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Price Changes FPL 14/15 **Mod warning 1st post**

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13567…91

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    #62
    Lucas Hood
    Registered Users Posts: 7,205 ✭✭✭Lucas Hood


    frimpong wrote: »
    Siggy, Fabregas, Chester and Berahino all over over 100% and will rise tonight according to totalfpl.
    Sterling certain to join them too.


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    #63
    AdMMM
    Registered Users Posts: 9,472 ✭✭✭AdMMM


    Going to regret not bringing in Siggy before the rise I think. My worry was that I didn't have much faith in Monk as a manager, but he seems to know what he's doing and I think Siggy is in for a massive season with some cosy fixtures in the short term too.

    Had visions of going Mata -> Sterling and Shelvey -> Siggy and completely owning midfield for the season, but that ship has sailed now.


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    #64
    Dont be at yourself
    Registered Users Posts: 10,571 ✭✭✭✭Dont be at yourself


    Looks, like last year, that TotalFPL is most accurate. FISO had Davies to drop last night, but it didn't happen (thankfully!). Looks like we'll have a lot of changes tonight: Cesc, Siggy, Sterling, Chester and Berahino all going up.


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    #65
    Lucas Hood
    Registered Users Posts: 7,205 ✭✭✭Lucas Hood


    Dont be at yourself wrote: »
    Looks, like last year, that TotalFPL is most accurate. FISO had Davies to drop last night, but it didn't happen (thankfully!). Looks like we'll have a lot of changes tonight: Cesc, Siggy, Sterling, Chester and Berahino all going up.

    TotalFPL had to Barkley to drop last night and he didn't.


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    #66
    TaytoCrisps
    Registered Users Posts: 408 ✭✭TaytoCrisps


    As much as I don't want to loose money on Mata I'm going to keep him for another week or 2. .2mil is the cut off though. I can free up money downgrading Sanchez to Ramsey if needs be so not overly worried.

    I have no money at all spare which I don't like, It makes it so much harder to make changes when .1mil of a change can mess things up


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    #67
    hjkl
    Registered Users Posts: 469 ✭✭hjkl


    Lucas Hood wrote: »
    TotalFPL had to Barkley to drop last night and he didn't.
    That is because Barkley has to reach 250% to drop as he is red flagged. Totalfpl had his percentage right.


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    #68
    Lucas Hood
    Registered Users Posts: 7,205 ✭✭✭Lucas Hood


    frimpong wrote: »
    That is because Barkley has to reach 250% to drop as he is red flagged. Totalfpl had his percentage right.

    The 250% should have been already taken into account seen as he was red flagged.

    As I've said before none of them are reliable for the first week or 2.


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    #69
    PARlance
    Registered Users Posts: 21,093 ✭✭✭✭PARlance


    Lucas Hood wrote: »
    The 250% should have been already taken into account seen as he was red flagged.

    As I've said before none of them are reliable for the first week or 2.

    I think it's fairly clear that they haven't taken the 2.5X into account.
    He was was owned by 450,000 or so players to start.
    He is down to 320,000 or so now and is at 240%
    122,500 would have been the 2.5X number required.

    That's about right to me. They just haven't adjusted for the 2.5.


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    #70
    dahat
    Registered Users Posts: 16,631 ✭✭✭✭dahat


    Sterling on a rise tonight then.... Must resist taking a hit for Mata, must not take a hit.


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    #71
    Lucas Hood
    Registered Users Posts: 7,205 ✭✭✭Lucas Hood


    PARlance wrote: »
    I think it's fairly clear that they haven't taken the 2.5X into account.
    He was was owned by 450,000 or so players to start.
    He is down to 320,000 or so now and is at 240%
    122,500 would have been the 2.5X number required.

    That's about right to me. They just haven't adjusted for the 2.5.

    But we're to believe that Snodgrass, Naughton, Puncheon & Shaw are to drop tonight? they're red flagged also so? by your reckoning they'd have to reach 250% no? Barkley will drop tonight even if not one more person transfers him out and even though he's only 238% on totalfpl.


    You guys place too much weight in totalfpls reliability.


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    #72
    HighClass
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,675 ✭✭✭HighClass


    Mata dropping doesn't bother me that much. Brought in Chester yesterday so if he goes up it'll balance itself out.


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    #73
    Dont be at yourself
    Registered Users Posts: 10,571 ✭✭✭✭Dont be at yourself


    HighClass wrote: »
    Mata dropping doesn't bother me that much. Brought in Chester yesterday so if he goes up it'll balance itself out.

