[todolist]

McCain is 11/4 to win the Presidency with Power and Ladbrokes.In a two horse race that's amazing odds.McCain has a great chance of winning.I believe he will close the gap on Obama and win the Presidency.Get on now!

[Bluetonic]

The price is 10/3 in Lad & PP.

It's far from as simple as saying it's a two horse race, how simplistic.

[Ace2007]

there are 2 canidates - how is it not as simple... its a 50/50 and ur getting 11/4 on ur money...

[kryogen]

if an election was held today the republicans would win, i can tell you that as someone who has lots of family and friends stateside......

there is the feeling that obama may win the country over before the election but as it stands he is apparently in the second place in the race

as i said, this is what i hear from my people on the other side of the pond

without getting too political, i was wondering why everyone i meet in ireland wants obama to win? he will be doing more harm to ireland then mccain

[ArmaniJeanss]

Originally Posted by kryogen

if an election was held today the republicans would win, i can tell you that as someone who has lots of family and friends stateside......

It depends where they live really as to whether thats of any relevance.
There are a huge percentage of Americans who always vote Red or Blue regardless of who the candidates are, such that some states have voted the same way in the last 6+ elections, so much so that those states are rarely even contested by the other candidate.
The election is effectively decided by a few million swing voters in maybe a dozen swing states. (Ironically Hillary did better than Obama in the primaries in those states).

I agree that McCain would be marginally the better result for Ireland PLC, but in the bigger picture I think most see that the world just might be a better place long term if Obama wins.

Edit:
ToDoList = Ace2007 by the way.
http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showp...ostcount=33776

[kryogen]

My connections with the states are located in

Miami, Vermont, Boston, San Fran and new york and chicago.... its a decent enough mix in fairness

i think we bettter get back to betting or it will be moved to politics! nobody wants that

what price is Ron Paul lol



just cheked the PP website, the price on mccain +110 electoral votes, 5/6 get on

[Oshare Bones]

That seems like a very good price for mccain, 10/3 . Seems they are basing the price on current opinion polls or something. They might say they will but I still don't believe americans will vote a black president in. kryogen which of obama's policies would negatively affect ireland?

[kryogen]

Originally Posted by Oshare Bones

That seems like a very good price for mccain, 10/3 . Seems they are basing the price on current opinion polls or something. They might say they will but I still don't believe americans will vote a black president in. kryogen which of obama's policies would negatively affect ireland?

To name one, its his policy to stop sending money oevrseas, he wants to bring all the big corporations home to create more jobs for americans and stop outsourcing, this wil hurt the irish economy...hope i explained that right, im not the best with words, if you look into his policies yourself you will see how his will affect other countries, good and bad

[Zebra3]

Originally Posted by todolist

McCain is 11/4 to win the Presidency with Power and Ladbrokes.In a two horse race that's amazing odds.McCain has a great chance of winning.I believe he will close the gap on Obama and win the Presidency.Get on now!

Considering his party have stolen the last two elections that's fantastic odds.

[badbrian]

Originally Posted by Ace2007

there are 2 canidates - how is it not as simple... its a 50/50 and ur getting 11/4 on ur money...

While yes there are only 2 candidates it is not 50/50. 50/50 would suggest each has an equal chance and this is clearly not the case if Obama is well clear in the polls.
I have backed Obama at odds against and while I could easily guarantee a profit by backing McCain I don't feel he has a realistic chance. But you pays your money and you take your chances.

[Dodge]

There are more than 2 candidates lads. If you're going to bet, do your research. Nobody rememember the significant votes Ralph Nader got in previous elections? There might only be two with realistic chances of winning but still

Oh and can we keep the political stuff out of this forum please? Stick to the gambling

[dsmythy]

The latest polls have Obama 100 or so electoral votes ahead. He has the lead over McCain in various battle ground states. Overall he is considered to have come out better from the second debate last night. Unless Obama drops an incredibly large clanger or McCain digs out some juicy dirt he will win the election. That's what you're betting 10/3 for. Obama making a big mistake or McCain scoring a big win in the next debate.

The lead is too big to be "stolen" from him on polling day. He's 4-6 points ahead nationally. The Republicans have won the last two elections but in that time the U.S. has gone backwards. No current government is safe in these economic times and the Republicans were on watch in the lead up to today's crises. So the fact they've won the last two is pretty useless information as well.

I wouldn't back McCain at that price at the present time unless he went ahead in Ohio and i'm pretty sure i wouldn't back Obama either presuming his odds are protectively tight.

[todolist]

Can I just remind punters that the British Labour Party were 1/5 on favourites to beat the conservatives with only a week left in the 1992 British election campaign.Labour lead in all the opinion polles yet they lost.The same thing will happen to Obama.People are telling the pollsters that they'll vote for Obama but when they get into the voting booth they'll vote Republican.100/30 on John McCain is the bet of the year.I'm going to lump it on.

[Dodge]

Well, giving your previous record on these types of bets, I'm all in!

[ArmaniJeanss]

Originally Posted by todolist

Can I just remind punters that the British Labour Party were 1/5 on favourites to beat the conservatives with only a week left in the 1992 British election campaign.Labour lead in all the opinion poles yet they lost.The same thing will happen to Obama.People are telling the pollsters that they'll vote for Obama but when they get into the voting booth they'll vote Republican.100/30 on John McCain is the bet of the year.I'm going to lump it on.

Wow, so we shouldn't back a favourite because one got beaten in 1992

That was a very unique event though - Kinnock and Labour threw it away with a triumphalist Sheffield Rally.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sheffield_Rally
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8G8F-...eature=related