Afternoon all, lovely weather and I'm inside researching and writing this post up
I really cannot wait for this event!!
-> JDS vs. Mir - JDS win in round 1, 6/5 (Paddy Power).
-> Confidence - 7.5/10.
-> Stake - 10 points.
The title fight will see Cigano take on Frank Mir in what took a very unexpected turn of events. Junior was scheduled to be defending his HW title against the much hyped Alastair (Overroid ) Overeem following his impressive first round win over Brock Lesnar at UFC 140 just before New Year's. Overeem was drug tested at the press conference for this event and his Testosterone:Epitestosterone ratio was determined to be 14:1, far past the NSAC limit of 6:1 and further again from the WADA (Olympic) limit of 4:1.
After much speculation and rumours Mir was eventually confirmed as being the challenger for the title, following his impressive kimora over Big Nog; Interesting to note Big Nog's only losses by KO and submission came from Mir. During that match Mir was getting rocked pretty hard by Nogueira's punches during round one before his eventual submission win in the second round.
JDS has arguably the best boxing in the UFC with 71% of his 14 wins coming from KO/TKO. Frank hasn't got the best stand up relative to JDS and with all of his 5 losses coming from KO/TKOs and I can't see anything past a JDS win via KO, which is a meagre 4/11. For some value I'm looking for a JDS first round win @ 6/5.
(sorry for the quality)
-> Cain Velasquez - Win via KO/TKO - 4/6 (Paddy Power).
-> Confidence - 7/10.
-> Stake - 7.5 points.
The former HW champion Cain will be looking to come back from a title loss to JDS with an impressive win.
Cain loves KO's.
No further info needed really
-> Roy Nelson - Win - 2/5 (Paddy Power).
-> Confidence - 8/10.
-> Stake - 10 points.
If you don't mind going on odds this low, then this is my banker. Roy Nelson while coming off of 3 losses in his last 4 fights against Werdum, Mir and JDS respectively has a chin of absolute concrete (86% losses come via decision). Nelson can take a beating and usually pips fighters when they're gassed out after a number of rounds and I don't see this fight being any different.
Nelson doesn't look much the part with his belly and beard, but he has the heart of a warrior and hope he comes out on top with this one.
-> Miller - Win - 4/6 (Paddy Power).
-> Confidence - 6.5/10.
-> Stake - 5 points.
Miller is coming off a less than impressive (to say the least) loss against Michael Bisping in December of last year. Having come back to the UFC since his departure in '05 a second win would look very bad on his part (maybe even resulting in him being given the marching orders) so he'll be looking to come out on top here at all costs.
C.B. Dolloway, 5-4 since joining the UFC needs a big win here to get his foot back into the Octagon but I can't see anything past a Miller win, possibly by decision.
Bank: 78.30 (32.50 in play)
Best of luck to anyone following