    Not entirely true, because you'll only be able to sell Chester at a profit if he gets a 0.2 rise.


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    #74
    qwabercd
    Registered Users Posts: 2,199 ✭✭✭qwabercd


    Very interesting..Siggy didn't rise tonight despite being on over 200% on totalfpl. Fab and a few others did rise. I wonder have they capped it to 0.1m rise a week this year? At the very least it seems like they've increased the threshold required for a second rise in the same week. Will have a big impact for price rise chasers.

    In a way it's annoying if they've changed it because it was a chance to get an edge over casual players. But in another way, the game should be about getting points and not price rises.


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    #75
    stiffler123
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,651 ✭✭✭stiffler123


    qwabercd wrote: »
    Very interesting..Siggy didn't rise tonight despite being on over 200% on totalfpl. Fab and a few others did rise. I wonder have they capped it to 0.1m rise a week this year? At the very least it seems like they've increased the threshold required for a second rise in the same week. Will have a big impact for price rise chasers.

    In a way it's annoying if they've changed it because it was a chance to get an edge over casual players. But in another way, the game should be about getting points and not price rises.

    My theory is TotalFPL figures were a little off and he wasn't quite at 200%. At least I hope so, otherwise this wildcard was a massive mistake.


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    #76
    G1032
    Registered Users Posts: 6,913 ✭✭✭G1032


    stiffler123 wrote: »
    My theory is TotalFPL figures were a little off and he wasn't quite at 200%. At least I hope so, otherwise this wildcard was a massive mistake.

    He should only have had to reach 100% to drop. This is a bit of a joke. It's clear, whatever his percentage, that a sh!t load of people transferred him in and his price didn't increase. If this is a new policy they have in place then my interest in this game will take a serious decline. Every Tom, Dick and Harry will have the same team if prices don't go up more than 0.1 in a week.


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    #77
    KevIRL
    Registered Users Posts: 39,498 ✭✭✭✭KevIRL


    Once again, the thresholds for rises and falls are only guesses at the moment as its so early in the season. The indicators on these sites can't be taken as even near gospel for a few weeks. No need for the omg the game is ruined over reaction.


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    #78
    KevIRL
    Registered Users Posts: 39,498 ✭✭✭✭KevIRL


    Also I wonder if they've gone back to the way of measuring NTI for multiple rises to what was there 3 yrs ago and more. If a player hit the NTI for a rise in a Gw then it was reset and double the NTI had to be hit for a second rise that GW.

    Eg say target NTI was 140k transfers and player hits it. He would have to get 280k new transfers to rise a second time that GW and so on

    Last few seasons it would just require 140k new transfers to get that second rise.

    Tis all guesswork anyway this early on in the season as fpl never release the formula used for price changes


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    #79
    bo-sco
    Registered Users Posts: 317 ✭✭bo-sco


    If multiple price rises are going to be significantly more difficult to attain in a week then there is much less rationale behind taking points hits to protect value.


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    #80
    roryc
    Registered Users Posts: 9,600 ✭✭✭roryc


    dahat wrote: »
    Sterling on a rise tonight then.... Must resist taking a hit for Mata, must not take a hit.

    Yeah I resisted. I'm sure I'll get Sterling in for GW4 but happy to stick with Mata for the next two weeks as he should outscore him. Not bothered if holding off costs a bit of cash. Sterling won't rise again this week and Mata will only go down £0.1m at most this week.


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    #81
    Lucas Hood
    Registered Users Posts: 7,205 ✭✭✭Lucas Hood


    They could have changed the rules from last season.

    Good idea keeping up with this thread http://www.fiso.co.uk/forum/crack-the-code-2014-15-the-fiso-guide-to-fpl-price-changes-t110979.html


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    #82
    dahat
    Registered Users Posts: 16,631 ✭✭✭✭dahat


    roryc wrote: »
    Yeah I resisted. I'm sure I'll get Sterling in for GW4 but happy to stick with Mata for the next two weeks as he should outscore him. Not bothered if holding off costs a bit of cash. Sterling won't rise again this week and Mata will only go down £0.1m at most this week.

    Made the same decision, definitely the right one.
    Mata should score well in at least one of the next two hopefully.


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    #83
    FHFC
    Registered Users Posts: 11,271 ✭✭✭✭FHFC


    Lucas Hood wrote: »
    They could have changed the rules from last season.

