think he will get, as well as Montana and Indiana, and if the leaning states remain leaning in the same way as is current and McCain can take Ohio, where he is marginally ahead in polling, that will still be enough to cover the handicap.

EDIT: On second thoughts if i think winning Ohio will determine the handicap result i may be better off just backing McCain at 7/2 to win Ohio.

Juan Pablo · 03-11-2008, 23:28

Democrats under 369.5 electoral votes is 4/9 on Bet 365

yahoo_moe · 04-11-2008, 10:56

Quote:

Originally Posted by rarnes1

Mc Cain is now 11/1 with betfair

Yeah I took a bit of that yesterday (though slightly later so I got 21/2) - think that was quite overpriced.

Available at 17.5 now (33/2) for anyone who's interested.

patmac · 04-11-2008, 16:21

Quote:

Originally Posted by yahoo_moe

Yeah I took a bit of that yesterday (though slightly later so I got 21/2) - think that was quite overpriced.

Available at 17.5 now (33/2) for anyone who's interested.

Value I got him at 5/1 anyone to buy my bet?

Mezcita · 04-11-2008, 19:08

McCain out to 19.0 on Betfair.

barney85 · 05-11-2008, 09:27

can we still back Obama

yahoo_moe · 05-11-2008, 14:59

Well technically he's only President-elect but the market seems to have closed...

However, Betfair already have the 2012 market open for the truly hardcore

christeb · 05-11-2008, 15:03

Margin was greater than 160 votes.

How can someone who has only 5% less of the vote lose by twice as many electoral votes???? Damn electoral system!

Dodge · 05-11-2008, 15:13

Quote:

Originally Posted by christeb

Margin was greater than 160 votes.

How can someone who has only 5% less of the vote lose by twice as many electoral votes???? Damn electoral system!

Winner takes all is the way forward...

dsmythy · 05-11-2008, 19:31

So much for my inkling on McCain taking Ohio. Should of known the odds were too good to be true. My last delve into political betting for a while methinks.

**Mellor** · 07-11-2008, 15:01

Quote:

Originally Posted by christeb

Margin was greater than 160 votes.

How can someone who has only 5% less of the vote lose by twice as many electoral votes???? Damn electoral system!

The popular vote is always close.
In relative terms, 5% is huge, even more so for a Dem.

Many past winners had <50% due to a small % going elsewhere, 3rd candidates etc

Anyway, ship the monies,
had the loot on Obama +handicap on betfair, 1.4
only ot paid today or last night

03-11-2008, 18:19	#64
dsmythy Registered User Join Date: Jun 2006 Location: DUB Posts: 5,975 Adverts \| Friends	I think going with McCain on the 160 handicap looks interesting. Just playing around with the electoral map on CNN even giving Obama Florida, which i think he will get, as well as Montana and Indiana, and if the leaning states remain leaning in the same way as is current and McCain can take Ohio, where he is marginally ahead in polling, that will still be enough to cover the handicap. EDIT: On second thoughts if i think winning Ohio will determine the handicap result i may be better off just backing McCain at 7/2 to win Ohio. Last edited by dsmythy; 03-11-2008 at 18:25.

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03-11-2008, 10:11	#61
Mellor Moderator Join Date: May 2006 Location: Sydney Posts: 19,497 Adverts \| Friends Mod: Construction & Planning, Construction & Planning Mods	Handicap is +/-160 now

03-11-2008, 11:48	#62
christeb Registered User Join Date: Mar 2005 Location: Dublin 5 Posts: 2,247 Adverts \| Friends	I do think it'll be a lot closer than many think and that McCain +160 is good value

03-11-2008, 17:55	#63
rarnes1 Registered User Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 19,135 Adverts \| Friends	Mc Cain is now 11/1 with betfair

03-11-2008, 23:28	#65
Juan Pablo Registered User Join Date: Jun 2004 Location: Laois Posts: 1,344 Adverts \| Friends	Democrats under 369.5 electoral votes is 4/9 on Bet 365

04-11-2008, 19:08	#68
Mezcita Registered User Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 1,436 Adverts \| Friends	McCain out to 19.0 on Betfair.

05-11-2008, 09:27	#69
barney85 Registered User Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 33 Adverts \| Friends	can we still back Obama

05-11-2008, 14:59	#70
yahoo_moe Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 2,391 Adverts \| Friends	Well technically he's only President-elect but the market seems to have closed... However, Betfair already have the 2012 market open for the truly hardcore

05-11-2008, 15:03	#71
christeb Registered User Join Date: Mar 2005 Location: Dublin 5 Posts: 2,247 Adverts \| Friends	Margin was greater than 160 votes. How can someone who has only 5% less of the vote lose by twice as many electoral votes???? Damn electoral system!

05-11-2008, 19:31	#73
dsmythy Registered User Join Date: Jun 2006 Location: DUB Posts: 5,975 Adverts \| Friends	So much for my inkling on McCain taking Ohio. Should of known the odds were too good to be true. My last delve into political betting for a while methinks.