    Good idea keeping up with this thread http://www.fiso.co.uk/forum/crack-the-code-2014-15-the-fiso-guide-to-fpl-price-changes-t110979.html

    Exactly where I've just been having a look.:D

    All three sites have Siggy at between 212 and 214%. From the early discussion on the FISO forum it seems possible there has been a change in rules.

    As Bo-sco says, if so it could be fairly fundamental to how you approach transfers and team value. For example based on this so far Sterling is very unlikely to rise a second time, and if the change is carried through to price drops Mata may not drop twice. Major change for those of us debating that transfer on the Transfers thread.

    Personally I would not be in favour of such a rule change as currently if you are switched on you can gain much more value. It will surely heavily favour what we like to call 'casual players'.


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    #84
    FHFC
    Registered Users Posts: 11,271 ✭✭✭✭FHFC


    dahat wrote: »
    Made the same decision, definitely the right one.
    Mata should score well in at least one of the next two hopefully.

    Despite pints last night I also resisted, very glad now with this possible change in price rise rules.


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    #85
    El festino
    Registered Users Posts: 387 ✭✭El festino


    FHFC wrote: »
    Despite pints last night I also resisted, very glad now with this possible change in price rise rules.

    So I think there's a lesson here for us all.. If you are contemplating a transfer but really not sure if you should press the button, log off, go to nearest pub and consume 5 or 6 pints before returning back online to fantasy football :pac::pac:


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    #86
    OneColdHand
    Registered Users Posts: 4,254 ✭✭✭OneColdHand


    I fear I may have made the first mistake of the season (that didn't take long!).

    I now regret swapping Mata out for Sterling last night. If I'd known that they would only go up and down 0.1 respectively I would have waited it out, but was convinced there would be bigger price changes than that.

    Still a chance it might not backfire completely, but I think I will be regretting the decision by Monday evening.

    Fair play to those who resisted - your trigger fingers must not be as itchy as mine!


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    #87
    Oranage2
    Registered Users Posts: 11,131 ✭✭✭✭Oranage2


    OneColdHand wrote: »
    I fear I may have made the first mistake of the season (that didn't take long!).

    I now regret swapping Mata out for Sterling last night. If I'd known that they would only go up and down 0.1 respectively I would have waited it out, but was convinced there would be bigger price changes than that.

    Still a chance it might not backfire completely, but I think I will be regretting the decision by Monday evening.

    Fair play to those who resisted - your trigger fingers must not be as itchy as mine!

    Same, mata out siggy in, would have waited it out if I knew there wasn't gonna be a massive price change.

    Anyway not a disaster, I'm not convinced by united and now I've an extra 3 million to upgrade a striker to aguaro and/or sturidge when they become a must.


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    #88
    dahat
    Registered Users Posts: 16,631 ✭✭✭✭dahat


    These changes if correct will have a big impact on the WC in GW 3 as it will take a he'll of alot of moves to gain 0.3 from a player over the break.


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    #89
    roryc
    Registered Users Posts: 9,600 ✭✭✭roryc


    As much as I hope those that made the transfer early get burned, it does worry me about the season ahead. Building a big team kitty is one of the key skills in the game, giving us an advantage from Jan onwards when we have £5m+ more than casual players. If it's harder to build this kitty it makes the game a lot harder!


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    #90
    Lemlin
    Registered Users Posts: 22,249 ✭✭✭✭Lemlin


    OneColdHand wrote: »
    I fear I may have made the first mistake of the season (that didn't take long!).

    I now regret swapping Mata out for Sterling last night. If I'd known that they would only go up and down 0.1 respectively I would have waited it out, but was convinced there would be bigger price changes than that.

    Still a chance it might not backfire completely, but I think I will be regretting the decision by Monday evening.

    Fair play to those who resisted - your trigger fingers must not be as itchy as mine!

    That 0.1 can make a big difference though. If you've no money in the bank and hold Mata, after his drop it'll be impossible to swap him for the likes of Ramsey or Silva if they perform and you don't have them.

    I'm happy to take the risk and will bring Mata back in next week for Burnley if needed.


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    #91
    OneColdHand
    Registered Users Posts: 4,254 ✭✭✭OneColdHand


    Lemlin wrote: »
    That 0.1 can make a big difference though. If you've no money in the bank and hold Mata, after his drop it'll be impossible to swap him for the likes of Ramsey or Silva if they perform and you don't have them.

    I'm happy to take the risk and will bring Mata back in next week for Burnley if needed.

    Yeah I'm feeling less bad about it since reading your posts.

    There are some positives:
    1. I'll save some money.
    2. I have some Liverpool coverage going forward which I feel I should have in the long term.


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